Joe Burrow enters 2026 as the narrow market leader for most passing touchdowns, driven by his late-2025 surge of 15 scores in six games after a turf toe injury and a Bengals offense built around Ja'Marr Chase and Tee Higgins that projects for high volume and red-zone attempts. Matthew Stafford faces regression questions after his 46-touchdown MVP campaign, while Jared Goff, Dak Prescott, and Brock Purdy benefit from established high-output schemes and receiving corps that support 29-plus touchdown baselines. Drake Maye, Justin Herbert, and Caleb Williams add depth to the field through expanding roles and efficient supporting casts. With multiple quarterbacks clustered in the 28-33 touchdown range and passing touchdowns showing low year-to-year stability, the race remains tightly contested entering the season.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedJared Goff 29%
Joe Burrow 14%
Matthew Stafford 12%
Dak Prescott 11%
$10,234 Vol.
$10,234 Vol.
Jared Goff
29%
Joe Burrow
14%
Matthew Stafford
12%
Dak Prescott
11%
Brock Purdy
7%
Drake Maye
5%
Josh Allen
4%
Justin Herbert
4%
Trevor Lawrence
3%
Patrick Mahomes
3%
Caleb Williams
3%
Jordan Love
3%
Bo Nix
3%
Sam Darnold
2%
C.J. Stroud
2%
Lamar Jackson
2%
Jayden Daniels
2%
Jalen Hurts
1%
Jaxson Dart
1%
Aaron Rodgers
1%
Daniel Jones
1%
Kyler Murray
1%
Tyler Shough
1%
Bryce Young
1%
Geno Smith
1%
Cam Ward
1%
Malik Willis
1%
Deshaun Watson
1%
Kirk Cousins
1%
Jacoby Brissett
1%
Fernando Mendoza
1%
Michael Penix Jr.
<1%
Carson Beck
<1%
Shedeur Sanders
<1%
JJ McCarthy
<1%
Jared Goff 29%
Joe Burrow 14%
Matthew Stafford 12%
Dak Prescott 11%
$10,234 Vol.
$10,234 Vol.
Jared Goff
29%
Joe Burrow
14%
Matthew Stafford
12%
Dak Prescott
11%
Brock Purdy
7%
Drake Maye
5%
Josh Allen
4%
Justin Herbert
4%
Trevor Lawrence
3%
Patrick Mahomes
3%
Caleb Williams
3%
Jordan Love
3%
Bo Nix
3%
Sam Darnold
2%
C.J. Stroud
2%
Lamar Jackson
2%
Jayden Daniels
2%
Jalen Hurts
1%
Jaxson Dart
1%
Aaron Rodgers
1%
Daniel Jones
1%
Kyler Murray
1%
Tyler Shough
1%
Bryce Young
1%
Geno Smith
1%
Cam Ward
1%
Malik Willis
1%
Deshaun Watson
1%
Kirk Cousins
1%
Jacoby Brissett
1%
Fernando Mendoza
1%
Michael Penix Jr.
<1%
Carson Beck
<1%
Shedeur Sanders
<1%
JJ McCarthy
<1%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player with more passing yards during the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher completion percentage during the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the 2026-27 NFL season concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available NFL statistics for completed games.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player led the NFL in passing touchdowns within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 20, 2026, 3:38 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player with more passing yards during the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher completion percentage during the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the 2026-27 NFL season concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available NFL statistics for completed games.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player led the NFL in passing touchdowns within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Joe Burrow enters 2026 as the narrow market leader for most passing touchdowns, driven by his late-2025 surge of 15 scores in six games after a turf toe injury and a Bengals offense built around Ja'Marr Chase and Tee Higgins that projects for high volume and red-zone attempts. Matthew Stafford faces regression questions after his 46-touchdown MVP campaign, while Jared Goff, Dak Prescott, and Brock Purdy benefit from established high-output schemes and receiving corps that support 29-plus touchdown baselines. Drake Maye, Justin Herbert, and Caleb Williams add depth to the field through expanding roles and efficient supporting casts. With multiple quarterbacks clustered in the 28-33 touchdown range and passing touchdowns showing low year-to-year stability, the race remains tightly contested entering the season.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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