The 2027 French presidential election, scheduled for April with a potential runoff two weeks later, features a crowded field shaped by term limits barring incumbent Emmanuel Macron from seeking re-election. A pivotal July 7, 2026, appeal ruling on Marine Le Pen's 2025 embezzlement conviction and five-year public-office ban will determine whether the National Rally leader can appear on the ballot or if party president Jordan Bardella becomes the standard-bearer. Jean-Luc Mélenchon confirmed his fourth candidacy in early May 2026, while center-right figures including Edouard Philippe and Gabriel Attal position themselves as alternatives, and fragmented left-wing parties pursue a unitary primary to consolidate support. These legal and organizational developments continue to define candidate eligibility and coalition strategies ahead of the vote.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$53,107 Vol.

Jean-Luc Mélenchon
90%

Édouard Philippe
88%

Nathalie Arthaud
83%

Bruno Retailleau
73%

Jordan Bardella
72%

Marine Tondelier
55%

Éric Zemmour
56%

David Lisnard
44%

Raphaël Glucksmann
55%

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan
55%

Fabien Roussel
51%

Dominique de Villepin
50%

François Hollande
43%

Gabriel Attal
40%

François Ruffin
39%

Sarah Knafo
37%

François Asselineau
30%

Marine Le Pen
25%

Delphine Batho
16%

Matthieu Pigasse
18%

Bernard Cazeneuve
26%

Gérald Darmanin
17%

Xavier Bertrand
15%

Juan Branco
14%

Jérôme Guedj
12%

Laurent Wauquiez
11%

Jean Castex
10%

Ségolène Royal
10%

Carole Delga
15%

Michel-Edouard Leclerc
9%

Sébastien Lecornu
9%

Olivier Faure
8%

Philippe de Villiers
8%

Élisabeth Borne
7%

Jean-Michel Fauvergue
7%

Manuel Valls
6%

Bally Bagayoko
6%

Karim Bouamrane
6%

Manuel Bompard
6%

Clémentine Autain
5%

Mathilde Panot
5%

Valérie Pécresse
4%

François Bayrou
4%

Yaël Braun-Pivet
4%

Teddy Riner
3%

Michel Barnier
3%
$53,107 Vol.

Jean-Luc Mélenchon
90%

Édouard Philippe
88%

Nathalie Arthaud
83%

Bruno Retailleau
73%

Jordan Bardella
72%

Marine Tondelier
55%

Éric Zemmour
56%

David Lisnard
44%

Raphaël Glucksmann
55%

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan
55%

Fabien Roussel
51%

Dominique de Villepin
50%

François Hollande
43%

Gabriel Attal
40%

François Ruffin
39%

Sarah Knafo
37%

François Asselineau
30%

Marine Le Pen
25%

Delphine Batho
16%

Matthieu Pigasse
18%

Bernard Cazeneuve
26%

Gérald Darmanin
17%

Xavier Bertrand
15%

Juan Branco
14%

Jérôme Guedj
12%

Laurent Wauquiez
11%

Jean Castex
10%

Ségolène Royal
10%

Carole Delga
15%

Michel-Edouard Leclerc
9%

Sébastien Lecornu
9%

Olivier Faure
8%

Philippe de Villiers
8%

Élisabeth Borne
7%

Jean-Michel Fauvergue
7%

Manuel Valls
6%

Bally Bagayoko
6%

Karim Bouamrane
6%

Manuel Bompard
6%

Clémentine Autain
5%

Mathilde Panot
5%

Valérie Pécresse
4%

François Bayrou
4%

Yaël Braun-Pivet
4%

Teddy Riner
3%

Michel Barnier
3%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Apr 22, 2026, 6:23 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The 2027 French presidential election, scheduled for April with a potential runoff two weeks later, features a crowded field shaped by term limits barring incumbent Emmanuel Macron from seeking re-election. A pivotal July 7, 2026, appeal ruling on Marine Le Pen's 2025 embezzlement conviction and five-year public-office ban will determine whether the National Rally leader can appear on the ballot or if party president Jordan Bardella becomes the standard-bearer. Jean-Luc Mélenchon confirmed his fourth candidacy in early May 2026, while center-right figures including Edouard Philippe and Gabriel Attal position themselves as alternatives, and fragmented left-wing parties pursue a unitary primary to consolidate support. These legal and organizational developments continue to define candidate eligibility and coalition strategies ahead of the vote.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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