**No at 97.5% reflects trader consensus that Prince Andrew (Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor) will not receive a prison sentence.** In February 2026 he was arrested on suspicion of misconduct in public office tied to his past Epstein contacts while serving as a UK trade envoy, then released under investigation without charges. UK authorities have conducted no further arrests or prosecutions in the months since, and legal experts note the offense carries a high evidentiary threshold with rare successful cases against comparable figures. The earlier civil settlement with Virginia Giuffre (who died in 2025) produced no criminal findings, and no other active proceedings point toward conviction or sentencing. This leaves conviction and imprisonment highly unlikely absent new evidence or charges. Even if authorities later file a case, the process would face substantial procedural and evidentiary hurdles before any sentence could be imposed. Late-breaking developments in the ongoing inquiry remain the main variable that could shift odds, though none have materialized in the six months following the arrest.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOui
3% chance
$220,681 Vol.
$220,681 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
Oui
3% chance
$220,681 Vol.
$220,681 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Prince Andrew is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**No at 97.5% reflects trader consensus that Prince Andrew (Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor) will not receive a prison sentence.**
In February 2026 he was arrested on suspicion of misconduct in public office tied to his past Epstein contacts while serving as a UK trade envoy, then released under investigation without charges. UK authorities have conducted no further arrests or prosecutions in the months since, and legal experts note the offense carries a high evidentiary threshold with rare successful cases against comparable figures. The earlier civil settlement with Virginia Giuffre (who died in 2025) produced no criminal findings, and no other active proceedings point toward conviction or sentencing.
This leaves conviction and imprisonment highly unlikely absent new evidence or charges. Even if authorities later file a case, the process would face substantial procedural and evidentiary hurdles before any sentence could be imposed. Late-breaking developments in the ongoing inquiry remain the main variable that could shift odds, though none have materialized in the six months following the arrest.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Prince Andrew is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Feb 19, 2026, 11:21 AM ET
Volume
$220,681Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Feb 19, 2026, 11:21 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Prince Andrew is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**No at 97.5% reflects trader consensus that Prince Andrew (Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor) will not receive a prison sentence.**
In February 2026 he was arrested on suspicion of misconduct in public office tied to his past Epstein contacts while serving as a UK trade envoy, then released under investigation without charges. UK authorities have conducted no further arrests or prosecutions in the months since, and legal experts note the offense carries a high evidentiary threshold with rare successful cases against comparable figures. The earlier civil settlement with Virginia Giuffre (who died in 2025) produced no criminal findings, and no other active proceedings point toward conviction or sentencing.
This leaves conviction and imprisonment highly unlikely absent new evidence or charges. Even if authorities later file a case, the process would face substantial procedural and evidentiary hurdles before any sentence could be imposed. Late-breaking developments in the ongoing inquiry remain the main variable that could shift odds, though none have materialized in the six months following the arrest.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Prince Andrew is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$220,681Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Feb 19, 2026, 11:21 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**No at 97.5% reflects trader consensus that Prince Andrew (Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor) will not receive a prison sentence.** In February 2026 he was arrested on suspicion of misconduct in public office tied to his past Epstein contacts while serving as a UK trade envoy, then released under investigation without charges. UK authorities have conducted no further arrests or prosecutions in the months since, and legal experts note the offense carries a high evidentiary threshold with rare successful cases against comparable figures. The earlier civil settlement with Virginia Giuffre (who died in 2025) produced no criminal findings, and no other active proceedings point toward conviction or sentencing. This leaves conviction and imprisonment highly unlikely absent new evidence or charges. Even if authorities later file a case, the process would face substantial procedural and evidentiary hurdles before any sentence could be imposed. Late-breaking developments in the ongoing inquiry remain the main variable that could shift odds, though none have materialized in the six months following the arrest.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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