The Kansas City Chiefs hold the strongest implied probability for the AFC West title due to their proven track record under Patrick Mahomes, an undefeated 3-0 start with a plus-38 point differential, and the division's historical patterns favoring established contenders. The Las Vegas Raiders, also 3-0 behind first-year head coach Klint Kubiak and generating league-leading turnovers, sit at 15% as traders weigh their ability to sustain momentum over the remaining schedule despite early success. Denver Broncos at 26.5% reflect a 2-1 record, strong defensive play, and Bo Nix-led comebacks, though persistent first-half execution issues and a tough upcoming matchup at San Francisco temper expectations. The Los Angeles Chargers at 2.5% align with their 0-3 start and offensive struggles under Jim Harbaugh. Week 4's Chiefs-Raiders clash and ongoing injury reports will likely influence further market adjustments.