David Bailey leads the 2026-27 AP Defensive Rookie of the Year market at 26.5% implied probability after strong early production as the Jets' top edge rusher, including multiple sacks and pressures through the first two weeks. Caleb Downs sits at 20.2% on the strength of his versatile safety role with the Cowboys, highlighted by a debut sack and tackling contributions. Sonny Styles (10.0%), Rueben Bain Jr., Arvell Reese, and Mansoor Delane follow closely, each benefiting from high draft pedigree, immediate starting opportunities, and favorable defensive schemes. With "Other" at 50%, the race remains wide open because no single rookie has separated decisively in a historically tight field where edge players and versatile linebackers typically dominate but early-season snap counts and team context can shift quickly.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedDavid Bailey 27%
Caleb Downs 20.7%
Sonny Styles 11%
Mansoor Delane 7.0%
$11,313 Vol.
$11,313 Vol.
David Bailey
27%
Caleb Downs
21%
Sonny Styles
11%
Mansoor Delane
6%
Rueben Bain Jr.
7%
Arvell Reese
4%
Malachi Lawrence
4%
Akheem Mesidor
3%
David Bailey 27%
Caleb Downs 20.7%
Sonny Styles 11%
Mansoor Delane 7.0%
$11,313 Vol.
$11,313 Vol.
David Bailey
27%
Caleb Downs
21%
Sonny Styles
11%
Mansoor Delane
6%
Rueben Bain Jr.
7%
Arvell Reese
4%
Malachi Lawrence
4%
Akheem Mesidor
3%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NFL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026-27 NFL season is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 23, 2026, 9:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NFL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026-27 NFL season is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...David Bailey leads the 2026-27 AP Defensive Rookie of the Year market at 26.5% implied probability after strong early production as the Jets' top edge rusher, including multiple sacks and pressures through the first two weeks. Caleb Downs sits at 20.2% on the strength of his versatile safety role with the Cowboys, highlighted by a debut sack and tackling contributions. Sonny Styles (10.0%), Rueben Bain Jr., Arvell Reese, and Mansoor Delane follow closely, each benefiting from high draft pedigree, immediate starting opportunities, and favorable defensive schemes. With "Other" at 50%, the race remains wide open because no single rookie has separated decisively in a historically tight field where edge players and versatile linebackers typically dominate but early-season snap counts and team context can shift quickly.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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