Visa hurdles for Shanghai-hosted TI 2026 create the main uncertainty, with recent PARIVISION visa problems at prior events highlighting how Chinese entry rules frequently force roster adjustments. Ongoing Dota roster instability—exemplified by Mikoto serving as a temporary stand-in for Aurora and Saksa initially joining Team Yandex in that role—adds to the balance, as last-minute injuries, regional qualifier fallout, or travel delays can prompt substitutions even for directly invited squads like Team Falcons or Team Liquid. Confirmed full-roster arrivals or official Valve updates on player eligibility would favor No, while additional reported visa denials or core-member absences would push Yes higher. The 50% pricing reflects this even split between stable cores and the scene’s history of on-site flexibility.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated50% chance
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This market will resolve "Yes" if at least one team fields a stand-in (substitute) player for one or more official matches at The International 2026 (TI 15), scheduled for August 13, 2026 to August 23, 2026, in Shanghai, China. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "stand-in" means any player who competes in an official TI 2026 match (Group Stage, Elimination Round, or Main Event) who is not listed as a member of that team's active roster on the team's page on Liquipedia (https://liquipedia.net/dota2) as of the start of The International 2026. This includes emergency substitutes, loaned players, or coaches/staff playing in place of a rostered player.
Any single official match in which a team fields at least one stand-in is sufficient for this market to resolve "Yes". The stand-in must actually play in a match that begins; a player being registered or named as a backup but never playing does not count.
If The International 2026 is canceled, or no official matches are played, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Valve and Liquipedia (https://liquipedia.net/dota2/The_International/2026); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Visa hurdles for Shanghai-hosted TI 2026 create the main uncertainty, with recent PARIVISION visa problems at prior events highlighting how Chinese entry rules frequently force roster adjustments. Ongoing Dota roster instability—exemplified by Mikoto serving as a temporary stand-in for Aurora and Saksa initially joining Team Yandex in that role—adds to the balance, as last-minute injuries, regional qualifier fallout, or travel delays can prompt substitutions even for directly invited squads like Team Falcons or Team Liquid. Confirmed full-roster arrivals or official Valve updates on player eligibility would favor No, while additional reported visa denials or core-member absences would push Yes higher. The 50% pricing reflects this even split between stable cores and the scene’s history of on-site flexibility.
This market will resolve "Yes" if at least one team fields a stand-in (substitute) player for one or more official matches at The International 2026 (TI 15), scheduled for August 13, 2026 to August 23, 2026, in Shanghai, China. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "stand-in" means any player who competes in an official TI 2026 match (Group Stage, Elimination Round, or Main Event) who is not listed as a member of that team's active roster on the team's page on Liquipedia (https://liquipedia.net/dota2) as of the start of The International 2026. This includes emergency substitutes, loaned players, or coaches/staff playing in place of a rostered player.
Any single official match in which a team fields at least one stand-in is sufficient for this market to resolve "Yes". The stand-in must actually play in a match that begins; a player being registered or named as a backup but never playing does not count.
If The International 2026 is canceled, or no official matches are played, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Valve and Liquipedia (https://liquipedia.net/dota2/The_International/2026); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For the purpose of this market, a "stand-in" means any player who competes in an official TI 2026 match (Group Stage, Elimination Round, or Main Event) who is not listed as a member of that team's active roster on the team's page on Liquipedia (https://liquipedia.net/dota2) as of the start of The International 2026. This includes emergency substitutes, loaned players, or coaches/staff playing in place of a rostered player.
Any single official match in which a team fields at least one stand-in is sufficient for this market to resolve "Yes". The stand-in must actually play in a match that begins; a player being registered or named as a backup but never playing does not count.
If The International 2026 is canceled, or no official matches are played, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Valve and Liquipedia (https://liquipedia.net/dota2/The_International/2026); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 6, 2026, 11:50 AM ET
Volume
$0Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 11:50 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve "Yes" if at least one team fields a stand-in (substitute) player for one or more official matches at The International 2026 (TI 15), scheduled for August 13, 2026 to August 23, 2026, in Shanghai, China. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "stand-in" means any player who competes in an official TI 2026 match (Group Stage, Elimination Round, or Main Event) who is not listed as a member of that team's active roster on the team's page on Liquipedia (https://liquipedia.net/dota2) as of the start of The International 2026. This includes emergency substitutes, loaned players, or coaches/staff playing in place of a rostered player.
Any single official match in which a team fields at least one stand-in is sufficient for this market to resolve "Yes". The stand-in must actually play in a match that begins; a player being registered or named as a backup but never playing does not count.
If The International 2026 is canceled, or no official matches are played, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Valve and Liquipedia (https://liquipedia.net/dota2/The_International/2026); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Visa hurdles for Shanghai-hosted TI 2026 create the main uncertainty, with recent PARIVISION visa problems at prior events highlighting how Chinese entry rules frequently force roster adjustments. Ongoing Dota roster instability—exemplified by Mikoto serving as a temporary stand-in for Aurora and Saksa initially joining Team Yandex in that role—adds to the balance, as last-minute injuries, regional qualifier fallout, or travel delays can prompt substitutions even for directly invited squads like Team Falcons or Team Liquid. Confirmed full-roster arrivals or official Valve updates on player eligibility would favor No, while additional reported visa denials or core-member absences would push Yes higher. The 50% pricing reflects this even split between stable cores and the scene’s history of on-site flexibility.
This market will resolve "Yes" if at least one team fields a stand-in (substitute) player for one or more official matches at The International 2026 (TI 15), scheduled for August 13, 2026 to August 23, 2026, in Shanghai, China. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "stand-in" means any player who competes in an official TI 2026 match (Group Stage, Elimination Round, or Main Event) who is not listed as a member of that team's active roster on the team's page on Liquipedia (https://liquipedia.net/dota2) as of the start of The International 2026. This includes emergency substitutes, loaned players, or coaches/staff playing in place of a rostered player.
Any single official match in which a team fields at least one stand-in is sufficient for this market to resolve "Yes". The stand-in must actually play in a match that begins; a player being registered or named as a backup but never playing does not count.
If The International 2026 is canceled, or no official matches are played, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Valve and Liquipedia (https://liquipedia.net/dota2/The_International/2026); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For the purpose of this market, a "stand-in" means any player who competes in an official TI 2026 match (Group Stage, Elimination Round, or Main Event) who is not listed as a member of that team's active roster on the team's page on Liquipedia (https://liquipedia.net/dota2) as of the start of The International 2026. This includes emergency substitutes, loaned players, or coaches/staff playing in place of a rostered player.
Any single official match in which a team fields at least one stand-in is sufficient for this market to resolve "Yes". The stand-in must actually play in a match that begins; a player being registered or named as a backup but never playing does not count.
If The International 2026 is canceled, or no official matches are played, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Valve and Liquipedia (https://liquipedia.net/dota2/The_International/2026); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$0Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 11:50 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Visa hurdles for Shanghai-hosted TI 2026 create the main uncertainty, with recent PARIVISION visa problems at prior events highlighting how Chinese entry rules frequently force roster adjustments. Ongoing Dota roster instability—exemplified by Mikoto serving as a temporary stand-in for Aurora and Saksa initially joining Team Yandex in that role—adds to the balance, as last-minute injuries, regional qualifier fallout, or travel delays can prompt substitutions even for directly invited squads like Team Falcons or Team Liquid. Confirmed full-roster arrivals or official Valve updates on player eligibility would favor No, while additional reported visa denials or core-member absences would push Yes higher. The 50% pricing reflects this even split between stable cores and the scene’s history of on-site flexibility.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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