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icon for UEFA Champions League: Team to advance to 2027 semis
Sports·UCL

UEFA Champions League: Team to advance to 2027 semis

icon for UEFA Champions League: Team to advance to 2027 semis
Sports·UCL

UEFA Champions League: Team to advance to 2027 semis

$19,748 Vol.

Apr 18, 2027
Polymarket

$19,748 Vol.

Polymarket

Real Madrid

$254 Vol.

49%

Arsenal

$2,159 Vol.

47%

Bayern Munich

$1,646 Vol.

46%

Barcelona

$1,641 Vol.

46%

Paris Saint-Germain

$42 Vol.

37%

Manchester City

$32 Vol.

35%

Inter Milan

$164 Vol.

24%

Liverpool

$0 Vol.

14%

Como

$497 Vol.

14%

Atlético Madrid

$42 Vol.

13%

Borussia Dortmund

$2 Vol.

13%

Real Betis

$142 Vol.

11%

Manchester United

$0 Vol.

10%

RB Leipzig

$21 Vol.

9%

Aston Villa

$0 Vol.

9%

Roma

$4,608 Vol.

9%

Napoli

$21 Vol.

8%

Porto

$20 Vol.

8%

Sporting CP

$42 Vol.

8%

Fenerbahçe

$125 Vol.

8%

PSV Eindhoven

$21 Vol.

7%

Slavia Prague

$102 Vol.

6%

VfB Stuttgart

$462 Vol.

5%

Lens

$21 Vol.

5%

Shakhtar Donetsk

$81 Vol.

5%

Villarreal

$21 Vol.

5%

Club Brugge

$21 Vol.

4%

Galatasaray

$1,574 Vol.

4%

AEK Athens

$133 Vol.

4%

Feyenoord

$1,514 Vol.

3%

Lille

$57 Vol.

3%

Bodø/Glimt

$617 Vol.

3%

LASK

$376 Vol.

3%

Viking

$212 Vol.

2%

Sabah

$327 Vol.

2%

Slovan Bratislava

$2,751 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2027 UEFA Champions League semifinal. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the UEFA Champions League semifinal (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2027 UEFA Champions League is cancelled, postponed after May 20, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or the 2027 UEFA Champions League semifinal matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**PSG enters the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League league phase as the clear frontrunner for a three-peat after strong opening results, including a 6-1 win over Slovan Bratislava, while Bayern Munich, Barcelona, and Manchester City also posted convincing victories in Matchday 1.** The expanded 36-team format requires eight matches through January 2027, with the top eight advancing directly to the round of 16 and teams ranked 9-24 entering knockout play-offs in February. Historical performance, squad depth, and domestic form heavily influence implied probabilities for reaching the April-May semifinals, as the path includes potential two-legged ties and high-stakes knockout stages. Early goal-difference margins and results against weaker sides have shaped initial trader positioning, though the long timeline leaves room for injuries, fixture congestion, and mid-season shifts among contenders like Real Madrid, Arsenal, and Liverpool. Upcoming October clashes, including Manchester City versus PSG and Bayern versus Arsenal, will provide further clarity on current trajectories.

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2027 UEFA Champions League semifinal.

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the UEFA Champions League semifinal (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2027 UEFA Champions League is cancelled, postponed after May 20, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or the 2027 UEFA Champions League semifinal matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2027 UEFA Champions League semifinal. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the UEFA Champions League semifinal (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2027 UEFA Champions League is cancelled, postponed after May 20, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or the 2027 UEFA Champions League semifinal matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$19,748
End Date
Apr 18, 2027
Market Opened
Sep 2, 2026, 5:58 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2027 UEFA Champions League semifinal. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the UEFA Champions League semifinal (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2027 UEFA Champions League is cancelled, postponed after May 20, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or the 2027 UEFA Champions League semifinal matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**PSG enters the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League league phase as the clear frontrunner for a three-peat after strong opening results, including a 6-1 win over Slovan Bratislava, while Bayern Munich, Barcelona, and Manchester City also posted convincing victories in Matchday 1.** The expanded 36-team format requires eight matches through January 2027, with the top eight advancing directly to the round of 16 and teams ranked 9-24 entering knockout play-offs in February. Historical performance, squad depth, and domestic form heavily influence implied probabilities for reaching the April-May semifinals, as the path includes potential two-legged ties and high-stakes knockout stages. Early goal-difference margins and results against weaker sides have shaped initial trader positioning, though the long timeline leaves room for injuries, fixture congestion, and mid-season shifts among contenders like Real Madrid, Arsenal, and Liverpool. Upcoming October clashes, including Manchester City versus PSG and Bayern versus Arsenal, will provide further clarity on current trajectories.

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2027 UEFA Champions League semifinal.

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the UEFA Champions League semifinal (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2027 UEFA Champions League is cancelled, postponed after May 20, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or the 2027 UEFA Champions League semifinal matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2027 UEFA Champions League semifinal. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the UEFA Champions League semifinal (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2027 UEFA Champions League is cancelled, postponed after May 20, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or the 2027 UEFA Champions League semifinal matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$19,748
End Date
Apr 18, 2027
Market Opened
Sep 2, 2026, 5:58 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"UEFA Champions League: Team to advance to 2027 semis" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 36 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Real Madrid" at 49%, followed by "Arsenal" at 47%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 49¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 49% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "UEFA Champions League: Team to advance to 2027 semis" has generated $19.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Sep 2, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "UEFA Champions League: Team to advance to 2027 semis," browse the 36 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "UEFA Champions League: Team to advance to 2027 semis" is "Real Madrid" at 49%, meaning the market assigns a 49% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Arsenal" at 47%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "UEFA Champions League: Team to advance to 2027 semis" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.