The Raiders opened the 2026 season 2-0 behind Kirk Cousins, who was officially named starter in early September after outlasting rookie Fernando Mendoza in preseason and training camp. Mendoza, the No. 1 overall pick and 2025 Heisman winner, has remained QB2 on the depth chart, serving as backup without game snaps through Week 2 while preparing on the sideline. Head coach Klint Kubiak and the staff have emphasized a deliberate development timeline for the young quarterback in the new offense, with no reported injuries or performance issues forcing an immediate change. Recent team success and Cousins’ veteran stability have kept the implied probability of Mendoza earning the starting role by near-term deadlines relatively low, though ongoing wins or any late-season slump could accelerate the transition.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNEW
Oct 19, 2026
Week 3
1%
Week 4
6%
Week 5
9%
Week 6
16%
Week 7
30%
Week 8
25%
Week 9
32%
Week 10
56%
Week 11
76%
Week 12
76%
Week 13
71%
Week 14
74%
Week 15
71%
Week 16
72%
Week 17
76%
Week 18
79%
$9,704 Vol.
Week 3
$3,025 Vol.
1%
Week 4
$203 Vol.
6%
Week 5
$1,189 Vol.
9%
Week 6
$185 Vol.
16%
Week 7
$360 Vol.
30%
Week 8
$1,716 Vol.
25%
Week 9
$1,051 Vol.
32%
Week 10
$580 Vol.
56%
Week 11
$20 Vol.
76%
Week 12
$20 Vol.
76%
Week 13
$141 Vol.
71%
Week 14
$20 Vol.
74%
Week 15
$20 Vol.
71%
Week 16
$20 Vol.
72%
Week 17
$20 Vol.
76%
Week 18
$25 Vol.
79%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Fernando Mendoza is named the starting quarterback of the Las Vegas Raiders for a Las Vegas Raiders regular season game in Week 1 through Week 3 of the 2026-27 NFL season, on or before September 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Fernando Mendoza will be considered "named the starting quarterback" if the Las Vegas Raiders officially announce him as their starting quarterback for a game within that timeframe, or if he takes the Las Vegas Raiders’ first offensive snap at quarterback in a game within that timeframe. An official announcement naming Fernando Mendoza the starting quarterback for a game within that timeframe will resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of whether he ultimately takes the field. Relief appearances in which another quarterback takes the Las Vegas Raiders’ first offensive snap of that game will not count, and preseason and playoff games will not count.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed past September 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the Las Vegas Raiders play no regular season games in Week 1 through Week 3, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official information from the NFL and/or the Las Vegas Raiders; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Fernando Mendoza is named the starting quarterback of the Las Vegas Raiders for a Las Vegas Raiders regular season game in Week 1 through Week 4 of the 2026-27 NFL season, on or before October 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Fernando Mendoza will be considered "named the starting quarterback" if the Las Vegas Raiders officially announce him as their starting quarterback for a game within that timeframe, or if he takes the Las Vegas Raiders’ first offensive snap at quarterback in a game within that timeframe. An official announcement naming Fernando Mendoza the starting quarterback for a game within that timeframe will resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of whether he ultimately takes the field. Relief appearances in which another quarterback takes the Las Vegas Raiders’ first offensive snap of that game will not count, and preseason and playoff games will not count.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed past October 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the Las Vegas Raiders play no regular season games in Week 1 through Week 4, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official information from the NFL and/or the Las Vegas Raiders; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Fernando Mendoza is named the starting quarterback of the Las Vegas Raiders for a Las Vegas Raiders regular season game in Week 1 through Week 5 of the 2026-27 NFL season, on or before October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Fernando Mendoza will be considered "named the starting quarterback" if the Las Vegas Raiders officially announce him as their starting quarterback for a game within that timeframe, or if he takes the Las Vegas Raiders’ first offensive snap at quarterback in a game within that timeframe. An official announcement naming Fernando Mendoza the starting quarterback for a game within that timeframe will resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of whether he ultimately takes the field. Relief appearances in which another quarterback takes the Las Vegas Raiders’ first offensive snap of that game will not count, and preseason and playoff games will not count.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed past October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the Las Vegas Raiders play no regular season games in Week 1 through Week 5, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official information from the NFL and/or the Las Vegas Raiders; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Fernando Mendoza is named the starting quarterback of the Las Vegas Raiders for a Las Vegas Raiders regular season game in Week 1 through Week 6 of the 2026-27 NFL season, on or before October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Fernando Mendoza will be considered "named the starting quarterback" if the Las Vegas Raiders officially announce him as their starting quarterback for a game within that timeframe, or if he takes the Las Vegas Raiders’ first offensive snap at quarterback in a game within that timeframe. An official announcement naming Fernando Mendoza the starting quarterback for a game within that timeframe will resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of whether he ultimately takes the field. Relief appearances in which another quarterback takes the Las Vegas Raiders’ first offensive snap of that game will not count, and preseason and playoff games will not count.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed past October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the Las Vegas Raiders play no regular season games in Week 1 through Week 6, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official information from the NFL and/or the Las Vegas Raiders; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Fernando Mendoza is named the starting quarterback of the Las Vegas Raiders for a Las Vegas Raiders regular season game in Week 1 through Week 7 of the 2026-27 NFL season, on or before October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Fernando Mendoza will be considered "named the starting quarterback" if the Las Vegas Raiders officially announce him as their starting quarterback for a game within that timeframe, or if he takes the Las Vegas Raiders’ first offensive snap at quarterback in a game within that timeframe. An official announcement naming Fernando Mendoza the starting quarterback for a game within that timeframe will resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of whether he ultimately takes the field. Relief appearances in which another quarterback takes the Las Vegas Raiders’ first offensive snap of that game will not count, and preseason and playoff games will not count.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed past October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the Las Vegas Raiders play no regular season games in Week 1 through Week 7, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official information from the NFL and/or the Las Vegas Raiders; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Fernando Mendoza is named the starting quarterback of the Las Vegas Raiders for a Las Vegas Raiders regular season game in Week 1 through Week 8 of the 2026-27 NFL season, on or before November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Fernando Mendoza will be considered "named the starting quarterback" if the Las Vegas Raiders officially announce him as their starting quarterback for a game within that timeframe, or if he takes the Las Vegas Raiders’ first offensive snap at quarterback in a game within that timeframe. An official announcement naming Fernando Mendoza the starting quarterback for a game within that timeframe will resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of whether he ultimately takes the field. Relief appearances in which another quarterback takes the Las Vegas Raiders’ first offensive snap of that game will not count, and preseason and playoff games will not count.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed past November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the Las Vegas Raiders play no regular season games in Week 1 through Week 8, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official information from the NFL and/or the Las Vegas Raiders; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Fernando Mendoza is named the starting quarterback of the Las Vegas Raiders for a Las Vegas Raiders regular season game in Week 1 through Week 9 of the 2026-27 NFL season, on or before November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Fernando Mendoza will be considered "named the starting quarterback" if the Las Vegas Raiders officially announce him as their starting quarterback for a game within that timeframe, or if he takes the Las Vegas Raiders’ first offensive snap at quarterback in a game within that timeframe. An official announcement naming Fernando Mendoza the starting quarterback for a game within that timeframe will resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of whether he ultimately takes the field. Relief appearances in which another quarterback takes the Las Vegas Raiders’ first offensive snap of that game will not count, and preseason and playoff games will not count.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed past November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the Las Vegas Raiders play no regular season games in Week 1 through Week 9, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official information from the NFL and/or the Las Vegas Raiders; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Fernando Mendoza is named the starting quarterback of the Las Vegas Raiders for a Las Vegas Raiders regular season game in Week 1 through Week 10 of the 2026-27 NFL season, on or before November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Fernando Mendoza will be considered "named the starting quarterback" if the Las Vegas Raiders officially announce him as their starting quarterback for a game within that timeframe, or if he takes the Las Vegas Raiders’ first offensive snap at quarterback in a game within that timeframe. An official announcement naming Fernando Mendoza the starting quarterback for a game within that timeframe will resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of whether he ultimately takes the field. Relief appearances in which another quarterback takes the Las Vegas Raiders’ first offensive snap of that game will not count, and preseason and playoff games will not count.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed past November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the Las Vegas Raiders play no regular season games in Week 1 through Week 10, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official information from the NFL and/or the Las Vegas Raiders; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Fernando Mendoza is named the starting quarterback of the Las Vegas Raiders for a Las Vegas Raiders regular season game in Week 1 through Week 11 of the 2026-27 NFL season, on or before November 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Fernando Mendoza will be considered "named the starting quarterback" if the Las Vegas Raiders officially announce him as their starting quarterback for a game within that timeframe, or if he takes the Las Vegas Raiders’ first offensive snap at quarterback in a game within that timeframe. An official announcement naming Fernando Mendoza the starting quarterback for a game within that timeframe will resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of whether he ultimately takes the field. Relief appearances in which another quarterback takes the Las Vegas Raiders’ first offensive snap of that game will not count, and preseason and playoff games will not count.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed past November 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the Las Vegas Raiders play no regular season games in Week 1 through Week 11, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official information from the NFL and/or the Las Vegas Raiders; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Fernando Mendoza is named the starting quarterback of the Las Vegas Raiders for a Las Vegas Raiders regular season game in Week 1 through Week 12 of the 2026-27 NFL season, on or before November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Fernando Mendoza will be considered "named the starting quarterback" if the Las Vegas Raiders officially announce him as their starting quarterback for a game within that timeframe, or if he takes the Las Vegas Raiders’ first offensive snap at quarterback in a game within that timeframe. An official announcement naming Fernando Mendoza the starting quarterback for a game within that timeframe will resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of whether he ultimately takes the field. Relief appearances in which another quarterback takes the Las Vegas Raiders’ first offensive snap of that game will not count, and preseason and playoff games will not count.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed past November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the Las Vegas Raiders play no regular season games in Week 1 through Week 12, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official information from the NFL and/or the Las Vegas Raiders; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Fernando Mendoza is named the starting quarterback of the Las Vegas Raiders for a Las Vegas Raiders regular season game in Week 1 through Week 13 of the 2026-27 NFL season, on or before December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Fernando Mendoza will be considered "named the starting quarterback" if the Las Vegas Raiders officially announce him as their starting quarterback for a game within that timeframe, or if he takes the Las Vegas Raiders’ first offensive snap at quarterback in a game within that timeframe. An official announcement naming Fernando Mendoza the starting quarterback for a game within that timeframe will resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of whether he ultimately takes the field. Relief appearances in which another quarterback takes the Las Vegas Raiders’ first offensive snap of that game will not count, and preseason and playoff games will not count.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed past December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the Las Vegas Raiders play no regular season games in Week 1 through Week 13, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official information from the NFL and/or the Las Vegas Raiders; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Fernando Mendoza is named the starting quarterback of the Las Vegas Raiders for a Las Vegas Raiders regular season game in Week 1 through Week 14 of the 2026-27 NFL season, on or before December 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Fernando Mendoza will be considered "named the starting quarterback" if the Las Vegas Raiders officially announce him as their starting quarterback for a game within that timeframe, or if he takes the Las Vegas Raiders’ first offensive snap at quarterback in a game within that timeframe. An official announcement naming Fernando Mendoza the starting quarterback for a game within that timeframe will resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of whether he ultimately takes the field. Relief appearances in which another quarterback takes the Las Vegas Raiders’ first offensive snap of that game will not count, and preseason and playoff games will not count.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed past December 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the Las Vegas Raiders play no regular season games in Week 1 through Week 14, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official information from the NFL and/or the Las Vegas Raiders; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Fernando Mendoza is named the starting quarterback of the Las Vegas Raiders for a Las Vegas Raiders regular season game in Week 1 through Week 15 of the 2026-27 NFL season, on or before December 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Fernando Mendoza will be considered "named the starting quarterback" if the Las Vegas Raiders officially announce him as their starting quarterback for a game within that timeframe, or if he takes the Las Vegas Raiders’ first offensive snap at quarterback in a game within that timeframe. An official announcement naming Fernando Mendoza the starting quarterback for a game within that timeframe will resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of whether he ultimately takes the field. Relief appearances in which another quarterback takes the Las Vegas Raiders’ first offensive snap of that game will not count, and preseason and playoff games will not count.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed past December 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the Las Vegas Raiders play no regular season games in Week 1 through Week 15, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official information from the NFL and/or the Las Vegas Raiders; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Fernando Mendoza is named the starting quarterback of the Las Vegas Raiders for a Las Vegas Raiders regular season game in Week 1 through Week 16 of the 2026-27 NFL season, on or before December 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Fernando Mendoza will be considered "named the starting quarterback" if the Las Vegas Raiders officially announce him as their starting quarterback for a game within that timeframe, or if he takes the Las Vegas Raiders’ first offensive snap at quarterback in a game within that timeframe. An official announcement naming Fernando Mendoza the starting quarterback for a game within that timeframe will resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of whether he ultimately takes the field. Relief appearances in which another quarterback takes the Las Vegas Raiders’ first offensive snap of that game will not count, and preseason and playoff games will not count.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed past December 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the Las Vegas Raiders play no regular season games in Week 1 through Week 16, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official information from the NFL and/or the Las Vegas Raiders; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Fernando Mendoza is named the starting quarterback of the Las Vegas Raiders for a Las Vegas Raiders regular season game in Week 1 through Week 17 of the 2026-27 NFL season, on or before January 4, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Fernando Mendoza will be considered "named the starting quarterback" if the Las Vegas Raiders officially announce him as their starting quarterback for a game within that timeframe, or if he takes the Las Vegas Raiders’ first offensive snap at quarterback in a game within that timeframe. An official announcement naming Fernando Mendoza the starting quarterback for a game within that timeframe will resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of whether he ultimately takes the field. Relief appearances in which another quarterback takes the Las Vegas Raiders’ first offensive snap of that game will not count, and preseason and playoff games will not count.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed past January 4, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or the Las Vegas Raiders play no regular season games in Week 1 through Week 17, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official information from the NFL and/or the Las Vegas Raiders; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Fernando Mendoza is named the starting quarterback of the Las Vegas Raiders for a Las Vegas Raiders regular season game in Week 1 through Week 18 of the 2026-27 NFL season, on or before January 11, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Fernando Mendoza will be considered "named the starting quarterback" if the Las Vegas Raiders officially announce him as their starting quarterback for a game within that timeframe, or if he takes the Las Vegas Raiders’ first offensive snap at quarterback in a game within that timeframe. An official announcement naming Fernando Mendoza the starting quarterback for a game within that timeframe will resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of whether he ultimately takes the field. Relief appearances in which another quarterback takes the Las Vegas Raiders’ first offensive snap of that game will not count, and preseason and playoff games will not count.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed past January 11, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or the Las Vegas Raiders play no regular season games in Week 1 through Week 18, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official information from the NFL and/or the Las Vegas Raiders; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Fernando Mendoza is named the starting quarterback of the Las Vegas Raiders for a Las Vegas Raiders regular season game in Week 1 through Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL season, on or before September 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Fernando Mendoza will be considered "named the starting quarterback" if the Las Vegas Raiders officially announce him as their starting quarterback for a game within that timeframe, or if he takes the Las Vegas Raiders’ first offensive snap at quarterback in a game within that timeframe. An official announcement naming Fernando Mendoza the starting quarterback for a game within that timeframe will resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of whether he ultimately takes the field. Relief appearances in which another quarterback takes the Las Vegas Raiders’ first offensive snap of that game will not count, and preseason and playoff games will not count.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed past September 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the Las Vegas Raiders play no regular season games in Week 1 through Week 1, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official information from the NFL and/or the Las Vegas Raiders; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Fernando Mendoza is named the starting quarterback of the Las Vegas Raiders for a Las Vegas Raiders regular season game in Week 1 through Week 2 of the 2026-27 NFL season, on or before September 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Fernando Mendoza will be considered "named the starting quarterback" if the Las Vegas Raiders officially announce him as their starting quarterback for a game within that timeframe, or if he takes the Las Vegas Raiders’ first offensive snap at quarterback in a game within that timeframe. An official announcement naming Fernando Mendoza the starting quarterback for a game within that timeframe will resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of whether he ultimately takes the field. Relief appearances in which another quarterback takes the Las Vegas Raiders’ first offensive snap of that game will not count, and preseason and playoff games will not count.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed past September 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the Las Vegas Raiders play no regular season games in Week 1 through Week 2, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official information from the NFL and/or the Las Vegas Raiders; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Raiders opened the 2026 season 2-0 behind Kirk Cousins, who was officially named starter in early September after outlasting rookie Fernando Mendoza in preseason and training camp. Mendoza, the No. 1 overall pick and 2025 Heisman winner, has remained QB2 on the depth chart, serving as backup without game snaps through Week 2 while preparing on the sideline. Head coach Klint Kubiak and the staff have emphasized a deliberate development timeline for the young quarterback in the new offense, with no reported injuries or performance issues forcing an immediate change. Recent team success and Cousins’ veteran stability have kept the implied probability of Mendoza earning the starting role by near-term deadlines relatively low, though ongoing wins or any late-season slump could accelerate the transition.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Fernando Mendoza is named the starting quarterback of the Las Vegas Raiders for a Las Vegas Raiders regular season game in Week 1 through Week 6 of the 2026-27 NFL season, on or before October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Fernando Mendoza will be considered "named the starting quarterback" if the Las Vegas Raiders officially announce him as their starting quarterback for a game within that timeframe, or if he takes the Las Vegas Raiders’ first offensive snap at quarterback in a game within that timeframe. An official announcement naming Fernando Mendoza the starting quarterback for a game within that timeframe will resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of whether he ultimately takes the field. Relief appearances in which another quarterback takes the Las Vegas Raiders’ first offensive snap of that game will not count, and preseason and playoff games will not count.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed past October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the Las Vegas Raiders play no regular season games in Week 1 through Week 6, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official information from the NFL and/or the Las Vegas Raiders; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Fernando Mendoza will be considered "named the starting quarterback" if the Las Vegas Raiders officially announce him as their starting quarterback for a game within that timeframe, or if he takes the Las Vegas Raiders’ first offensive snap at quarterback in a game within that timeframe. An official announcement naming Fernando Mendoza the starting quarterback for a game within that timeframe will resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of whether he ultimately takes the field. Relief appearances in which another quarterback takes the Las Vegas Raiders’ first offensive snap of that game will not count, and preseason and playoff games will not count.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed past October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the Las Vegas Raiders play no regular season games in Week 1 through Week 6, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official information from the NFL and/or the Las Vegas Raiders; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Sep 3, 2026, 8:19 PM ET
Volume
$9,704End Date
Jan 12, 2027Market Opened
Sep 3, 2026, 8:19 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Fernando Mendoza is named the starting quarterback of the Las Vegas Raiders for a Las Vegas Raiders regular season game in Week 1 through Week 3 of the 2026-27 NFL season, on or before September 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Fernando Mendoza will be considered "named the starting quarterback" if the Las Vegas Raiders officially announce him as their starting quarterback for a game within that timeframe, or if he takes the Las Vegas Raiders’ first offensive snap at quarterback in a game within that timeframe. An official announcement naming Fernando Mendoza the starting quarterback for a game within that timeframe will resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of whether he ultimately takes the field. Relief appearances in which another quarterback takes the Las Vegas Raiders’ first offensive snap of that game will not count, and preseason and playoff games will not count.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed past September 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the Las Vegas Raiders play no regular season games in Week 1 through Week 3, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official information from the NFL and/or the Las Vegas Raiders; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Fernando Mendoza is named the starting quarterback of the Las Vegas Raiders for a Las Vegas Raiders regular season game in Week 1 through Week 4 of the 2026-27 NFL season, on or before October 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Fernando Mendoza will be considered "named the starting quarterback" if the Las Vegas Raiders officially announce him as their starting quarterback for a game within that timeframe, or if he takes the Las Vegas Raiders’ first offensive snap at quarterback in a game within that timeframe. An official announcement naming Fernando Mendoza the starting quarterback for a game within that timeframe will resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of whether he ultimately takes the field. Relief appearances in which another quarterback takes the Las Vegas Raiders’ first offensive snap of that game will not count, and preseason and playoff games will not count.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed past October 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the Las Vegas Raiders play no regular season games in Week 1 through Week 4, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official information from the NFL and/or the Las Vegas Raiders; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Fernando Mendoza is named the starting quarterback of the Las Vegas Raiders for a Las Vegas Raiders regular season game in Week 1 through Week 5 of the 2026-27 NFL season, on or before October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Fernando Mendoza will be considered "named the starting quarterback" if the Las Vegas Raiders officially announce him as their starting quarterback for a game within that timeframe, or if he takes the Las Vegas Raiders’ first offensive snap at quarterback in a game within that timeframe. An official announcement naming Fernando Mendoza the starting quarterback for a game within that timeframe will resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of whether he ultimately takes the field. Relief appearances in which another quarterback takes the Las Vegas Raiders’ first offensive snap of that game will not count, and preseason and playoff games will not count.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed past October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the Las Vegas Raiders play no regular season games in Week 1 through Week 5, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official information from the NFL and/or the Las Vegas Raiders; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Fernando Mendoza is named the starting quarterback of the Las Vegas Raiders for a Las Vegas Raiders regular season game in Week 1 through Week 6 of the 2026-27 NFL season, on or before October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Fernando Mendoza will be considered "named the starting quarterback" if the Las Vegas Raiders officially announce him as their starting quarterback for a game within that timeframe, or if he takes the Las Vegas Raiders’ first offensive snap at quarterback in a game within that timeframe. An official announcement naming Fernando Mendoza the starting quarterback for a game within that timeframe will resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of whether he ultimately takes the field. Relief appearances in which another quarterback takes the Las Vegas Raiders’ first offensive snap of that game will not count, and preseason and playoff games will not count.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed past October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the Las Vegas Raiders play no regular season games in Week 1 through Week 6, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official information from the NFL and/or the Las Vegas Raiders; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Fernando Mendoza is named the starting quarterback of the Las Vegas Raiders for a Las Vegas Raiders regular season game in Week 1 through Week 7 of the 2026-27 NFL season, on or before October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Fernando Mendoza will be considered "named the starting quarterback" if the Las Vegas Raiders officially announce him as their starting quarterback for a game within that timeframe, or if he takes the Las Vegas Raiders’ first offensive snap at quarterback in a game within that timeframe. An official announcement naming Fernando Mendoza the starting quarterback for a game within that timeframe will resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of whether he ultimately takes the field. Relief appearances in which another quarterback takes the Las Vegas Raiders’ first offensive snap of that game will not count, and preseason and playoff games will not count.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed past October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the Las Vegas Raiders play no regular season games in Week 1 through Week 7, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official information from the NFL and/or the Las Vegas Raiders; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Fernando Mendoza is named the starting quarterback of the Las Vegas Raiders for a Las Vegas Raiders regular season game in Week 1 through Week 8 of the 2026-27 NFL season, on or before November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Fernando Mendoza will be considered "named the starting quarterback" if the Las Vegas Raiders officially announce him as their starting quarterback for a game within that timeframe, or if he takes the Las Vegas Raiders’ first offensive snap at quarterback in a game within that timeframe. An official announcement naming Fernando Mendoza the starting quarterback for a game within that timeframe will resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of whether he ultimately takes the field. Relief appearances in which another quarterback takes the Las Vegas Raiders’ first offensive snap of that game will not count, and preseason and playoff games will not count.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed past November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the Las Vegas Raiders play no regular season games in Week 1 through Week 8, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official information from the NFL and/or the Las Vegas Raiders; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Fernando Mendoza is named the starting quarterback of the Las Vegas Raiders for a Las Vegas Raiders regular season game in Week 1 through Week 9 of the 2026-27 NFL season, on or before November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Fernando Mendoza will be considered "named the starting quarterback" if the Las Vegas Raiders officially announce him as their starting quarterback for a game within that timeframe, or if he takes the Las Vegas Raiders’ first offensive snap at quarterback in a game within that timeframe. An official announcement naming Fernando Mendoza the starting quarterback for a game within that timeframe will resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of whether he ultimately takes the field. Relief appearances in which another quarterback takes the Las Vegas Raiders’ first offensive snap of that game will not count, and preseason and playoff games will not count.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed past November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the Las Vegas Raiders play no regular season games in Week 1 through Week 9, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official information from the NFL and/or the Las Vegas Raiders; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Fernando Mendoza is named the starting quarterback of the Las Vegas Raiders for a Las Vegas Raiders regular season game in Week 1 through Week 10 of the 2026-27 NFL season, on or before November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Fernando Mendoza will be considered "named the starting quarterback" if the Las Vegas Raiders officially announce him as their starting quarterback for a game within that timeframe, or if he takes the Las Vegas Raiders’ first offensive snap at quarterback in a game within that timeframe. An official announcement naming Fernando Mendoza the starting quarterback for a game within that timeframe will resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of whether he ultimately takes the field. Relief appearances in which another quarterback takes the Las Vegas Raiders’ first offensive snap of that game will not count, and preseason and playoff games will not count.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed past November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the Las Vegas Raiders play no regular season games in Week 1 through Week 10, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official information from the NFL and/or the Las Vegas Raiders; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Fernando Mendoza is named the starting quarterback of the Las Vegas Raiders for a Las Vegas Raiders regular season game in Week 1 through Week 11 of the 2026-27 NFL season, on or before November 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Fernando Mendoza will be considered "named the starting quarterback" if the Las Vegas Raiders officially announce him as their starting quarterback for a game within that timeframe, or if he takes the Las Vegas Raiders’ first offensive snap at quarterback in a game within that timeframe. An official announcement naming Fernando Mendoza the starting quarterback for a game within that timeframe will resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of whether he ultimately takes the field. Relief appearances in which another quarterback takes the Las Vegas Raiders’ first offensive snap of that game will not count, and preseason and playoff games will not count.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed past November 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the Las Vegas Raiders play no regular season games in Week 1 through Week 11, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official information from the NFL and/or the Las Vegas Raiders; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Fernando Mendoza is named the starting quarterback of the Las Vegas Raiders for a Las Vegas Raiders regular season game in Week 1 through Week 12 of the 2026-27 NFL season, on or before November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Fernando Mendoza will be considered "named the starting quarterback" if the Las Vegas Raiders officially announce him as their starting quarterback for a game within that timeframe, or if he takes the Las Vegas Raiders’ first offensive snap at quarterback in a game within that timeframe. An official announcement naming Fernando Mendoza the starting quarterback for a game within that timeframe will resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of whether he ultimately takes the field. Relief appearances in which another quarterback takes the Las Vegas Raiders’ first offensive snap of that game will not count, and preseason and playoff games will not count.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed past November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the Las Vegas Raiders play no regular season games in Week 1 through Week 12, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official information from the NFL and/or the Las Vegas Raiders; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Fernando Mendoza is named the starting quarterback of the Las Vegas Raiders for a Las Vegas Raiders regular season game in Week 1 through Week 13 of the 2026-27 NFL season, on or before December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Fernando Mendoza will be considered "named the starting quarterback" if the Las Vegas Raiders officially announce him as their starting quarterback for a game within that timeframe, or if he takes the Las Vegas Raiders’ first offensive snap at quarterback in a game within that timeframe. An official announcement naming Fernando Mendoza the starting quarterback for a game within that timeframe will resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of whether he ultimately takes the field. Relief appearances in which another quarterback takes the Las Vegas Raiders’ first offensive snap of that game will not count, and preseason and playoff games will not count.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed past December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the Las Vegas Raiders play no regular season games in Week 1 through Week 13, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official information from the NFL and/or the Las Vegas Raiders; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Fernando Mendoza is named the starting quarterback of the Las Vegas Raiders for a Las Vegas Raiders regular season game in Week 1 through Week 14 of the 2026-27 NFL season, on or before December 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Fernando Mendoza will be considered "named the starting quarterback" if the Las Vegas Raiders officially announce him as their starting quarterback for a game within that timeframe, or if he takes the Las Vegas Raiders’ first offensive snap at quarterback in a game within that timeframe. An official announcement naming Fernando Mendoza the starting quarterback for a game within that timeframe will resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of whether he ultimately takes the field. Relief appearances in which another quarterback takes the Las Vegas Raiders’ first offensive snap of that game will not count, and preseason and playoff games will not count.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed past December 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the Las Vegas Raiders play no regular season games in Week 1 through Week 14, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official information from the NFL and/or the Las Vegas Raiders; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Fernando Mendoza is named the starting quarterback of the Las Vegas Raiders for a Las Vegas Raiders regular season game in Week 1 through Week 15 of the 2026-27 NFL season, on or before December 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Fernando Mendoza will be considered "named the starting quarterback" if the Las Vegas Raiders officially announce him as their starting quarterback for a game within that timeframe, or if he takes the Las Vegas Raiders’ first offensive snap at quarterback in a game within that timeframe. An official announcement naming Fernando Mendoza the starting quarterback for a game within that timeframe will resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of whether he ultimately takes the field. Relief appearances in which another quarterback takes the Las Vegas Raiders’ first offensive snap of that game will not count, and preseason and playoff games will not count.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed past December 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the Las Vegas Raiders play no regular season games in Week 1 through Week 15, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official information from the NFL and/or the Las Vegas Raiders; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Fernando Mendoza is named the starting quarterback of the Las Vegas Raiders for a Las Vegas Raiders regular season game in Week 1 through Week 16 of the 2026-27 NFL season, on or before December 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Fernando Mendoza will be considered "named the starting quarterback" if the Las Vegas Raiders officially announce him as their starting quarterback for a game within that timeframe, or if he takes the Las Vegas Raiders’ first offensive snap at quarterback in a game within that timeframe. An official announcement naming Fernando Mendoza the starting quarterback for a game within that timeframe will resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of whether he ultimately takes the field. Relief appearances in which another quarterback takes the Las Vegas Raiders’ first offensive snap of that game will not count, and preseason and playoff games will not count.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed past December 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the Las Vegas Raiders play no regular season games in Week 1 through Week 16, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official information from the NFL and/or the Las Vegas Raiders; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Fernando Mendoza is named the starting quarterback of the Las Vegas Raiders for a Las Vegas Raiders regular season game in Week 1 through Week 17 of the 2026-27 NFL season, on or before January 4, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Fernando Mendoza will be considered "named the starting quarterback" if the Las Vegas Raiders officially announce him as their starting quarterback for a game within that timeframe, or if he takes the Las Vegas Raiders’ first offensive snap at quarterback in a game within that timeframe. An official announcement naming Fernando Mendoza the starting quarterback for a game within that timeframe will resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of whether he ultimately takes the field. Relief appearances in which another quarterback takes the Las Vegas Raiders’ first offensive snap of that game will not count, and preseason and playoff games will not count.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed past January 4, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or the Las Vegas Raiders play no regular season games in Week 1 through Week 17, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official information from the NFL and/or the Las Vegas Raiders; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Fernando Mendoza is named the starting quarterback of the Las Vegas Raiders for a Las Vegas Raiders regular season game in Week 1 through Week 18 of the 2026-27 NFL season, on or before January 11, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Fernando Mendoza will be considered "named the starting quarterback" if the Las Vegas Raiders officially announce him as their starting quarterback for a game within that timeframe, or if he takes the Las Vegas Raiders’ first offensive snap at quarterback in a game within that timeframe. An official announcement naming Fernando Mendoza the starting quarterback for a game within that timeframe will resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of whether he ultimately takes the field. Relief appearances in which another quarterback takes the Las Vegas Raiders’ first offensive snap of that game will not count, and preseason and playoff games will not count.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed past January 11, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or the Las Vegas Raiders play no regular season games in Week 1 through Week 18, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official information from the NFL and/or the Las Vegas Raiders; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Fernando Mendoza is named the starting quarterback of the Las Vegas Raiders for a Las Vegas Raiders regular season game in Week 1 through Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL season, on or before September 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Fernando Mendoza will be considered "named the starting quarterback" if the Las Vegas Raiders officially announce him as their starting quarterback for a game within that timeframe, or if he takes the Las Vegas Raiders’ first offensive snap at quarterback in a game within that timeframe. An official announcement naming Fernando Mendoza the starting quarterback for a game within that timeframe will resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of whether he ultimately takes the field. Relief appearances in which another quarterback takes the Las Vegas Raiders’ first offensive snap of that game will not count, and preseason and playoff games will not count.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed past September 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the Las Vegas Raiders play no regular season games in Week 1 through Week 1, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official information from the NFL and/or the Las Vegas Raiders; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Fernando Mendoza is named the starting quarterback of the Las Vegas Raiders for a Las Vegas Raiders regular season game in Week 1 through Week 2 of the 2026-27 NFL season, on or before September 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Fernando Mendoza will be considered "named the starting quarterback" if the Las Vegas Raiders officially announce him as their starting quarterback for a game within that timeframe, or if he takes the Las Vegas Raiders’ first offensive snap at quarterback in a game within that timeframe. An official announcement naming Fernando Mendoza the starting quarterback for a game within that timeframe will resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of whether he ultimately takes the field. Relief appearances in which another quarterback takes the Las Vegas Raiders’ first offensive snap of that game will not count, and preseason and playoff games will not count.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed past September 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the Las Vegas Raiders play no regular season games in Week 1 through Week 2, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official information from the NFL and/or the Las Vegas Raiders; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Raiders opened the 2026 season 2-0 behind Kirk Cousins, who was officially named starter in early September after outlasting rookie Fernando Mendoza in preseason and training camp. Mendoza, the No. 1 overall pick and 2025 Heisman winner, has remained QB2 on the depth chart, serving as backup without game snaps through Week 2 while preparing on the sideline. Head coach Klint Kubiak and the staff have emphasized a deliberate development timeline for the young quarterback in the new offense, with no reported injuries or performance issues forcing an immediate change. Recent team success and Cousins’ veteran stability have kept the implied probability of Mendoza earning the starting role by near-term deadlines relatively low, though ongoing wins or any late-season slump could accelerate the transition.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Fernando Mendoza is named the starting quarterback of the Las Vegas Raiders for a Las Vegas Raiders regular season game in Week 1 through Week 6 of the 2026-27 NFL season, on or before October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Fernando Mendoza will be considered "named the starting quarterback" if the Las Vegas Raiders officially announce him as their starting quarterback for a game within that timeframe, or if he takes the Las Vegas Raiders’ first offensive snap at quarterback in a game within that timeframe. An official announcement naming Fernando Mendoza the starting quarterback for a game within that timeframe will resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of whether he ultimately takes the field. Relief appearances in which another quarterback takes the Las Vegas Raiders’ first offensive snap of that game will not count, and preseason and playoff games will not count.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed past October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the Las Vegas Raiders play no regular season games in Week 1 through Week 6, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official information from the NFL and/or the Las Vegas Raiders; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Fernando Mendoza will be considered "named the starting quarterback" if the Las Vegas Raiders officially announce him as their starting quarterback for a game within that timeframe, or if he takes the Las Vegas Raiders’ first offensive snap at quarterback in a game within that timeframe. An official announcement naming Fernando Mendoza the starting quarterback for a game within that timeframe will resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of whether he ultimately takes the field. Relief appearances in which another quarterback takes the Las Vegas Raiders’ first offensive snap of that game will not count, and preseason and playoff games will not count.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed past October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the Las Vegas Raiders play no regular season games in Week 1 through Week 6, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official information from the NFL and/or the Las Vegas Raiders; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$9,704End Date
Jan 12, 2027Market Opened
Sep 3, 2026, 8:19 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Raiders opened the 2026 season 2-0 behind Kirk Cousins, who was officially named starter in early September after outlasting rookie Fernando Mendoza in preseason and training camp. Mendoza, the No. 1 overall pick and 2025 Heisman winner, has remained QB2 on the depth chart, serving as backup without game snaps through Week 2 while preparing on the sideline. Head coach Klint Kubiak and the staff have emphasized a deliberate development timeline for the young quarterback in the new offense, with no reported injuries or performance issues forcing an immediate change. Recent team success and Cousins’ veteran stability have kept the implied probability of Mendoza earning the starting role by near-term deadlines relatively low, though ongoing wins or any late-season slump could accelerate the transition.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions