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運動·足球

世界盃：國家隊進入四分之一決賽

icon for 世界盃：國家隊進入四分之一決賽
運動·足球

世界盃：國家隊進入四分之一決賽

$594,855 交易量

Polymarket

$594,855 交易量

Polymarket

Spain

$96,424 交易量

63%

France

$42,255 交易量

62%

England

$34,679 交易量

57%

Argentina

$64,585 交易量

53%

Portugal

$130,639 交易量

52%

Brazil

$16,808 交易量

50%

Germany

$3,430 交易量

41%

Netherlands

$9,077 交易量

38%

Belgium

$10,004 交易量

37%

USA

$22,395 交易量

35%

Mexico

$38,318 交易量

32%

Norway

$9,209 交易量

30%

Morocco

$8,601 交易量

29%

Colombia

$10,294 交易量

29%

Japan

$29,346 交易量

25%

Uruguay

$1,805 交易量

22%

Croatia

$5,605 交易量

20%

Ecuador

$11,601 交易量

18%

Switzerland

$2,008 交易量

16%

South Korea

$5,708 交易量

16%

Senegal

$3,794 交易量

14%

Austria

$1,681 交易量

14%

Australia

$489 交易量

12%

Ivory Coast

$4,463 交易量

12%

Turkiye

$6,591 交易量

12%

Canada

$659 交易量

10%

Scotland

$589 交易量

9%

Sweden

$1,486 交易量

9%

Bosnia and Herzegovina

$1,141 交易量

9%

Ghana

$4,264 交易量

8%

Algeria

$724 交易量

7%

Egypt

$1,267 交易量

7%

Czechia

$184 交易量

7%

Iran

$806 交易量

5%

Paraguay

$2,011 交易量

5%

DR Congo

$4,089 交易量

4%

Uzbekistan

$139 交易量

4%

Qatar

$16 交易量

3%

Cape Verde

$803 交易量

3%

South Africa

$551 交易量

3%

New Zealand

$281 交易量

3%

Panama

$68 交易量

2%

Saudi Arabia

$825 交易量

2%

Haiti

$172 交易量

2%

Tunisia

$552 交易量

2%

Iraq

$176 交易量

2%

Jordan

$0 交易量

2%

Curacao

$4,687 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after July 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.European powerhouses like Spain, France, and England, alongside South American sides Argentina and Brazil, dominate early trader consensus for 2026 World Cup quarterfinal berths due to squad depth, recent tournament pedigree, and favorable group draws. Opening results have already shifted implied probabilities, with Morocco's competitive 1-1 draw against Brazil tightening its odds while lengthening Brazil's slightly, and host USA's strong start against Paraguay boosting domestic expectations. Key variables include fitness of stars such as Lamine Yamal and Kylian Mbappé, adaptation to the expanded 48-team format across North American venues, and group-stage momentum heading into knockout qualification. Historical patterns favor teams advancing from balanced groups with minimal rest disadvantages.

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals.

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after July 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$594,855
市場開放時間
Jun 2, 2026, 10:52 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after July 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after July 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.European powerhouses like Spain, France, and England, alongside South American sides Argentina and Brazil, dominate early trader consensus for 2026 World Cup quarterfinal berths due to squad depth, recent tournament pedigree, and favorable group draws. Opening results have already shifted implied probabilities, with Morocco's competitive 1-1 draw against Brazil tightening its odds while lengthening Brazil's slightly, and host USA's strong start against Paraguay boosting domestic expectations. Key variables include fitness of stars such as Lamine Yamal and Kylian Mbappé, adaptation to the expanded 48-team format across North American venues, and group-stage momentum heading into knockout qualification. Historical patterns favor teams advancing from balanced groups with minimal rest disadvantages.

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals.

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after July 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$594,855
市場開放時間
Jun 2, 2026, 10:52 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after July 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"世界盃：國家隊進入四分之一決賽" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 48+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Spain" at 63%, followed by "France" at 62%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 63¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 63% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "世界盃：國家隊進入四分之一決賽" has generated $594.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jun 2, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "世界盃：國家隊進入四分之一決賽," browse the 48+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "世界盃：國家隊進入四分之一決賽" is "Spain" at 63%, meaning the market assigns a 63% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "France" at 62%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "世界盃：國家隊進入四分之一決賽" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.