**Multiple high-upside first-round defensive prospects from the 2026 NFL Draft class have created a crowded race for AP Defensive Rookie of the Year, with no single player separating early.** David Bailey, the No. 2 overall EDGE selected by the Jets, benefits from a clear starting role and opportunity on a unit that struggled to generate pressure last season, while his college sack leadership and preseason pressures keep him atop trader consensus near 26%. Rueben Bain Jr. (Buccaneers EDGE) and Ohio State products Caleb Downs (Cowboys safety) and Sonny Styles (Commanders linebacker) follow closely due to similar immediate snaps, scheme fits, and statistical potential in pass-rush or tackle production. Arvell Reese, Mansoor Delane, and others add depth. With the regular season just underway, early snap counts, pressures, tackles, and team defensive performance will likely shift implied probabilities rapidly among these contenders and the broad “Other” field.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedDavid Bailey 27%
Caleb Downs 20.6%
Sonny Styles 11%
Mansoor Delane 7.0%
$11,313 Vol.
$11,313 Vol.
David Bailey
27%
Caleb Downs
21%
Sonny Styles
11%
Mansoor Delane
6%
Rueben Bain Jr.
7%
Arvell Reese
5%
Malachi Lawrence
4%
Akheem Mesidor
3%
David Bailey 27%
Caleb Downs 20.6%
Sonny Styles 11%
Mansoor Delane 7.0%
$11,313 Vol.
$11,313 Vol.
David Bailey
27%
Caleb Downs
21%
Sonny Styles
11%
Mansoor Delane
6%
Rueben Bain Jr.
7%
Arvell Reese
5%
Malachi Lawrence
4%
Akheem Mesidor
3%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NFL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026-27 NFL season is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 23, 2026, 9:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NFL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026-27 NFL season is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Multiple high-upside first-round defensive prospects from the 2026 NFL Draft class have created a crowded race for AP Defensive Rookie of the Year, with no single player separating early.** David Bailey, the No. 2 overall EDGE selected by the Jets, benefits from a clear starting role and opportunity on a unit that struggled to generate pressure last season, while his college sack leadership and preseason pressures keep him atop trader consensus near 26%. Rueben Bain Jr. (Buccaneers EDGE) and Ohio State products Caleb Downs (Cowboys safety) and Sonny Styles (Commanders linebacker) follow closely due to similar immediate snaps, scheme fits, and statistical potential in pass-rush or tackle production. Arvell Reese, Mansoor Delane, and others add depth. With the regular season just underway, early snap counts, pressures, tackles, and team defensive performance will likely shift implied probabilities rapidly among these contenders and the broad “Other” field.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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