Buffalo Bills hold an 78% implied probability to win the AFC East due to their 3-0 start and league-leading offense, paced by Josh Allen’s efficient play and a balanced attack that has outscored opponents by 23 points. Recent wins over the Chargers and others have reinforced trader confidence in Buffalo’s roster continuity and scheme under new head coach Joe Brady. The Patriots sit at 16.5% amid a 1-2 record marked by Drake Maye’s turnover issues and a 35-6 Week 3 collapse, alongside offensive-line injuries. Jets and Dolphins trail further at 1-2 and 0-3, respectively, with limited scoring output and defensive vulnerabilities that have kept their division-title odds minimal early in the 2026 campaign.