Ramzan Kadyrov’s recent United Russia nomination for the September 20, 2026 Chechen head election has anchored trader pricing, yet his 41% share reflects persistent uncertainty over health, federal signals, and succession. Family members including Akhmat Kadyrov and Adam Kadyrov, alongside close allies such as Apti Alaudinov, Adam Delimkhanov, and Magomed Daudov, cluster in the low teens as potential continuity options if Kadyrov steps aside before or after the vote. The tight spread stems from Chechnya’s centralized power structure, limited public polling, and Kremlin influence on regional leadership transitions, leaving room for late developments like health updates, Moscow directives, or internal elite shifts to alter implied probabilities ahead of election day.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourRamzan Kadyrov 97.4%
Akhmat Kadyrov 2.0%
Khalid Nakayev 1.6%
Adam Kadyrov 1.1%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
20 sept. 2026
Ramzan Kadyrov
97%
Akhmat Kadyrov
2%
Khalid Nakayev
2%
Adam Kadyrov
1%
Apti Alaudinov
1%
Ismail Denilkhanov
1%
Adam Delimkhanov
1%
Magomed Daudov
1%
Ramzan Kadyrov 97.4%
Akhmat Kadyrov 2.0%
Khalid Nakayev 1.6%
Adam Kadyrov 1.1%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
20 sept. 2026
Ramzan Kadyrov
$2,720 Vol.
97%
Akhmat Kadyrov
$502 Vol.
2%
Khalid Nakayev
$274 Vol.
2%
Adam Kadyrov
$616 Vol.
1%
Apti Alaudinov
$307 Vol.
1%
Ismail Denilkhanov
$323 Vol.
1%
Adam Delimkhanov
$273 Vol.
1%
Magomed Daudov
$260 Vol.
1%
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Chechnya on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Chechnya gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Chechnya and Russia, including the Election Commission of state and the Central Election Commission of Russia.Ramzan Kadyrov’s recent United Russia nomination for the September 20, 2026 Chechen head election has anchored trader pricing, yet his 41% share reflects persistent uncertainty over health, federal signals, and succession. Family members including Akhmat Kadyrov and Adam Kadyrov, alongside close allies such as Apti Alaudinov, Adam Delimkhanov, and Magomed Daudov, cluster in the low teens as potential continuity options if Kadyrov steps aside before or after the vote. The tight spread stems from Chechnya’s centralized power structure, limited public polling, and Kremlin influence on regional leadership transitions, leaving room for late developments like health updates, Moscow directives, or internal elite shifts to alter implied probabilities ahead of election day.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Chechnya on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Chechnya gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Chechnya and Russia, including the Election Commission of state and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Chechnya gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Chechnya and Russia, including the Election Commission of state and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
Marché ouvert : Jul 24, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$5,276Date de fin
20 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 24, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Chechnya on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Chechnya gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Chechnya and Russia, including the Election Commission of state and the Central Election Commission of Russia.Ramzan Kadyrov’s recent United Russia nomination for the September 20, 2026 Chechen head election has anchored trader pricing, yet his 41% share reflects persistent uncertainty over health, federal signals, and succession. Family members including Akhmat Kadyrov and Adam Kadyrov, alongside close allies such as Apti Alaudinov, Adam Delimkhanov, and Magomed Daudov, cluster in the low teens as potential continuity options if Kadyrov steps aside before or after the vote. The tight spread stems from Chechnya’s centralized power structure, limited public polling, and Kremlin influence on regional leadership transitions, leaving room for late developments like health updates, Moscow directives, or internal elite shifts to alter implied probabilities ahead of election day.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Chechnya on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Chechnya gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Chechnya and Russia, including the Election Commission of state and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Chechnya gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Chechnya and Russia, including the Election Commission of state and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
Volume
$5,276Date de fin
20 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 24, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ramzan Kadyrov’s recent United Russia nomination for the September 20, 2026 Chechen head election has anchored trader pricing, yet his 41% share reflects persistent uncertainty over health, federal signals, and succession. Family members including Akhmat Kadyrov and Adam Kadyrov, alongside close allies such as Apti Alaudinov, Adam Delimkhanov, and Magomed Daudov, cluster in the low teens as potential continuity options if Kadyrov steps aside before or after the vote. The tight spread stems from Chechnya’s centralized power structure, limited public polling, and Kremlin influence on regional leadership transitions, leaving room for late developments like health updates, Moscow directives, or internal elite shifts to alter implied probabilities ahead of election day.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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