Ongoing legislative momentum in Illinois to secure property tax incentives for a new domed stadium in Arlington Heights has anchored trader expectations that the Bears will remain in the state through year-end. The House advanced a megaprojects bill in April that enables payment-in-lieu-of-taxes arrangements, keeping negotiations alive despite Senate delays and Chicago mayor opposition favoring a city-center option. Indiana’s competing incentives for a Hammond site add pressure, yet recent bipartisan progress and statements from state leaders signal a realistic path to an in-state resolution before December 31. With the franchise’s valuation and fan base tied to Illinois roots, any full out-of-state relocation would require clearing significant political and infrastructure hurdles unlikely to materialize in the remaining months.