The 2026 U.S. Open at Shinnecock Hills features a tightly bunched second-round leader market because the historic, wind-exposed layout has historically produced scattered early leaderboards with no single player dominating the first 36 holes. A deep field of accurate drivers and strong iron players—including recent form standouts like Joaquin Niemann and Cameron Smith alongside established major contenders such as Scottie Scheffler, Rory McIlroy, and Jon Rahm—creates multiple realistic paths to the top spot after Friday. Course conditions that reward ball-striking precision over raw power, combined with variable weather potential and the absence of recent round-specific results, keep implied probabilities clustered as traders weigh comparable statistical profiles and tee-time advantages across dozens of viable options.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourJoaquin Niemann 84%
Cameron Smith 81%
Lucas Herbert 71%
Jake Knapp 71%
Joaquin Niemann
84%
Cameron Smith
81%
Lucas Herbert
71%
Jake Knapp
71%
Shane Lowry
71%
Dustin Johnson
70%
Adam Scott
69%
Daniel Berger
68%
Carlos Ortiz
67%
Jason Day
62%
Gary Woodland
62%
Michael Kim
58%
Jordan Spieth
56%
Xander Schauffele
31%
Tommy Fleetwood
30%
Patrick Cantlay
30%
Akshay Bhatia
29%
Bud Cauley
29%
Kurt Kitayama
29%
Bryson DeChambeau
29%
Min Woo Lee
29%
Ludvig Åberg
28%
Robert MacIntyre
28%
Si Woo Kim
28%
Matt Fitzpatrick
28%
Russell Henley
28%
Jacob Bridgeman
27%
Alex Smalley
27%
Collin Morikawa
27%
Cameron Young
27%
J.J. Spaun
27%
Rory McIlroy
26%
Chris Gotterup
26%
Viktor Hovland
26%
Ben Griffin
26%
Harris English
26%
Wyndham Clark
26%
Scottie Scheffler
26%
J.T. Poston
26%
Alex Noren
25%
Nicolai Højgaard
25%
Tyrrell Hatton
25%
Sepp Straka
25%
Kristoffer Reitan
22%
Aaron Rai
19%
Rickie Fowler
18%
Sam Burns
18%
Ryan Gerard
15%
Keegan Bradley
12%
Patrick Reed
8%
Maverick McNealy
3%
Hideki Matsuyama
3%
Justin Rose
26%
David Puig
-
Laurie Canter
-
Justin Thomas
27%
Jon Rahm
27%
Joaquin Niemann 84%
Cameron Smith 81%
Lucas Herbert 71%
Jake Knapp 71%
Joaquin Niemann
84%
Cameron Smith
81%
Lucas Herbert
71%
Jake Knapp
71%
Shane Lowry
71%
Dustin Johnson
70%
Adam Scott
69%
Daniel Berger
68%
Carlos Ortiz
67%
Jason Day
62%
Gary Woodland
62%
Michael Kim
58%
Jordan Spieth
56%
Xander Schauffele
31%
Tommy Fleetwood
30%
Patrick Cantlay
30%
Akshay Bhatia
29%
Bud Cauley
29%
Kurt Kitayama
29%
Bryson DeChambeau
29%
Min Woo Lee
29%
Ludvig Åberg
28%
Robert MacIntyre
28%
Si Woo Kim
28%
Matt Fitzpatrick
28%
Russell Henley
28%
Jacob Bridgeman
27%
Alex Smalley
27%
Collin Morikawa
27%
Cameron Young
27%
J.J. Spaun
27%
Rory McIlroy
26%
Chris Gotterup
26%
Viktor Hovland
26%
Ben Griffin
26%
Harris English
26%
Wyndham Clark
26%
Scottie Scheffler
26%
J.T. Poston
26%
Alex Noren
25%
Nicolai Højgaard
25%
Tyrrell Hatton
25%
Sepp Straka
25%
Kristoffer Reitan
22%
Aaron Rai
19%
Rickie Fowler
18%
Sam Burns
18%
Ryan Gerard
15%
Keegan Bradley
12%
Patrick Reed
8%
Maverick McNealy
3%
Hideki Matsuyama
3%
Justin Rose
26%
David Puig
-
Laurie Canter
-
Justin Thomas
27%
Jon Rahm
27%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 2. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 1. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 US Open at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club is cancelled, postponed after July 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if an official Round 2 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the US Open website (https://www.usopen.com/leaderboard).
Marché ouvert : Jun 16, 2026, 1:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 2. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 1. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 US Open at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club is cancelled, postponed after July 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if an official Round 2 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the US Open website (https://www.usopen.com/leaderboard).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 U.S. Open at Shinnecock Hills features a tightly bunched second-round leader market because the historic, wind-exposed layout has historically produced scattered early leaderboards with no single player dominating the first 36 holes. A deep field of accurate drivers and strong iron players—including recent form standouts like Joaquin Niemann and Cameron Smith alongside established major contenders such as Scottie Scheffler, Rory McIlroy, and Jon Rahm—creates multiple realistic paths to the top spot after Friday. Course conditions that reward ball-striking precision over raw power, combined with variable weather potential and the absence of recent round-specific results, keep implied probabilities clustered as traders weigh comparable statistical profiles and tee-time advantages across dozens of viable options.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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