As of mid-August 2026, MLB win-total markets reflect teams’ current records, remaining schedule strength, and post-trade-deadline roster adjustments that reshaped rotations and bullpens. Contenders have added pitching depth while sellers rest veterans, creating clearer paths for over or under outcomes in the final 40-plus games. Injury reports, especially to starters and closers, continue to shift implied probabilities, alongside home/away splits and upcoming series against divisional rivals. Playoff positioning may prompt load management or aggressive lineups, while bullpen reliability and recent form provide the most immediate context for trader sentiment on specific team totals.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$95,679 Vol.
New York Yankees
80%
Boston Red Sox
77%
Toronto Blue Jays
4%
Baltimore Orioles
9%
Tampa Bay Rays
97%
Detroit Tigers
11%
Kansas City Royals
3%
Minnesota Twins
28%
Cleveland Guardians
92%
Chicago White Sox
98%
Seattle Mariners
4%
Texas Rangers
53%
Houston Astros
64%
Athletics
2%
Los Angeles Angels
8%
Atlanta Braves
81%
New York Mets
1%
Philadelphia Phillies
31%
Miami Marlins
91%
Washington Nationals
94%
Chicago Cubs
89%
Pittsburgh Pirates
22%
Milwaukee Brewers
95%
Cincinnati Reds
24%
St. Louis Cardinals
92%
Los Angeles Dodgers
42%
San Francisco Giants
5%
Arizona Diamondbacks
73%
San Diego Padres
82%
Colorado Rockies
35%
$95,679 Vol.
New York Yankees
80%
Boston Red Sox
77%
Toronto Blue Jays
4%
Baltimore Orioles
9%
Tampa Bay Rays
97%
Detroit Tigers
11%
Kansas City Royals
3%
Minnesota Twins
28%
Cleveland Guardians
92%
Chicago White Sox
98%
Seattle Mariners
4%
Texas Rangers
53%
Houston Astros
64%
Athletics
2%
Los Angeles Angels
8%
Atlanta Braves
81%
New York Mets
1%
Philadelphia Phillies
31%
Miami Marlins
91%
Washington Nationals
94%
Chicago Cubs
89%
Pittsburgh Pirates
22%
Milwaukee Brewers
95%
Cincinnati Reds
24%
St. Louis Cardinals
92%
Los Angeles Dodgers
42%
San Francisco Giants
5%
Arizona Diamondbacks
73%
San Diego Padres
82%
Colorado Rockies
35%
If at any point it becomes statistically impossible for the New York Yankees to record more than 86.5 wins per the rules of the MLB, the corresponding market will resolve to "U 86.5".
If the MLB Regular Season is cancelled, partially completed, or postponed after November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "50-50".
The resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/standings/); however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Mar 3, 2026, 12:55 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.mlb.com/standings/Resolver
0x65070BE91...If at any point it becomes statistically impossible for the New York Yankees to record more than 86.5 wins per the rules of the MLB, the corresponding market will resolve to "U 86.5".
If the MLB Regular Season is cancelled, partially completed, or postponed after November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "50-50".
The resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/standings/); however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution Source
https://www.mlb.com/standings/Resolver
0x65070BE91...As of mid-August 2026, MLB win-total markets reflect teams’ current records, remaining schedule strength, and post-trade-deadline roster adjustments that reshaped rotations and bullpens. Contenders have added pitching depth while sellers rest veterans, creating clearer paths for over or under outcomes in the final 40-plus games. Injury reports, especially to starters and closers, continue to shift implied probabilities, alongside home/away splits and upcoming series against divisional rivals. Playoff positioning may prompt load management or aggressive lineups, while bullpen reliability and recent form provide the most immediate context for trader sentiment on specific team totals.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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