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icon for Pro Football: 2026-27 AP Defensive Rookie of the Year Winner
Sports·NFL (All)

Pro Football: 2026-27 AP Defensive Rookie of the Year Winner

icon for Pro Football: 2026-27 AP Defensive Rookie of the Year Winner
Sports·NFL (All)

Pro Football: 2026-27 AP Defensive Rookie of the Year Winner

David Bailey 27%

Caleb Downs 20.6%

Sonny Styles 11%

Mansoor Delane 7.0%

Polymarket

$11,313 Vol.

David Bailey 27%

Caleb Downs 20.6%

Sonny Styles 11%

Mansoor Delane 7.0%

Polymarket

$11,313 Vol.

David Bailey

$5,877 Vol.

27%

Caleb Downs

$1,456 Vol.

21%

Sonny Styles

$810 Vol.

11%

Mansoor Delane

$83 Vol.

6%

Rueben Bain Jr.

$2,306 Vol.

7%

Arvell Reese

$734 Vol.

5%

Malachi Lawrence

$23 Vol.

4%

Akheem Mesidor

$23 Vol.

3%

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 Associated Press (AP) NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NFL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026-27 NFL season is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Multiple high-upside first-round defensive prospects from the 2026 NFL Draft class have created a crowded race for AP Defensive Rookie of the Year, with no single player separating early.** David Bailey, the No. 2 overall EDGE selected by the Jets, benefits from a clear starting role and opportunity on a unit that struggled to generate pressure last season, while his college sack leadership and preseason pressures keep him atop trader consensus near 26%. Rueben Bain Jr. (Buccaneers EDGE) and Ohio State products Caleb Downs (Cowboys safety) and Sonny Styles (Commanders linebacker) follow closely due to similar immediate snaps, scheme fits, and statistical potential in pass-rush or tackle production. Arvell Reese, Mansoor Delane, and others add depth. With the regular season just underway, early snap counts, pressures, tackles, and team defensive performance will likely shift implied probabilities rapidly among these contenders and the broad “Other” field.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 Associated Press (AP) NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NFL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026-27 NFL season is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 Associated Press (AP) NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NFL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026-27 NFL season is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$11,313
End Date
Mar 1, 2027
Market Opened
Jul 23, 2026, 9:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 Associated Press (AP) NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NFL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026-27 NFL season is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Multiple high-upside first-round defensive prospects from the 2026 NFL Draft class have created a crowded race for AP Defensive Rookie of the Year, with no single player separating early.** David Bailey, the No. 2 overall EDGE selected by the Jets, benefits from a clear starting role and opportunity on a unit that struggled to generate pressure last season, while his college sack leadership and preseason pressures keep him atop trader consensus near 26%. Rueben Bain Jr. (Buccaneers EDGE) and Ohio State products Caleb Downs (Cowboys safety) and Sonny Styles (Commanders linebacker) follow closely due to similar immediate snaps, scheme fits, and statistical potential in pass-rush or tackle production. Arvell Reese, Mansoor Delane, and others add depth. With the regular season just underway, early snap counts, pressures, tackles, and team defensive performance will likely shift implied probabilities rapidly among these contenders and the broad “Other” field.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 Associated Press (AP) NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NFL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026-27 NFL season is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 Associated Press (AP) NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NFL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026-27 NFL season is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$11,313
End Date
Mar 1, 2027
Market Opened
Jul 23, 2026, 9:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

NFL 2026
Odds & Predictions

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Pro Football: 2026-27 AP Defensive Rookie of the Year Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "David Bailey" at 27%, followed by "Caleb Downs" at 21%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 27¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 27% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Pro Football: 2026-27 AP Defensive Rookie of the Year Winner" has generated $11.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 23, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Pro Football: 2026-27 AP Defensive Rookie of the Year Winner," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Pro Football: 2026-27 AP Defensive Rookie of the Year Winner" is "David Bailey" at 27%, meaning the market assigns a 27% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Caleb Downs" at 21%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Pro Football: 2026-27 AP Defensive Rookie of the Year Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.