Merab Dvalishvili’s recent unanimous decision loss to Petr Yan in their UFC 323 rematch has positioned the former champion as the clear frontrunner for their anticipated trilogy bout later this summer, with traders assigning Yan the highest implied probability among bantamweight options. Yan’s confirmed commitment to an immediate rematch upon Dvalishvili’s recovery aligns with the UFC’s preference for high-stakes title rematches, while Dvalishvili’s scheduled non-UFC appearance against Frankie Edgar on May 30 serves mainly as a tune-up to maintain momentum. Deiveson Figueiredo and Umar Nurmagomedov sit close behind due to their strong recent performances and division rankings, though neither has received official matchmaking signals comparable to Yan’s. Cory Sandhagen and Aiemann Zahabi register lower but viable probabilities as stylistic alternatives should the trilogy timeline shift, reflecting the wisdom of crowds pricing in both historical rivalry context and current roster dynamics.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedPetr Yan 58%
Umar Nurmagomedov 41.1%
Deiveson Figueiredo 37.4%
Cory Sandhagen 4.2%
$14,204 Vol.
$14,204 Vol.
Petr Yan
58%
Umar Nurmagomedov
41%
Deiveson Figueiredo
37%
Cory Sandhagen
24%
Sean O'Malley
4%
Payton Talbott
1%
Alexandre Pantoja
1%
Ricky Simón
1%
Rob Font
1%
Pedro Munhoz
1%
Song Yadong
<1%
Alexander Volkanovski
<1%
Aiemann Zahabi
27%
Petr Yan 58%
Umar Nurmagomedov 41.1%
Deiveson Figueiredo 37.4%
Cory Sandhagen 4.2%
$14,204 Vol.
$14,204 Vol.
Petr Yan
58%
Umar Nurmagomedov
41%
Deiveson Figueiredo
37%
Cory Sandhagen
24%
Sean O'Malley
4%
Payton Talbott
1%
Alexandre Pantoja
1%
Ricky Simón
1%
Rob Font
1%
Pedro Munhoz
1%
Song Yadong
<1%
Alexander Volkanovski
<1%
Aiemann Zahabi
27%
Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Merab Dvalishvili is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.
Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.
If Dvalishvili is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/).
Market Opened: Dec 8, 2025, 5:17 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Merab Dvalishvili is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.
Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.
If Dvalishvili is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Merab Dvalishvili’s recent unanimous decision loss to Petr Yan in their UFC 323 rematch has positioned the former champion as the clear frontrunner for their anticipated trilogy bout later this summer, with traders assigning Yan the highest implied probability among bantamweight options. Yan’s confirmed commitment to an immediate rematch upon Dvalishvili’s recovery aligns with the UFC’s preference for high-stakes title rematches, while Dvalishvili’s scheduled non-UFC appearance against Frankie Edgar on May 30 serves mainly as a tune-up to maintain momentum. Deiveson Figueiredo and Umar Nurmagomedov sit close behind due to their strong recent performances and division rankings, though neither has received official matchmaking signals comparable to Yan’s. Cory Sandhagen and Aiemann Zahabi register lower but viable probabilities as stylistic alternatives should the trilogy timeline shift, reflecting the wisdom of crowds pricing in both historical rivalry context and current roster dynamics.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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