Tom Kim leads the U.S. Open winner market at 41.5% implied probability following his strong showing in final qualifying at Dallas Athletic Club, where he secured his fifth career appearance at the event just days before the June 18–21 start at Shinnecock Hills. Traders appear to be weighting his recent form surge, including a T-6 at the Myrtle Beach Classic and consistent ball-striking suited to the demanding, windswept links-style layout. Scottie Scheffler sits second at 11.5% on the strength of his world ranking and major pedigree, while Rory McIlroy, Jon Rahm, and Cameron Young trail further back amid the deep, 156-player field. The closely bunched probabilities behind the top names reflect the U.S. Open’s inherent volatility, where course setup, weather, and putting on firm greens can elevate underdogs or derail favorites regardless of recent rankings or head-to-head history.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTom Kim 83%
Scottie Scheffler 12%
Rory McIlroy 6%
Jon Rahm 5%
Tom Kim
83%
Scottie Scheffler
12%
Rory McIlroy
6%
Jon Rahm
5%
Cameron Young
4%
Tommy Fleetwood
3%
Xander Schauffele
3%
Matt Fitzpatrick
3%
Collin Morikawa
2%
Patrick Cantlay
2%
Bryson DeChambeau
2%
Sam Burns
2%
Viktor Hovland
2%
Si Woo Kim
2%
Russell Henley
2%
Ben Griffin
1%
Min Woo Lee
1%
Jordan Spieth
1%
Shane Lowry
1%
David Puig
1%
Tyrrell Hatton
1%
Kristoffer Reitan
1%
Adam Scott
1%
Pierceson Coody
1%
Matt McCarty
1%
Michael Brennan
1%
Billy Horschel
1%
Patrick Reed
1%
Wyndham Clark
1%
Justin Rose
1%
Chris Gotterup
1%
J.J. Spaun
1%
Robert MacIntyre
1%
Harris English
1%
Maverick McNealy
1%
Aaron Rai
1%
Alex Fitzpatrick
1%
Justin Thomas
1%
Hideki Matsuyama
1%
Joaquin Niemann
1%
Jake Knapp
1%
Brooks Koepka
1%
Bud Cauley
1%
Kurt Kitayama
1%
Ryan Gerard
1%
Brian Harman
1%
Nick Taylor
1%
Sahith Theegala
1%
Sudarshan Yellamaraju
1%
Lucas Herbert
1%
Johnny Keefer
1%
Andrew Putnam
1%
Benjamin James
1%
Ben Kohles
1%
Emiliano Grillo
1%
Adrien Dumont De Chassart
1%
Chris Kirk
1%
Nathan Kimsey
1%
Nicolas Echavarria
1%
Carlos Ortiz
1%
Michael Kim
1%
Andrew Novak
1%
Max McGreevy
1%
William Mouw
1%
Jimmy Stanger
1%
Cole Hammer
1%
Alexander Noren
1%
Gary Woodland
1%
Keith Mitchell
1%
Keegan Bradley
1%
Jackson Koivun
1%
Sepp Straka
1%
Ryan Fox
1%
Harry Hall
1%
Daniel Berger
1%
Davis Thompson
1%
Jayden Schaper
1%
Sam Stevens
1%
Ryo Hisatsune
1%
Max Greyserman
1%
Jackson Suber
1%
Akshay Bhatia
1%
Cameron Smith
1%
Alex Smalley
1%
Rickie Fowler
1%
Dustin Johnson
1%
Jacob Bridgeman
1%
JT Poston
1%
Jason Day
1%
Corey Conners
1%
Sung-Jae Im
1%
Zac Blair
1%
Nick Hardy
1%
Graeme McDowell
1%
John Parry
1%
Patrick Rodgers
1%
Caleb Surratt
1%
Matthew Jordan
1%
Laurie Canter
1%
Kevin Roy
1%
Tom Kim 83%
Scottie Scheffler 12%
Rory McIlroy 6%
Jon Rahm 5%
Tom Kim
83%
Scottie Scheffler
12%
Rory McIlroy
6%
Jon Rahm
5%
Cameron Young
4%
Tommy Fleetwood
3%
Xander Schauffele
3%
Matt Fitzpatrick
3%
Collin Morikawa
2%
Patrick Cantlay
2%
Bryson DeChambeau
2%
Sam Burns
2%
Viktor Hovland
2%
Si Woo Kim
2%
Russell Henley
2%
Ben Griffin
1%
Min Woo Lee
1%
Jordan Spieth
1%
Shane Lowry
1%
David Puig
1%
Tyrrell Hatton
1%
Kristoffer Reitan
1%
Adam Scott
1%
Pierceson Coody
1%
Matt McCarty
1%
Michael Brennan
1%
Billy Horschel
1%
Patrick Reed
1%
Wyndham Clark
1%
Justin Rose
1%
Chris Gotterup
1%
J.J. Spaun
1%
Robert MacIntyre
1%
Harris English
1%
Maverick McNealy
1%
Aaron Rai
1%
Alex Fitzpatrick
1%
Justin Thomas
1%
Hideki Matsuyama
1%
Joaquin Niemann
1%
Jake Knapp
1%
Brooks Koepka
1%
Bud Cauley
1%
Kurt Kitayama
1%
Ryan Gerard
1%
Brian Harman
1%
Nick Taylor
1%
Sahith Theegala
1%
Sudarshan Yellamaraju
1%
Lucas Herbert
1%
Johnny Keefer
1%
Andrew Putnam
1%
Benjamin James
1%
Ben Kohles
1%
Emiliano Grillo
1%
Adrien Dumont De Chassart
1%
Chris Kirk
1%
Nathan Kimsey
1%
Nicolas Echavarria
1%
Carlos Ortiz
1%
Michael Kim
1%
Andrew Novak
1%
Max McGreevy
1%
William Mouw
1%
Jimmy Stanger
1%
Cole Hammer
1%
Alexander Noren
1%
Gary Woodland
1%
Keith Mitchell
1%
Keegan Bradley
1%
Jackson Koivun
1%
Sepp Straka
1%
Ryan Fox
1%
Harry Hall
1%
Daniel Berger
1%
Davis Thompson
1%
Jayden Schaper
1%
Sam Stevens
1%
Ryo Hisatsune
1%
Max Greyserman
1%
Jackson Suber
1%
Akshay Bhatia
1%
Cameron Smith
1%
Alex Smalley
1%
Rickie Fowler
1%
Dustin Johnson
1%
Jacob Bridgeman
1%
JT Poston
1%
Jason Day
1%
Corey Conners
1%
Sung-Jae Im
1%
Zac Blair
1%
Nick Hardy
1%
Graeme McDowell
1%
John Parry
1%
Patrick Rodgers
1%
Caleb Surratt
1%
Matthew Jordan
1%
Laurie Canter
1%
Kevin Roy
1%
If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the U.S. Open tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".
If an unlisted player wins the U.S. Open tournament this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If no winner is announced by June 27, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
Marché ouvert : Jun 15, 2026, 12:12 PM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.pgatour.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the U.S. Open tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".
If an unlisted player wins the U.S. Open tournament this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If no winner is announced by June 27, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
Source de résolution
https://www.pgatour.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Tom Kim leads the U.S. Open winner market at 41.5% implied probability following his strong showing in final qualifying at Dallas Athletic Club, where he secured his fifth career appearance at the event just days before the June 18–21 start at Shinnecock Hills. Traders appear to be weighting his recent form surge, including a T-6 at the Myrtle Beach Classic and consistent ball-striking suited to the demanding, windswept links-style layout. Scottie Scheffler sits second at 11.5% on the strength of his world ranking and major pedigree, while Rory McIlroy, Jon Rahm, and Cameron Young trail further back amid the deep, 156-player field. The closely bunched probabilities behind the top names reflect the U.S. Open’s inherent volatility, where course setup, weather, and putting on firm greens can elevate underdogs or derail favorites regardless of recent rankings or head-to-head history.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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