Jordan Bardella leads trader expectations as the National Rally candidate for the 2027 French presidential election due to Marine Le Pen’s ongoing legal appeal against her 2025 embezzlement conviction and five-year ban from public office. The Paris Court of Appeal ruling scheduled for July 2026 remains the decisive near-term factor, with market pricing reflecting the view that Bardella would assume the role if the ban is upheld. Recent municipal election gains by the National Rally have reinforced Bardella’s position within the party, where internal polling shows stronger supporter preference for him over Le Pen. Broader first-round voting intentions continue to favor an RN nominee, though the final candidate selection hinges on the court outcome and any subsequent internal party decisions.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourÉlection présidentielle française de 2027 : candidat du Rassemblement national
Élection présidentielle française de 2027 : candidat du Rassemblement national
Jordan Bardella 70%
Marine Le Pen 26%
Multiple Candidates 4.3%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
23 avr. 2027
Marine Le Pen
26%
Jordan Bardella
70%
Multiple Candidates
4%
Jordan Bardella 70%
Marine Le Pen 26%
Multiple Candidates 4.3%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
23 avr. 2027
Marine Le Pen
$1,058 Vol.
26%
Jordan Bardella
$2,120 Vol.
70%
Multiple Candidates
$554 Vol.
4%
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027.
This market will resolve according to the first individual publicly announced as the chosen candidate of the National Rally (Rassemblement National, RN) party for the 2027 French presidential election.
A qualifying announcement must explicitly identify the relevant individual as the National Rally Party’s candidate for the 2027 French presidential election.
If the National Rally party simultaneously announces multiple individuals as its candidates for the 2027 French presidential election, this market will resolve to “Multiple Candidates”.
If no qualifying announcement is made by the time the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election is released, this market will resolve to the National Rally candidate included on that list. If multiple National Rally candidates are included on that list, this market will resolve to “Multiple Candidates”. If no National Rally candidate is included on that list, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the National Rally party; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jordan Bardella leads trader expectations as the National Rally candidate for the 2027 French presidential election due to Marine Le Pen’s ongoing legal appeal against her 2025 embezzlement conviction and five-year ban from public office. The Paris Court of Appeal ruling scheduled for July 2026 remains the decisive near-term factor, with market pricing reflecting the view that Bardella would assume the role if the ban is upheld. Recent municipal election gains by the National Rally have reinforced Bardella’s position within the party, where internal polling shows stronger supporter preference for him over Le Pen. Broader first-round voting intentions continue to favor an RN nominee, though the final candidate selection hinges on the court outcome and any subsequent internal party decisions.
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027.
This market will resolve according to the first individual publicly announced as the chosen candidate of the National Rally (Rassemblement National, RN) party for the 2027 French presidential election.
A qualifying announcement must explicitly identify the relevant individual as the National Rally Party’s candidate for the 2027 French presidential election.
If the National Rally party simultaneously announces multiple individuals as its candidates for the 2027 French presidential election, this market will resolve to “Multiple Candidates”.
If no qualifying announcement is made by the time the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election is released, this market will resolve to the National Rally candidate included on that list. If multiple National Rally candidates are included on that list, this market will resolve to “Multiple Candidates”. If no National Rally candidate is included on that list, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the National Rally party; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the first individual publicly announced as the chosen candidate of the National Rally (Rassemblement National, RN) party for the 2027 French presidential election.
A qualifying announcement must explicitly identify the relevant individual as the National Rally Party’s candidate for the 2027 French presidential election.
If the National Rally party simultaneously announces multiple individuals as its candidates for the 2027 French presidential election, this market will resolve to “Multiple Candidates”.
If no qualifying announcement is made by the time the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election is released, this market will resolve to the National Rally candidate included on that list. If multiple National Rally candidates are included on that list, this market will resolve to “Multiple Candidates”. If no National Rally candidate is included on that list, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the National Rally party; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : May 1, 2026, 5:57 PM ET
Volume
$3,732Date de fin
23 avr. 2027Marché ouvert
May 1, 2026, 5:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027.
This market will resolve according to the first individual publicly announced as the chosen candidate of the National Rally (Rassemblement National, RN) party for the 2027 French presidential election.
A qualifying announcement must explicitly identify the relevant individual as the National Rally Party’s candidate for the 2027 French presidential election.
If the National Rally party simultaneously announces multiple individuals as its candidates for the 2027 French presidential election, this market will resolve to “Multiple Candidates”.
If no qualifying announcement is made by the time the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election is released, this market will resolve to the National Rally candidate included on that list. If multiple National Rally candidates are included on that list, this market will resolve to “Multiple Candidates”. If no National Rally candidate is included on that list, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the National Rally party; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jordan Bardella leads trader expectations as the National Rally candidate for the 2027 French presidential election due to Marine Le Pen’s ongoing legal appeal against her 2025 embezzlement conviction and five-year ban from public office. The Paris Court of Appeal ruling scheduled for July 2026 remains the decisive near-term factor, with market pricing reflecting the view that Bardella would assume the role if the ban is upheld. Recent municipal election gains by the National Rally have reinforced Bardella’s position within the party, where internal polling shows stronger supporter preference for him over Le Pen. Broader first-round voting intentions continue to favor an RN nominee, though the final candidate selection hinges on the court outcome and any subsequent internal party decisions.
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027.
This market will resolve according to the first individual publicly announced as the chosen candidate of the National Rally (Rassemblement National, RN) party for the 2027 French presidential election.
A qualifying announcement must explicitly identify the relevant individual as the National Rally Party’s candidate for the 2027 French presidential election.
If the National Rally party simultaneously announces multiple individuals as its candidates for the 2027 French presidential election, this market will resolve to “Multiple Candidates”.
If no qualifying announcement is made by the time the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election is released, this market will resolve to the National Rally candidate included on that list. If multiple National Rally candidates are included on that list, this market will resolve to “Multiple Candidates”. If no National Rally candidate is included on that list, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the National Rally party; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the first individual publicly announced as the chosen candidate of the National Rally (Rassemblement National, RN) party for the 2027 French presidential election.
A qualifying announcement must explicitly identify the relevant individual as the National Rally Party’s candidate for the 2027 French presidential election.
If the National Rally party simultaneously announces multiple individuals as its candidates for the 2027 French presidential election, this market will resolve to “Multiple Candidates”.
If no qualifying announcement is made by the time the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election is released, this market will resolve to the National Rally candidate included on that list. If multiple National Rally candidates are included on that list, this market will resolve to “Multiple Candidates”. If no National Rally candidate is included on that list, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the National Rally party; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$3,732Date de fin
23 avr. 2027Marché ouvert
May 1, 2026, 5:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Jordan Bardella leads trader expectations as the National Rally candidate for the 2027 French presidential election due to Marine Le Pen’s ongoing legal appeal against her 2025 embezzlement conviction and five-year ban from public office. The Paris Court of Appeal ruling scheduled for July 2026 remains the decisive near-term factor, with market pricing reflecting the view that Bardella would assume the role if the ban is upheld. Recent municipal election gains by the National Rally have reinforced Bardella’s position within the party, where internal polling shows stronger supporter preference for him over Le Pen. Broader first-round voting intentions continue to favor an RN nominee, though the final candidate selection hinges on the court outcome and any subsequent internal party decisions.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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