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icon for Élection partielle de Clacton : comptez le % de vote Binface
Politique·Royaume-Uni

Élection partielle de Clacton : comptez le % de vote Binface

icon for Élection partielle de Clacton : comptez le % de vote Binface
Politique·Royaume-Uni

Élection partielle de Clacton : comptez le % de vote Binface

Binface 10–20 % 50%

Binface 20–30 % 36%

Binface <10 % 9%

Binface 30–40 % 2.6%

Polymarket

$405,163 Vol.

Binface 10–20 % 50%

Binface 20–30 % 36%

Binface <10 % 9%

Binface 30–40 % 2.6%

Polymarket

$405,163 Vol.

Binface <10 %

$168,661 Vol.

9%

Binface 10–20 %

$57,717 Vol.

50%

Binface 20–30 %

$74,485 Vol.

36%

Binface 30–40 %

$63,307 Vol.

3%

Binface 40 %+

$40,994 Vol.

1%

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held soon following the announced resignation of incumbent Nigel Farage. This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Count Binface wins in the Clacton parliamentary by-election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the specified candidate does not compete or the results of the specified election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).The Clacton by-election on 13 August 2026, triggered by Nigel Farage’s resignation as Reform UK MP, features a record 34 candidates after Labour, Conservatives, Liberal Democrats and Greens opted to boycott. This has elevated Count Binface, the perennial satirical candidate, as the most visible challenger and focal point of media coverage and limited tactical discussion. Local polling, including a Survation survey, places him around 20% while Farage leads substantially on first-preference support in the constituency. Trader pricing reflects Binface’s boosted profile from the unusual contest dynamics and campaign visibility, balanced against the structural limits of a novelty candidacy and historical patterns for such entrants in UK parliamentary votes. No major new shifts have altered this positioning in the final days.

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held soon following the announced resignation of incumbent Nigel Farage.

This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Count Binface wins in the Clacton parliamentary by-election.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the specified candidate does not compete or the results of the specified election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).
Volume
$405,163
Date de fin
13 août 2026
Marché ouvert
Jul 8, 2026, 11:09 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held soon following the announced resignation of incumbent Nigel Farage. This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Count Binface wins in the Clacton parliamentary by-election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the specified candidate does not compete or the results of the specified election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held soon following the announced resignation of incumbent Nigel Farage. This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Count Binface wins in the Clacton parliamentary by-election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the specified candidate does not compete or the results of the specified election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).The Clacton by-election on 13 August 2026, triggered by Nigel Farage’s resignation as Reform UK MP, features a record 34 candidates after Labour, Conservatives, Liberal Democrats and Greens opted to boycott. This has elevated Count Binface, the perennial satirical candidate, as the most visible challenger and focal point of media coverage and limited tactical discussion. Local polling, including a Survation survey, places him around 20% while Farage leads substantially on first-preference support in the constituency. Trader pricing reflects Binface’s boosted profile from the unusual contest dynamics and campaign visibility, balanced against the structural limits of a novelty candidacy and historical patterns for such entrants in UK parliamentary votes. No major new shifts have altered this positioning in the final days.

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held soon following the announced resignation of incumbent Nigel Farage.

This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Count Binface wins in the Clacton parliamentary by-election.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the specified candidate does not compete or the results of the specified election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).
Volume
$405,163
Date de fin
13 août 2026
Marché ouvert
Jul 8, 2026, 11:09 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held soon following the announced resignation of incumbent Nigel Farage. This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Count Binface wins in the Clacton parliamentary by-election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the specified candidate does not compete or the results of the specified election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).

Connexes

icon for Le nombre de votes exprimés lors de l'élection partielle de Clacton en 2026 sera-t-il compris entre 20 000 et 30 000 ?

Le nombre de votes exprimés lors de l'élection partielle de Clacton en 2026 sera-t-il compris entre 20 000 et 30 000 ?

77%
Oui
icon for Nigel Farage remportera-t-il l'élection partielle de Clacton en 2026 avec entre 40% et 60% des voix ?

Nigel Farage remportera-t-il l'élection partielle de Clacton en 2026 avec entre 40% et 60% des voix ?

64%
Oui
icon for La prochaine élection partielle du parlement britannique sera-t-elle organisée avant le 31 décembre ?

La prochaine élection partielle du parlement britannique sera-t-elle organisée avant le 31 décembre ?

61%
Oui

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Questions fréquentes

« Élection partielle de Clacton : comptez le % de vote Binface » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 5 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Binface 10–20 % » à 50%, suivi de « Binface 20–30 % » à 36%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 50¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 50% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Élection partielle de Clacton : comptez le % de vote Binface » a généré $405.2K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Jul 8, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Élection partielle de Clacton : comptez le % de vote Binface », parcourez les 5 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Élection partielle de Clacton : comptez le % de vote Binface » est « Binface 10–20 % » à 50%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 50% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Binface 20–30 % » à 36%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Élection partielle de Clacton : comptez le % de vote Binface » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.