No formal charges have been filed against Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor following his February 2026 arrest on suspicion of misconduct in public office tied to the Epstein matter, and he was released under investigation without restrictions. UK authorities have not advanced the case to prosecution in the subsequent months, consistent with the high evidentiary thresholds and historical reluctance to pursue criminal proceedings against senior royals. Traders assign a 97.5% probability to no prison sentence because prior civil resolutions, lack of new indictable evidence, and institutional safeguards make conviction unlikely. Late developments such as fresh witness testimony, reopened US inquiries, or unexpected charges could still shift outcomes before any resolution window closes.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOui
3% chance
$220,681 Vol.
$220,681 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
Oui
3% chance
$220,681 Vol.
$220,681 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Prince Andrew is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.No formal charges have been filed against Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor following his February 2026 arrest on suspicion of misconduct in public office tied to the Epstein matter, and he was released under investigation without restrictions. UK authorities have not advanced the case to prosecution in the subsequent months, consistent with the high evidentiary thresholds and historical reluctance to pursue criminal proceedings against senior royals. Traders assign a 97.5% probability to no prison sentence because prior civil resolutions, lack of new indictable evidence, and institutional safeguards make conviction unlikely. Late developments such as fresh witness testimony, reopened US inquiries, or unexpected charges could still shift outcomes before any resolution window closes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Prince Andrew is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Feb 19, 2026, 11:21 AM ET
Volume
$220,681Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Feb 19, 2026, 11:21 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Prince Andrew is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.No formal charges have been filed against Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor following his February 2026 arrest on suspicion of misconduct in public office tied to the Epstein matter, and he was released under investigation without restrictions. UK authorities have not advanced the case to prosecution in the subsequent months, consistent with the high evidentiary thresholds and historical reluctance to pursue criminal proceedings against senior royals. Traders assign a 97.5% probability to no prison sentence because prior civil resolutions, lack of new indictable evidence, and institutional safeguards make conviction unlikely. Late developments such as fresh witness testimony, reopened US inquiries, or unexpected charges could still shift outcomes before any resolution window closes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Prince Andrew is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$220,681Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Feb 19, 2026, 11:21 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...No formal charges have been filed against Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor following his February 2026 arrest on suspicion of misconduct in public office tied to the Epstein matter, and he was released under investigation without restrictions. UK authorities have not advanced the case to prosecution in the subsequent months, consistent with the high evidentiary thresholds and historical reluctance to pursue criminal proceedings against senior royals. Traders assign a 97.5% probability to no prison sentence because prior civil resolutions, lack of new indictable evidence, and institutional safeguards make conviction unlikely. Late developments such as fresh witness testimony, reopened US inquiries, or unexpected charges could still shift outcomes before any resolution window closes.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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