$6,794,516 Vol.
$100M
20%
$100M
16%
$300M
17%
$500M
13%
$1B
14%
$2B
6%
$3B
5%
$5B
4%
$6,794,516 Vol.
$100M
20%
$100M
16%
$300M
17%
$500M
13%
$1B
14%
$2B
6%
$3B
5%
$5B
4%
The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.
"1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Opensea doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Market Opened: Mar 8, 2026, 7:29 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Market sentiment remains cautious with low probability assigned to high SEA token FDV
As of late September 2026, prediction markets assign low probabilities to the SEA token achieving high fully diluted valuations one day after launch, reflecting ongoing skepticism and lack of concrete launch details from OpenSea.
OpenSea fails to launch SEA token by end of 2026, market resolves to 'No' on FDV thresholds
$5B plunges to 4%51%
As OpenSea did not launch its SEA token by the December 31, 2026 deadline, the market resolved to 'No' for all FDV thresholds. Persistent delays and lack of a confirmed launch date led to sharply reduced probabilities and market skepticism throughout 2026.
The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.
"1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Opensea doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Market sentiment remains cautious with low probability assigned to high SEA token FDV
As of late September 2026, prediction markets assign low probabilities to the SEA token achieving high fully diluted valuations one day after launch, reflecting ongoing skepticism and lack of concrete launch details from OpenSea.
OpenSea fails to launch SEA token by end of 2026, market resolves to 'No' on FDV thresholds
$5B plunges to 4%51%
As OpenSea did not launch its SEA token by the December 31, 2026 deadline, the market resolved to 'No' for all FDV thresholds. Persistent delays and lack of a confirmed launch date led to sharply reduced probabilities and market skepticism throughout 2026.




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