Trader consensus gives Republicans a 64% implied probability to win Kansas' open gubernatorial race on November 3, driven by the state's R+8 partisan voting index, GOP supermajorities in the legislature, and Donald Trump's double-digit 2024 presidential margin. Incumbent Democrat Laura Kelly faces term limits after two terms, clearing a path for Republicans to reclaim the office they held before her victories. Primaries loom on August 4 amid crowded fields: Democrats feature Sen. Ethan Corson (leading early polls with Kelly's endorsement) and Sen. Cindy Holscher, who announced a joint ticket May 14 pairing Johnson and Sedgwick county legislators; Republicans include ex-Gov. Jeff Colyer and Senate President Ty Masterson. Forecasters rate it Lean Republican, with low candidate name recognition persisting from November surveys.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourNOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 nov. 2026
Républicain
63%
Démocrate
29%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 nov. 2026
Républicain
$2,285 Vol.
63%
Démocrate
$4,415 Vol.
29%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Kansas gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus gives Republicans a 64% implied probability to win Kansas' open gubernatorial race on November 3, driven by the state's R+8 partisan voting index, GOP supermajorities in the legislature, and Donald Trump's double-digit 2024 presidential margin. Incumbent Democrat Laura Kelly faces term limits after two terms, clearing a path for Republicans to reclaim the office they held before her victories. Primaries loom on August 4 amid crowded fields: Democrats feature Sen. Ethan Corson (leading early polls with Kelly's endorsement) and Sen. Cindy Holscher, who announced a joint ticket May 14 pairing Johnson and Sedgwick county legislators; Republicans include ex-Gov. Jeff Colyer and Senate President Ty Masterson. Forecasters rate it Lean Republican, with low candidate name recognition persisting from November surveys.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Kansas gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Marché ouvert : Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
Volume
$6,700Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Kansas gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus gives Republicans a 64% implied probability to win Kansas' open gubernatorial race on November 3, driven by the state's R+8 partisan voting index, GOP supermajorities in the legislature, and Donald Trump's double-digit 2024 presidential margin. Incumbent Democrat Laura Kelly faces term limits after two terms, clearing a path for Republicans to reclaim the office they held before her victories. Primaries loom on August 4 amid crowded fields: Democrats feature Sen. Ethan Corson (leading early polls with Kelly's endorsement) and Sen. Cindy Holscher, who announced a joint ticket May 14 pairing Johnson and Sedgwick county legislators; Republicans include ex-Gov. Jeff Colyer and Senate President Ty Masterson. Forecasters rate it Lean Republican, with low candidate name recognition persisting from November surveys.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Kansas gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$6,700Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus gives Republicans a 64% implied probability to win Kansas' open gubernatorial race on November 3, driven by the state's R+8 partisan voting index, GOP supermajorities in the legislature, and Donald Trump's double-digit 2024 presidential margin. Incumbent Democrat Laura Kelly faces term limits after two terms, clearing a path for Republicans to reclaim the office they held before her victories. Primaries loom on August 4 amid crowded fields: Democrats feature Sen. Ethan Corson (leading early polls with Kelly's endorsement) and Sen. Cindy Holscher, who announced a joint ticket May 14 pairing Johnson and Sedgwick county legislators; Republicans include ex-Gov. Jeff Colyer and Senate President Ty Masterson. Forecasters rate it Lean Republican, with low candidate name recognition persisting from November surveys.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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