The bunched implied probabilities around 40-50% for contenders including Evil Geniuses, FURIA, MIBR, NRG, G2 Esports, Sentinels, LOUD, and others reflect the balanced roster depth and roster momentum heading into VCT Americas Stage 2, which begins July 16 with a fresh group stage format. Recent Kickoff results showed parity, as FURIA claimed the title over G2 while NRG and MIBR posted strong finishes, underscoring how map pool execution, agent meta adaptation, and mid-season adjustments keep outcomes uncertain. The draw mixing seeds with potential Play-In challengers further compresses edges, as no single squad holds a sustained advantage in head-to-head history or current form across the condensed schedule leading to São Paulo playoffs.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedEvil Geniuses 90%
FURIA 90%
MIBR 90%
NRG 90%
NEW
NEW
Evil Geniuses
90%
FURIA
90%
MIBR
90%
NRG
90%
LEVIATÁN
80%
ENVY
80%
100 Thieves
80%
Cloud9
80%
LOUD
80%
Sentinels
80%
KRÜ Esports
41%
G2 Esports
41%
Evil Geniuses 90%
FURIA 90%
MIBR 90%
NRG 90%
NEW
NEW
Evil Geniuses
$0 Vol.
90%
FURIA
$0 Vol.
90%
MIBR
$0 Vol.
90%
NRG
$0 Vol.
90%
LEVIATÁN
$0 Vol.
80%
ENVY
$0 Vol.
80%
100 Thieves
$0 Vol.
80%
Cloud9
$0 Vol.
80%
LOUD
$0 Vol.
80%
Sentinels
$0 Vol.
80%
KRÜ Esports
$0 Vol.
41%
G2 Esports
$0 Vol.
41%
This market will resolve according to the winner of VCT 2026: Americas Stage 2, currently scheduled for July 16, 2026 to September 6, 2026.
If this tournament is postponed after September 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."
If multiple teams are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Riot Games (https://liquipedia.net/valorant/VCT/2026/Americas_League/Stage_2); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The bunched implied probabilities around 40-50% for contenders including Evil Geniuses, FURIA, MIBR, NRG, G2 Esports, Sentinels, LOUD, and others reflect the balanced roster depth and roster momentum heading into VCT Americas Stage 2, which begins July 16 with a fresh group stage format. Recent Kickoff results showed parity, as FURIA claimed the title over G2 while NRG and MIBR posted strong finishes, underscoring how map pool execution, agent meta adaptation, and mid-season adjustments keep outcomes uncertain. The draw mixing seeds with potential Play-In challengers further compresses edges, as no single squad holds a sustained advantage in head-to-head history or current form across the condensed schedule leading to São Paulo playoffs.
This market will resolve according to the winner of VCT 2026: Americas Stage 2, currently scheduled for July 16, 2026 to September 6, 2026.
If this tournament is postponed after September 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."
If multiple teams are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Riot Games (https://liquipedia.net/valorant/VCT/2026/Americas_League/Stage_2); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If this tournament is postponed after September 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."
If multiple teams are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Riot Games (https://liquipedia.net/valorant/VCT/2026/Americas_League/Stage_2); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 14, 2026, 9:57 PM ET
Volume
$0Market Opened
Jul 14, 2026, 9:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the winner of VCT 2026: Americas Stage 2, currently scheduled for July 16, 2026 to September 6, 2026.
If this tournament is postponed after September 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."
If multiple teams are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Riot Games (https://liquipedia.net/valorant/VCT/2026/Americas_League/Stage_2); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The bunched implied probabilities around 40-50% for contenders including Evil Geniuses, FURIA, MIBR, NRG, G2 Esports, Sentinels, LOUD, and others reflect the balanced roster depth and roster momentum heading into VCT Americas Stage 2, which begins July 16 with a fresh group stage format. Recent Kickoff results showed parity, as FURIA claimed the title over G2 while NRG and MIBR posted strong finishes, underscoring how map pool execution, agent meta adaptation, and mid-season adjustments keep outcomes uncertain. The draw mixing seeds with potential Play-In challengers further compresses edges, as no single squad holds a sustained advantage in head-to-head history or current form across the condensed schedule leading to São Paulo playoffs.
This market will resolve according to the winner of VCT 2026: Americas Stage 2, currently scheduled for July 16, 2026 to September 6, 2026.
If this tournament is postponed after September 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."
If multiple teams are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Riot Games (https://liquipedia.net/valorant/VCT/2026/Americas_League/Stage_2); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If this tournament is postponed after September 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."
If multiple teams are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Riot Games (https://liquipedia.net/valorant/VCT/2026/Americas_League/Stage_2); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$0Market Opened
Jul 14, 2026, 9:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The bunched implied probabilities around 40-50% for contenders including Evil Geniuses, FURIA, MIBR, NRG, G2 Esports, Sentinels, LOUD, and others reflect the balanced roster depth and roster momentum heading into VCT Americas Stage 2, which begins July 16 with a fresh group stage format. Recent Kickoff results showed parity, as FURIA claimed the title over G2 while NRG and MIBR posted strong finishes, underscoring how map pool execution, agent meta adaptation, and mid-season adjustments keep outcomes uncertain. The draw mixing seeds with potential Play-In challengers further compresses edges, as no single squad holds a sustained advantage in head-to-head history or current form across the condensed schedule leading to São Paulo playoffs.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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