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Sports·Tennis

US Open 2026: To Reach the Final (Men's Singles)

icon for US Open 2026: To Reach the Final (Men's Singles)
Sports·Tennis

US Open 2026: To Reach the Final (Men's Singles)

$24,425 Vol.

Sep 12, 2026
Polymarket

$24,425 Vol.

Polymarket

Alexander Zverev

$505 Vol.

42%

Carlos Alcaraz

$1,703 Vol.

30%

Taylor Fritz

$22 Vol.

29%

Felix Auger-Aliassime

$62 Vol.

28%

Flavio Cobolli

$21 Vol.

24%

Frances Tiafoe

$0 Vol.

23%

Rafael Jodar

$2,194 Vol.

27%

Daniil Medvedev

$5 Vol.

15%

Novak Djokovic

$424 Vol.

14%

Ben Shelton

$47 Vol.

14%

Arthur Fils

$145 Vol.

12%

Jakub Mensik

$1,024 Vol.

27%

Brandon Nakashima

$671 Vol.

7%

Tommy Paul

$30 Vol.

5%

Learner Tien

$1 Vol.

5%

Alex de Minaur

$1,018 Vol.

5%

Tomas Martin Etcheverry

$141 Vol.

5%

Alexander Bublik

$155 Vol.

5%

Valentin Vacherot

$103 Vol.

5%

Michael Zheng

$205 Vol.

5%

Luciano Darderi

$1 Vol.

4%

Alejandro Tabilo

$1 Vol.

4%

Arthur Rinderknech

$212 Vol.

4%

Carlos Taberner

$108 Vol.

4%

Gael Monfils

$263 Vol.

4%

Dane Sweeny

$345 Vol.

4%

J.J. Wolf

$143 Vol.

4%

Thanasi Kokkinakis

$228 Vol.

4%

Filip Misolic

$128 Vol.

4%

Lorenzo Musetti

$1 Vol.

3%

Jiri Lehecka

$101 Vol.

3%

Juncheng Shang

$183 Vol.

3%

Darwin Blanch

$268 Vol.

3%

Andrey Rublev

$236 Vol.

3%

Sebastian Gorzny

$268 Vol.

3%

Francisco Cerundolo

$335 Vol.

2%

Alexander Blockx

$195 Vol.

2%

Zizou Bergs

$189 Vol.

2%

Jack Kennedy

$1,943 Vol.

<1%

Cameron Norrie

$439 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Final at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Final at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Final have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and ATP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Carlos Alcaraz enters the 2026 US Open as the leading favorite to reach the final despite a four-month absence with a right wrist injury, his first competitive action since April, while world No. 1 Jannik Sinner withdrew with a knee issue that has widened the field. Top seed Alexander Zverev, fresh off a French Open title and Wimbledon final, holds the next-strongest position with a relatively favorable path, followed by Novak Djokovic, Ben Shelton, Arthur Fils, and Taylor Fritz. The draw reveal highlighted bracket imbalances, with Alcaraz facing an early test against Roman Safiullin and several Americans benefiting from home-crowd support and recent form on hard courts. Market pricing reflects trader emphasis on Alcaraz’s proven Grand Slam pedigree versus uncertainty around his match fitness and the depth of challengers in both halves.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Final at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No".

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Final at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Final have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and ATP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$24,425
End Date
Sep 12, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 11:22 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Final at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Final at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Final have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and ATP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Final at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Final at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Final have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and ATP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Carlos Alcaraz enters the 2026 US Open as the leading favorite to reach the final despite a four-month absence with a right wrist injury, his first competitive action since April, while world No. 1 Jannik Sinner withdrew with a knee issue that has widened the field. Top seed Alexander Zverev, fresh off a French Open title and Wimbledon final, holds the next-strongest position with a relatively favorable path, followed by Novak Djokovic, Ben Shelton, Arthur Fils, and Taylor Fritz. The draw reveal highlighted bracket imbalances, with Alcaraz facing an early test against Roman Safiullin and several Americans benefiting from home-crowd support and recent form on hard courts. Market pricing reflects trader emphasis on Alcaraz’s proven Grand Slam pedigree versus uncertainty around his match fitness and the depth of challengers in both halves.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Final at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No".

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Final at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Final have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and ATP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$24,425
End Date
Sep 12, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 11:22 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Final at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Final at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Final have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and ATP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"US Open 2026: To Reach the Final (Men's Singles)" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 44+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Alexander Zverev" at 42%, followed by "Carlos Alcaraz" at 30%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 42¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 42% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "US Open 2026: To Reach the Final (Men's Singles)" has generated $24.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 25, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "US Open 2026: To Reach the Final (Men's Singles)," browse the 44+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "US Open 2026: To Reach the Final (Men's Singles)" is "Alexander Zverev" at 42%, meaning the market assigns a 42% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Carlos Alcaraz" at 30%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "US Open 2026: To Reach the Final (Men's Singles)" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.