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icon for Une équipe participera-t-elle à plus de 3 tirs au but dans la phase à élimination directe ?
Sports·Coupe Du Monde De La FIFA

Une équipe participera-t-elle à plus de 3 tirs au but dans la phase à élimination directe ?

icon for Une équipe participera-t-elle à plus de 3 tirs au but dans la phase à élimination directe ?
Sports·Coupe Du Monde De La FIFA

Une équipe participera-t-elle à plus de 3 tirs au but dans la phase à élimination directe ?

18% chance
Polymarket
NOUVEAU
18% chance
Polymarket
NOUVEAU
This market will resolve “Yes” if any single team participates in three or more penalty shootouts across the knockout phase of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purpose of this market, the knockout phase consists of any game played after the group stage (Round of 32 onward, inclusive of the 3rd-place game). A penalty shootout is counted for both teams that participate in it. The three shootouts must be reached by the same team. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether any team participated in three or more shootouts within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.In the expanded 2026 World Cup knockout phase, the 82.5% implied probability that no team reaches three or more penalty shootouts reflects the historical rarity of any side advancing repeatedly via shootouts across multiple rounds. Strong defensive setups, set-piece execution, and extra-time resolution typically decide most ties before penalties, limiting opportunities for prolonged shootout sequences even with an added round of 32. Teams reaching later stages often mix regular-time or extra-time wins with occasional shootouts rather than relying on them consecutively, as seen in prior tournaments. While individual squads may boast penalty specialists or favorable matchups, the combination of form, fatigue, and variance across a deep run makes three-plus appearances for one team statistically uncommon.

This market will resolve “Yes” if any single team participates in three or more penalty shootouts across the knockout phase of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

For the purpose of this market, the knockout phase consists of any game played after the group stage (Round of 32 onward, inclusive of the 3rd-place game). A penalty shootout is counted for both teams that participate in it. The three shootouts must be reached by the same team.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether any team participated in three or more shootouts within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$0
Date de fin
20 juil. 2026
Marché ouvert
Jun 9, 2026, 6:10 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve “Yes” if any single team participates in three or more penalty shootouts across the knockout phase of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purpose of this market, the knockout phase consists of any game played after the group stage (Round of 32 onward, inclusive of the 3rd-place game). A penalty shootout is counted for both teams that participate in it. The three shootouts must be reached by the same team. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether any team participated in three or more shootouts within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve “Yes” if any single team participates in three or more penalty shootouts across the knockout phase of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purpose of this market, the knockout phase consists of any game played after the group stage (Round of 32 onward, inclusive of the 3rd-place game). A penalty shootout is counted for both teams that participate in it. The three shootouts must be reached by the same team. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether any team participated in three or more shootouts within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.In the expanded 2026 World Cup knockout phase, the 82.5% implied probability that no team reaches three or more penalty shootouts reflects the historical rarity of any side advancing repeatedly via shootouts across multiple rounds. Strong defensive setups, set-piece execution, and extra-time resolution typically decide most ties before penalties, limiting opportunities for prolonged shootout sequences even with an added round of 32. Teams reaching later stages often mix regular-time or extra-time wins with occasional shootouts rather than relying on them consecutively, as seen in prior tournaments. While individual squads may boast penalty specialists or favorable matchups, the combination of form, fatigue, and variance across a deep run makes three-plus appearances for one team statistically uncommon.

This market will resolve “Yes” if any single team participates in three or more penalty shootouts across the knockout phase of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

For the purpose of this market, the knockout phase consists of any game played after the group stage (Round of 32 onward, inclusive of the 3rd-place game). A penalty shootout is counted for both teams that participate in it. The three shootouts must be reached by the same team.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether any team participated in three or more shootouts within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$0
Date de fin
20 juil. 2026
Marché ouvert
Jun 9, 2026, 6:10 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve “Yes” if any single team participates in three or more penalty shootouts across the knockout phase of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purpose of this market, the knockout phase consists of any game played after the group stage (Round of 32 onward, inclusive of the 3rd-place game). A penalty shootout is counted for both teams that participate in it. The three shootouts must be reached by the same team. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether any team participated in three or more shootouts within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Questions fréquentes

« Une équipe participera-t-elle à plus de 3 tirs au but dans la phase à élimination directe ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket où les traders achètent et vendent des parts « Oui » ou « Non » selon qu'ils estiment que cet événement se produira ou non. La probabilité actuelle selon la communauté est de 18% pour « Yes ». Par exemple, si « Oui » est coté à 18¢, le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 18% que cet événement se produise. Ces cotes changent en permanence à mesure que les traders réagissent aux nouveaux développements et informations. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Une équipe participera-t-elle à plus de 3 tirs au but dans la phase à élimination directe ? » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Jun 9, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Une équipe participera-t-elle à plus de 3 tirs au but dans la phase à élimination directe ? », choisissez simplement si vous pensez que la réponse est « Oui » ou « Non ». Chaque côté a un prix actuel qui reflète la probabilité implicite du marché. Entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si vous achetez des parts « Oui » et que le résultat se résout comme « Oui », chaque part rapporte $1. S'il se résout comme « Non », vos parts « Oui » rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts à tout moment avant la résolution pour sécuriser un gain ou limiter une perte.

La probabilité actuelle pour « Une équipe participera-t-elle à plus de 3 tirs au but dans la phase à élimination directe ? » est de 18% pour « Yes ». Cela signifie que la communauté Polymarket estime actuellement qu'il y a une probabilité de 18% que cet événement se produise. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel sur la base de transactions réelles, fournissant un signal continuellement actualisé de ce que le marché attend.

Les règles de résolution de « Une équipe participera-t-elle à plus de 3 tirs au but dans la phase à élimination directe ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.