Incumbent Republican Roger Marshall holds a substantial lead in the Kansas Senate race due to the state's longstanding Republican dominance, where no Democrat has won a Senate seat since 1939 and Donald Trump carried the state by over 16 points in 2024. Marshall secured his party's nomination easily in the August primary and benefits from incumbency advantages in a midterm environment. Adam Hamilton, a prominent United Methodist pastor who won a crowded Democratic primary, has raised significant funds and performed competitively in recent polls showing margins within a few points. A September 12 debate at the Kansas State Fair featured sharp exchanges on agriculture, immigration, and Trump policies, with a vocal crowd interrupting Marshall, though trader consensus reflects structural barriers that have kept Hamilton's implied probability near 21 percent ahead of the November 3 vote.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur des élections sénatoriales du Kansas
Vainqueur des élections sénatoriales du Kansas
$50,659 Vol.
$50,659 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Roger Marshall (R)
80%
Adam Hamilton (D)
22%
$50,659 Vol.
$50,659 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Roger Marshall (R)
$32,667 Vol.
80%
Adam Hamilton (D)
$17,992 Vol.
22%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Roger Marshall holds a substantial lead in the Kansas Senate race due to the state's longstanding Republican dominance, where no Democrat has won a Senate seat since 1939 and Donald Trump carried the state by over 16 points in 2024. Marshall secured his party's nomination easily in the August primary and benefits from incumbency advantages in a midterm environment. Adam Hamilton, a prominent United Methodist pastor who won a crowded Democratic primary, has raised significant funds and performed competitively in recent polls showing margins within a few points. A September 12 debate at the Kansas State Fair featured sharp exchanges on agriculture, immigration, and Trump policies, with a vocal crowd interrupting Marshall, though trader consensus reflects structural barriers that have kept Hamilton's implied probability near 21 percent ahead of the November 3 vote.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Marché ouvert : Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ET
Volume
$50,659Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Roger Marshall holds a substantial lead in the Kansas Senate race due to the state's longstanding Republican dominance, where no Democrat has won a Senate seat since 1939 and Donald Trump carried the state by over 16 points in 2024. Marshall secured his party's nomination easily in the August primary and benefits from incumbency advantages in a midterm environment. Adam Hamilton, a prominent United Methodist pastor who won a crowded Democratic primary, has raised significant funds and performed competitively in recent polls showing margins within a few points. A September 12 debate at the Kansas State Fair featured sharp exchanges on agriculture, immigration, and Trump policies, with a vocal crowd interrupting Marshall, though trader consensus reflects structural barriers that have kept Hamilton's implied probability near 21 percent ahead of the November 3 vote.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$50,659Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Roger Marshall holds a substantial lead in the Kansas Senate race due to the state's longstanding Republican dominance, where no Democrat has won a Senate seat since 1939 and Donald Trump carried the state by over 16 points in 2024. Marshall secured his party's nomination easily in the August primary and benefits from incumbency advantages in a midterm environment. Adam Hamilton, a prominent United Methodist pastor who won a crowded Democratic primary, has raised significant funds and performed competitively in recent polls showing margins within a few points. A September 12 debate at the Kansas State Fair featured sharp exchanges on agriculture, immigration, and Trump policies, with a vocal crowd interrupting Marshall, though trader consensus reflects structural barriers that have kept Hamilton's implied probability near 21 percent ahead of the November 3 vote.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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