SpaceX's imminent IPO, with shares priced at $135 targeting a $1.75 trillion valuation and $75 billion raise, drives the market-implied odds favoring a $150-$200 closing price at 49.5%. Traders price in strong institutional demand and a potential debut pop on Nasdaq under ticker SPCX around June 12, supported by 2025 revenue of $18.67 billion implying roughly 94 times trailing sales. The $100-$150 range holds 30% odds, reflecting the fixed IPO price amid high multiples relative to peers, while lower probabilities on $200+ or sub-$100 outcomes highlight uncertainty around first-day trading dynamics and macroeconomic risk appetite. This skin-in-the-game consensus aligns with the record deal's scale exceeding prior benchmarks like Saudi Aramco.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$150～$200 50%
100ドル〜150ドル 30%
$200-$250 12%
250ドル以上 4%
新規
新規
2026/06/13
＜$100
2%
100ドル〜150ドル
30%
$150～$200
50%
$200-$250
12%
250ドル以上
4%
2028年以前の上場なし
1%
$150～$200 50%
100ドル〜150ドル 30%
$200-$250 12%
250ドル以上 4%
新規
新規
2026/06/13
＜$100
$244 Vol.
2%
100ドル〜150ドル
$241 Vol.
30%
$150～$200
$68 Vol.
50%
$200-$250
$12 Vol.
12%
250ドル以上
$25 Vol.
4%
2028年以前の上場なし
$635 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's closing share price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
The closing share price will be stated in the currency in which SpaceX's shares are denominated on the primary exchange.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.SpaceX's imminent IPO, with shares priced at $135 targeting a $1.75 trillion valuation and $75 billion raise, drives the market-implied odds favoring a $150-$200 closing price at 49.5%. Traders price in strong institutional demand and a potential debut pop on Nasdaq under ticker SPCX around June 12, supported by 2025 revenue of $18.67 billion implying roughly 94 times trailing sales. The $100-$150 range holds 30% odds, reflecting the fixed IPO price amid high multiples relative to peers, while lower probabilities on $200+ or sub-$100 outcomes highlight uncertainty around first-day trading dynamics and macroeconomic risk appetite. This skin-in-the-game consensus aligns with the record deal's scale exceeding prior benchmarks like Saudi Aramco.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's closing share price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
The closing share price will be stated in the currency in which SpaceX's shares are denominated on the primary exchange.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
The closing share price will be stated in the currency in which SpaceX's shares are denominated on the primary exchange.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
マーケット開始日： Jun 9, 2026, 1:32 AM ET
音量
$1,226終了日
2026/06/13マーケット開始日
Jun 9, 2026, 1:32 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on SpaceX's closing share price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
The closing share price will be stated in the currency in which SpaceX's shares are denominated on the primary exchange.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.SpaceX's imminent IPO, with shares priced at $135 targeting a $1.75 trillion valuation and $75 billion raise, drives the market-implied odds favoring a $150-$200 closing price at 49.5%. Traders price in strong institutional demand and a potential debut pop on Nasdaq under ticker SPCX around June 12, supported by 2025 revenue of $18.67 billion implying roughly 94 times trailing sales. The $100-$150 range holds 30% odds, reflecting the fixed IPO price amid high multiples relative to peers, while lower probabilities on $200+ or sub-$100 outcomes highlight uncertainty around first-day trading dynamics and macroeconomic risk appetite. This skin-in-the-game consensus aligns with the record deal's scale exceeding prior benchmarks like Saudi Aramco.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's closing share price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
The closing share price will be stated in the currency in which SpaceX's shares are denominated on the primary exchange.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
The closing share price will be stated in the currency in which SpaceX's shares are denominated on the primary exchange.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
音量
$1,226終了日
2026/06/13マーケット開始日
Jun 9, 2026, 1:32 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...SpaceX's imminent IPO, with shares priced at $135 targeting a $1.75 trillion valuation and $75 billion raise, drives the market-implied odds favoring a $150-$200 closing price at 49.5%. Traders price in strong institutional demand and a potential debut pop on Nasdaq under ticker SPCX around June 12, supported by 2025 revenue of $18.67 billion implying roughly 94 times trailing sales. The $100-$150 range holds 30% odds, reflecting the fixed IPO price amid high multiples relative to peers, while lower probabilities on $200+ or sub-$100 outcomes highlight uncertainty around first-day trading dynamics and macroeconomic risk appetite. This skin-in-the-game consensus aligns with the record deal's scale exceeding prior benchmarks like Saudi Aramco.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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