Incumbent Republican Governor Phil Scott commands 94% trader consensus to win Vermont's August 11 Republican gubernatorial primary, reflecting his overwhelming popularity after a 52-point landslide re-election in 2024 and strong incumbency advantages in the moderate Vermont GOP. Recent circulation of petitions by his campaign in early April signals firm intent ahead of the May 28 filing deadline, bolstering confidence amid polls showing majority support for another term. Challenger John Rodgers, the Republican lieutenant governor, trails at 5% due to limited momentum despite his 2024 upset win. Scenarios to shift odds include Scott unexpectedly declining the race, a late-breaking scandal, or health issues, though historical patterns favor dominant incumbents like Scott in low-turnout primaries.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourPhil Scott
94%
John Rodgers
8%
Phil Scott
94%
John Rodgers
8%
If no 2026 Vermont Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Vermont Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Marché ouvert : Dec 11, 2025, 10:40 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Vermont Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Vermont Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Governor Phil Scott commands 94% trader consensus to win Vermont's August 11 Republican gubernatorial primary, reflecting his overwhelming popularity after a 52-point landslide re-election in 2024 and strong incumbency advantages in the moderate Vermont GOP. Recent circulation of petitions by his campaign in early April signals firm intent ahead of the May 28 filing deadline, bolstering confidence amid polls showing majority support for another term. Challenger John Rodgers, the Republican lieutenant governor, trails at 5% due to limited momentum despite his 2024 upset win. Scenarios to shift odds include Scott unexpectedly declining the race, a late-breaking scandal, or health issues, though historical patterns favor dominant incumbents like Scott in low-turnout primaries.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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