France's status as the top-ranked side with exceptional squad depth, including Kylian Mbappé and experienced leadership under Didier Deschamps, drives their 65.5% implied probability to top Group I. Norway's 24.5% reflects strong recent qualification form and the potent Erling Haaland-Martin Ødegaard partnership, though they lack France's overall balance. Senegal at 11.0% benefits from African Cup pedigree, Sadio Mané's influence, and defensive organization, creating a competitive matchup against higher-seeded opponents. Iraq's 0.8% aligns with their lower FIFA ranking and limited recent international success ahead of their return to the World Cup stage. The group opens with France versus Senegal on June 16, followed by Iraq versus Norway, underscoring how pre-tournament form and individual talent shape trader consensus.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoFrancia 66%
Norvegia 25%
Senegal 11%
Iraq <1%
$467,472 Vol.
$467,472 Vol.
27 giu 2026
Francia
66%
Norvegia
25%
Senegal
11%
Iraq
1%
Francia 66%
Norvegia 25%
Senegal 11%
Iraq <1%
$467,472 Vol.
$467,472 Vol.
27 giu 2026
Francia
$204,392 Vol.
66%
Norvegia
$66,771 Vol.
25%
Senegal
$93,992 Vol.
11%
Iraq
$102,378 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.France's status as the top-ranked side with exceptional squad depth, including Kylian Mbappé and experienced leadership under Didier Deschamps, drives their 65.5% implied probability to top Group I. Norway's 24.5% reflects strong recent qualification form and the potent Erling Haaland-Martin Ødegaard partnership, though they lack France's overall balance. Senegal at 11.0% benefits from African Cup pedigree, Sadio Mané's influence, and defensive organization, creating a competitive matchup against higher-seeded opponents. Iraq's 0.8% aligns with their lower FIFA ranking and limited recent international success ahead of their return to the World Cup stage. The group opens with France versus Senegal on June 16, followed by Iraq versus Norway, underscoring how pre-tournament form and individual talent shape trader consensus.
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Dec 5, 2025, 7:01 PM ET
Volume
$467,472Data di fine
27 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 5, 2025, 7:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.France's status as the top-ranked side with exceptional squad depth, including Kylian Mbappé and experienced leadership under Didier Deschamps, drives their 65.5% implied probability to top Group I. Norway's 24.5% reflects strong recent qualification form and the potent Erling Haaland-Martin Ødegaard partnership, though they lack France's overall balance. Senegal at 11.0% benefits from African Cup pedigree, Sadio Mané's influence, and defensive organization, creating a competitive matchup against higher-seeded opponents. Iraq's 0.8% aligns with their lower FIFA ranking and limited recent international success ahead of their return to the World Cup stage. The group opens with France versus Senegal on June 16, followed by Iraq versus Norway, underscoring how pre-tournament form and individual talent shape trader consensus.
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$467,472Data di fine
27 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 5, 2025, 7:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...France's status as the top-ranked side with exceptional squad depth, including Kylian Mbappé and experienced leadership under Didier Deschamps, drives their 65.5% implied probability to top Group I. Norway's 24.5% reflects strong recent qualification form and the potent Erling Haaland-Martin Ødegaard partnership, though they lack France's overall balance. Senegal at 11.0% benefits from African Cup pedigree, Sadio Mané's influence, and defensive organization, creating a competitive matchup against higher-seeded opponents. Iraq's 0.8% aligns with their lower FIFA ranking and limited recent international success ahead of their return to the World Cup stage. The group opens with France versus Senegal on June 16, followed by Iraq versus Norway, underscoring how pre-tournament form and individual talent shape trader consensus.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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