**Roger Marshall holds a clear advantage in the 2026 Kansas Senate race due to the state's longstanding Republican tilt and his status as incumbent seeking a second term.** Kansas has not elected a Democratic senator since 1932, and forecasters rate the contest Likely or Lean Republican. Adam Hamilton, a prominent United Methodist pastor, secured the Democratic nomination in the August 4 primary with roughly 35% in a crowded field and raised nearly $3.7 million early in the campaign. Recent polling averages show Marshall ahead by low-single digits, while a September 12 state fair debate drew audience criticism of the incumbent. These factors, combined with the wisdom of crowds in prediction markets, underpin the current trader consensus favoring Marshall while leaving room for Hamilton to close the gap through turnout or national conditions before November 3.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur des élections sénatoriales du Kansas
Vainqueur des élections sénatoriales du Kansas
$52,443 Vol.
$52,443 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Roger Marshall (R)
75%
Adam Hamilton (D)
26%
$52,443 Vol.
$52,443 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Roger Marshall (R)
$33,940 Vol.
75%
Adam Hamilton (D)
$18,503 Vol.
26%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.**Roger Marshall holds a clear advantage in the 2026 Kansas Senate race due to the state's longstanding Republican tilt and his status as incumbent seeking a second term.** Kansas has not elected a Democratic senator since 1932, and forecasters rate the contest Likely or Lean Republican. Adam Hamilton, a prominent United Methodist pastor, secured the Democratic nomination in the August 4 primary with roughly 35% in a crowded field and raised nearly $3.7 million early in the campaign. Recent polling averages show Marshall ahead by low-single digits, while a September 12 state fair debate drew audience criticism of the incumbent. These factors, combined with the wisdom of crowds in prediction markets, underpin the current trader consensus favoring Marshall while leaving room for Hamilton to close the gap through turnout or national conditions before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Marché ouvert : Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ET
Volume
$52,443Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.**Roger Marshall holds a clear advantage in the 2026 Kansas Senate race due to the state's longstanding Republican tilt and his status as incumbent seeking a second term.** Kansas has not elected a Democratic senator since 1932, and forecasters rate the contest Likely or Lean Republican. Adam Hamilton, a prominent United Methodist pastor, secured the Democratic nomination in the August 4 primary with roughly 35% in a crowded field and raised nearly $3.7 million early in the campaign. Recent polling averages show Marshall ahead by low-single digits, while a September 12 state fair debate drew audience criticism of the incumbent. These factors, combined with the wisdom of crowds in prediction markets, underpin the current trader consensus favoring Marshall while leaving room for Hamilton to close the gap through turnout or national conditions before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$52,443Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...**Roger Marshall holds a clear advantage in the 2026 Kansas Senate race due to the state's longstanding Republican tilt and his status as incumbent seeking a second term.** Kansas has not elected a Democratic senator since 1932, and forecasters rate the contest Likely or Lean Republican. Adam Hamilton, a prominent United Methodist pastor, secured the Democratic nomination in the August 4 primary with roughly 35% in a crowded field and raised nearly $3.7 million early in the campaign. Recent polling averages show Marshall ahead by low-single digits, while a September 12 state fair debate drew audience criticism of the incumbent. These factors, combined with the wisdom of crowds in prediction markets, underpin the current trader consensus favoring Marshall while leaving room for Hamilton to close the gap through turnout or national conditions before November 3.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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