Joe Burrow leads the 2026 NFL passing touchdown race with 23 through Week 9, three ahead of Kirk Cousins and four clear of Jordan Love, fueled by an 8-1 Bengals start, elite efficiency on 296 attempts, and multiple multi-touchdown outings including five against the Titans. Traders price Burrow highest at 57% implied probability because his pace and volume give him the clearest path to the crown despite a 17-game schedule remaining. The field stays bunched with roughly a dozen quarterbacks between 10 and 20 touchdowns, reflecting comparable offensive opportunities, favorable matchups, and limited injury attrition so far; any sustained hot streak from Love, Trevor Lawrence, or Drake Maye could narrow the gap before December.