**Chiefs hold a narrow edge in the season series market at 55.5% implied probability, with a 33.6% chance of a split and just 11.7% for the Raiders winning both games.** Patrick Mahomes’ strong return from knee surgery—highlighted by a 382-yard, three-touchdown performance in the Chiefs’ overtime win over the Colts—has reinforced Kansas City’s offensive firepower alongside Kenneth Walker III’s early dominance in yards from scrimmage. The Raiders’ surprising 2-0 start, powered by Kirk Cousins’ efficient passing and defensive contributions from Maxx Crosby, has introduced some uncertainty ahead of the October 4 matchup in Las Vegas and the Week 18 rematch. Historical dominance by the Chiefs in the rivalry, combined with superior roster depth and home-field advantage in the finale, underpins the current pricing, though the Raiders’ early momentum and potential for divisional upset keep the tie outcome viable in trader consensus.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedChiefs 55%
Tie 33.6%
Raiders 11.6%
NEW
NEW
Jan 12, 2027
Chiefs
55%
Raiders
12%
Tie
34%
Chiefs 55%
Tie 33.6%
Raiders 11.6%
NEW
NEW
Jan 12, 2027
Chiefs
$3,253 Vol.
55%
Raiders
$1,514 Vol.
12%
Tie
$1,313 Vol.
34%
This market will resolve according to the result of the season series between the Kansas City Chiefs and Las Vegas Raiders during the 2026-27 NFL regular season.
If the Kansas City Chiefs win the season series, this market will resolve to “Chiefs”. If the Las Vegas Raiders win the season series, this market will resolve to “Raiders”. If the Kansas City Chiefs and Las Vegas Raiders tie the season series, this market will resolve to “tie”.
If any scheduled game between the listed teams during the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, not completed, or otherwise does not produce an official result — including due to a shortened, truncated, or early-ended season — the season series will be determined solely using official results of completed games. If the season is cancelled, no games between the teams are completed, or the result of the season series cannot otherwise be confirmed by January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the NFL, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**Chiefs hold a narrow edge in the season series market at 55.5% implied probability, with a 33.6% chance of a split and just 11.7% for the Raiders winning both games.** Patrick Mahomes’ strong return from knee surgery—highlighted by a 382-yard, three-touchdown performance in the Chiefs’ overtime win over the Colts—has reinforced Kansas City’s offensive firepower alongside Kenneth Walker III’s early dominance in yards from scrimmage. The Raiders’ surprising 2-0 start, powered by Kirk Cousins’ efficient passing and defensive contributions from Maxx Crosby, has introduced some uncertainty ahead of the October 4 matchup in Las Vegas and the Week 18 rematch. Historical dominance by the Chiefs in the rivalry, combined with superior roster depth and home-field advantage in the finale, underpins the current pricing, though the Raiders’ early momentum and potential for divisional upset keep the tie outcome viable in trader consensus.
This market will resolve according to the result of the season series between the Kansas City Chiefs and Las Vegas Raiders during the 2026-27 NFL regular season.
If the Kansas City Chiefs win the season series, this market will resolve to “Chiefs”. If the Las Vegas Raiders win the season series, this market will resolve to “Raiders”. If the Kansas City Chiefs and Las Vegas Raiders tie the season series, this market will resolve to “tie”.
If any scheduled game between the listed teams during the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, not completed, or otherwise does not produce an official result — including due to a shortened, truncated, or early-ended season — the season series will be determined solely using official results of completed games. If the season is cancelled, no games between the teams are completed, or the result of the season series cannot otherwise be confirmed by January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the NFL, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If the Kansas City Chiefs win the season series, this market will resolve to “Chiefs”. If the Las Vegas Raiders win the season series, this market will resolve to “Raiders”. If the Kansas City Chiefs and Las Vegas Raiders tie the season series, this market will resolve to “tie”.
If any scheduled game between the listed teams during the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, not completed, or otherwise does not produce an official result — including due to a shortened, truncated, or early-ended season — the season series will be determined solely using official results of completed games. If the season is cancelled, no games between the teams are completed, or the result of the season series cannot otherwise be confirmed by January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the NFL, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 22, 2026, 1:40 AM ET
Volume
$6,080End Date
Jan 27, 2027Market Opened
Jul 22, 2026, 1:40 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the result of the season series between the Kansas City Chiefs and Las Vegas Raiders during the 2026-27 NFL regular season.
If the Kansas City Chiefs win the season series, this market will resolve to “Chiefs”. If the Las Vegas Raiders win the season series, this market will resolve to “Raiders”. If the Kansas City Chiefs and Las Vegas Raiders tie the season series, this market will resolve to “tie”.
If any scheduled game between the listed teams during the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, not completed, or otherwise does not produce an official result — including due to a shortened, truncated, or early-ended season — the season series will be determined solely using official results of completed games. If the season is cancelled, no games between the teams are completed, or the result of the season series cannot otherwise be confirmed by January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the NFL, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**Chiefs hold a narrow edge in the season series market at 55.5% implied probability, with a 33.6% chance of a split and just 11.7% for the Raiders winning both games.** Patrick Mahomes’ strong return from knee surgery—highlighted by a 382-yard, three-touchdown performance in the Chiefs’ overtime win over the Colts—has reinforced Kansas City’s offensive firepower alongside Kenneth Walker III’s early dominance in yards from scrimmage. The Raiders’ surprising 2-0 start, powered by Kirk Cousins’ efficient passing and defensive contributions from Maxx Crosby, has introduced some uncertainty ahead of the October 4 matchup in Las Vegas and the Week 18 rematch. Historical dominance by the Chiefs in the rivalry, combined with superior roster depth and home-field advantage in the finale, underpins the current pricing, though the Raiders’ early momentum and potential for divisional upset keep the tie outcome viable in trader consensus.
This market will resolve according to the result of the season series between the Kansas City Chiefs and Las Vegas Raiders during the 2026-27 NFL regular season.
If the Kansas City Chiefs win the season series, this market will resolve to “Chiefs”. If the Las Vegas Raiders win the season series, this market will resolve to “Raiders”. If the Kansas City Chiefs and Las Vegas Raiders tie the season series, this market will resolve to “tie”.
If any scheduled game between the listed teams during the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, not completed, or otherwise does not produce an official result — including due to a shortened, truncated, or early-ended season — the season series will be determined solely using official results of completed games. If the season is cancelled, no games between the teams are completed, or the result of the season series cannot otherwise be confirmed by January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the NFL, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If the Kansas City Chiefs win the season series, this market will resolve to “Chiefs”. If the Las Vegas Raiders win the season series, this market will resolve to “Raiders”. If the Kansas City Chiefs and Las Vegas Raiders tie the season series, this market will resolve to “tie”.
If any scheduled game between the listed teams during the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, not completed, or otherwise does not produce an official result — including due to a shortened, truncated, or early-ended season — the season series will be determined solely using official results of completed games. If the season is cancelled, no games between the teams are completed, or the result of the season series cannot otherwise be confirmed by January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the NFL, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$6,080End Date
Jan 27, 2027Market Opened
Jul 22, 2026, 1:40 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Chiefs hold a narrow edge in the season series market at 55.5% implied probability, with a 33.6% chance of a split and just 11.7% for the Raiders winning both games.** Patrick Mahomes’ strong return from knee surgery—highlighted by a 382-yard, three-touchdown performance in the Chiefs’ overtime win over the Colts—has reinforced Kansas City’s offensive firepower alongside Kenneth Walker III’s early dominance in yards from scrimmage. The Raiders’ surprising 2-0 start, powered by Kirk Cousins’ efficient passing and defensive contributions from Maxx Crosby, has introduced some uncertainty ahead of the October 4 matchup in Las Vegas and the Week 18 rematch. Historical dominance by the Chiefs in the rivalry, combined with superior roster depth and home-field advantage in the finale, underpins the current pricing, though the Raiders’ early momentum and potential for divisional upset keep the tie outcome viable in trader consensus.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedRelated
Will the season series between the Chiefs and Chargers end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
46%
Will the Chiefs win the season series against the Broncos during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
52%
Will the season series between the Raiders and Chargers end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
67%
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Frequently Asked Questions