Elaine Pelino holds a clear lead in trader consensus for the September 9 Republican primary for Rhode Island governor, driven by her strong showing in the June University of New Hampshire poll among likely GOP voters and her positioning as a self-described MAGA Republican focused on issues like immigration. Aaron Guckian trails despite securing the state Republican Party's endorsement at its June convention, reflecting a divide between party insiders favoring his prior experience as 2022 lieutenant governor nominee and primary voters favoring Pelino's outsider appeal. Their August 13 debate highlighted sharp differences on credentials and policy, with limited movement in positioning since. Minor candidates including Robert Raimondo remain far behind, consistent with their low visibility and polling support.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourElaine Pelino 73%
Aaron Guckian 27.5%
Ashley Kalus <1%
Robert Raimondo <1%
$29,272 Vol.
$29,272 Vol.

Elaine Pelino
73%

Aaron Guckian
28%

Ashley Kalus
<1%

Robert Raimondo
<1%

Jessica de la Cruz
<1%
Elaine Pelino 73%
Aaron Guckian 27.5%
Ashley Kalus <1%
Robert Raimondo <1%
$29,272 Vol.
$29,272 Vol.

Elaine Pelino
73%

Aaron Guckian
28%

Ashley Kalus
<1%

Robert Raimondo
<1%

Jessica de la Cruz
<1%
If no 2026 Rhode Island Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Rhode Island Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Marché ouvert : Dec 10, 2025, 11:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Rhode Island Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Rhode Island Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Elaine Pelino holds a clear lead in trader consensus for the September 9 Republican primary for Rhode Island governor, driven by her strong showing in the June University of New Hampshire poll among likely GOP voters and her positioning as a self-described MAGA Republican focused on issues like immigration. Aaron Guckian trails despite securing the state Republican Party's endorsement at its June convention, reflecting a divide between party insiders favoring his prior experience as 2022 lieutenant governor nominee and primary voters favoring Pelino's outsider appeal. Their August 13 debate highlighted sharp differences on credentials and policy, with limited movement in positioning since. Minor candidates including Robert Raimondo remain far behind, consistent with their low visibility and polling support.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour



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