The 50% implied probability reflects a closely contested balance between the record's extreme rarity—Eric Dickerson's 2,105 yards from 1984 remains untouched, with Saquon Barkley's 2,005 in 2024 the closest recent mark—and the potential for an outlier workload in today's 17-game schedule. Recent developments include Bijan Robinson's back-to-back 1,400-plus rushing seasons and AP top-RB honors, Jahmyr Gibbs's expanded role after David Montgomery's departure in Detroit, and strong projections for Jonathan Taylor and James Cook, all supported by improved offensive lines and run-friendly schemes. Yet committees, pass-first trends, injury risks, and typical seasonal outputs around 1,500 yards sustain equilibrium, with any sustained health for a true bell-cow back or defensive adjustments potentially shifting sentiment either direction.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWill any player break the NFL single-season rushing yards record in the 2026-27 season?
Will any player break the NFL single-season rushing yards record in the 2026-27 season?
50% chance
NEW
NEW
Jan 12, 2027
50% chance
NEW
NEW
Jan 12, 2027
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player records more than 2,105 rushing yards during the 2026-27 NFL regular season, thereby breaking the NFL single-season rushing yards record. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The NFL single-season rushing yards record is 2,105, set by Eric Dickerson in 1984. Matching the record exactly will not be sufficient; a player must exceed 2,105 rushing yards for this market to resolve to "Yes". Only regular season games count. Playoff games, including Wild Card, Divisional, Conference Championship, and Pro Football Championship games, do not count. A player's total is the total he records across all of his 2026-27 NFL regular season games, including games played for more than one team.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether any player exceeded 2,105 rushing yards within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 50% implied probability reflects a closely contested balance between the record's extreme rarity—Eric Dickerson's 2,105 yards from 1984 remains untouched, with Saquon Barkley's 2,005 in 2024 the closest recent mark—and the potential for an outlier workload in today's 17-game schedule. Recent developments include Bijan Robinson's back-to-back 1,400-plus rushing seasons and AP top-RB honors, Jahmyr Gibbs's expanded role after David Montgomery's departure in Detroit, and strong projections for Jonathan Taylor and James Cook, all supported by improved offensive lines and run-friendly schemes. Yet committees, pass-first trends, injury risks, and typical seasonal outputs around 1,500 yards sustain equilibrium, with any sustained health for a true bell-cow back or defensive adjustments potentially shifting sentiment either direction.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player records more than 2,105 rushing yards during the 2026-27 NFL regular season, thereby breaking the NFL single-season rushing yards record. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The NFL single-season rushing yards record is 2,105, set by Eric Dickerson in 1984. Matching the record exactly will not be sufficient; a player must exceed 2,105 rushing yards for this market to resolve to "Yes". Only regular season games count. Playoff games, including Wild Card, Divisional, Conference Championship, and Pro Football Championship games, do not count. A player's total is the total he records across all of his 2026-27 NFL regular season games, including games played for more than one team.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether any player exceeded 2,105 rushing yards within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The NFL single-season rushing yards record is 2,105, set by Eric Dickerson in 1984. Matching the record exactly will not be sufficient; a player must exceed 2,105 rushing yards for this market to resolve to "Yes". Only regular season games count. Playoff games, including Wild Card, Divisional, Conference Championship, and Pro Football Championship games, do not count. A player's total is the total he records across all of his 2026-27 NFL regular season games, including games played for more than one team.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether any player exceeded 2,105 rushing yards within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 4:22 PM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Jan 12, 2027Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 4:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player records more than 2,105 rushing yards during the 2026-27 NFL regular season, thereby breaking the NFL single-season rushing yards record. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The NFL single-season rushing yards record is 2,105, set by Eric Dickerson in 1984. Matching the record exactly will not be sufficient; a player must exceed 2,105 rushing yards for this market to resolve to "Yes". Only regular season games count. Playoff games, including Wild Card, Divisional, Conference Championship, and Pro Football Championship games, do not count. A player's total is the total he records across all of his 2026-27 NFL regular season games, including games played for more than one team.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether any player exceeded 2,105 rushing yards within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 50% implied probability reflects a closely contested balance between the record's extreme rarity—Eric Dickerson's 2,105 yards from 1984 remains untouched, with Saquon Barkley's 2,005 in 2024 the closest recent mark—and the potential for an outlier workload in today's 17-game schedule. Recent developments include Bijan Robinson's back-to-back 1,400-plus rushing seasons and AP top-RB honors, Jahmyr Gibbs's expanded role after David Montgomery's departure in Detroit, and strong projections for Jonathan Taylor and James Cook, all supported by improved offensive lines and run-friendly schemes. Yet committees, pass-first trends, injury risks, and typical seasonal outputs around 1,500 yards sustain equilibrium, with any sustained health for a true bell-cow back or defensive adjustments potentially shifting sentiment either direction.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player records more than 2,105 rushing yards during the 2026-27 NFL regular season, thereby breaking the NFL single-season rushing yards record. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The NFL single-season rushing yards record is 2,105, set by Eric Dickerson in 1984. Matching the record exactly will not be sufficient; a player must exceed 2,105 rushing yards for this market to resolve to "Yes". Only regular season games count. Playoff games, including Wild Card, Divisional, Conference Championship, and Pro Football Championship games, do not count. A player's total is the total he records across all of his 2026-27 NFL regular season games, including games played for more than one team.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether any player exceeded 2,105 rushing yards within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The NFL single-season rushing yards record is 2,105, set by Eric Dickerson in 1984. Matching the record exactly will not be sufficient; a player must exceed 2,105 rushing yards for this market to resolve to "Yes". Only regular season games count. Playoff games, including Wild Card, Divisional, Conference Championship, and Pro Football Championship games, do not count. A player's total is the total he records across all of his 2026-27 NFL regular season games, including games played for more than one team.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether any player exceeded 2,105 rushing yards within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$0End Date
Jan 12, 2027Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 4:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The 50% implied probability reflects a closely contested balance between the record's extreme rarity—Eric Dickerson's 2,105 yards from 1984 remains untouched, with Saquon Barkley's 2,005 in 2024 the closest recent mark—and the potential for an outlier workload in today's 17-game schedule. Recent developments include Bijan Robinson's back-to-back 1,400-plus rushing seasons and AP top-RB honors, Jahmyr Gibbs's expanded role after David Montgomery's departure in Detroit, and strong projections for Jonathan Taylor and James Cook, all supported by improved offensive lines and run-friendly schemes. Yet committees, pass-first trends, injury risks, and typical seasonal outputs around 1,500 yards sustain equilibrium, with any sustained health for a true bell-cow back or defensive adjustments potentially shifting sentiment either direction.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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