Sweden's September 13 parliamentary election features a tight contest between the centre-right Tidö bloc and centre-left opposition, with recent Novus polling showing the blocs separated by roughly two points. This competitiveness, alongside prominent campaign themes of crime, immigration, welfare, healthcare, and security, has driven elevated voter engagement. Advance voting has surged to record levels, exceeding 2022 figures by about 40 percent according to the Swedish Election Authority, signaling broad mobilization ahead of election day. Historical turnout reached 84.2 percent in 2022, and the current environment of high issue salience and bloc parity supports trader consensus around the 84-86 percent range as the modal outcome, with nearby bands reflecting modest upside or downside variance based on final participation.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourÉlections législatives suédoises : participation
84-86 % 45%
86-88 % 24%
82-84 % 13%
88 %+ 6%
<82 %
1%
82-84 %
13%
84-86 %
45%
86-88 %
24%
88 %+
6%
84-86 % 45%
86-88 % 24%
82-84 % 13%
88 %+ 6%
<82 %
1%
82-84 %
13%
84-86 %
45%
86-88 %
24%
88 %+
6%
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate in the specified election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2022 example: https://www.val.se/valresultat/riksdag-region-och-kommun/2022/valresultat.html).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be official information published by the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten, https://www.val.se/).
Marché ouvert : Sep 8, 2026, 4:28 PM ET
Résolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate in the specified election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2022 example: https://www.val.se/valresultat/riksdag-region-och-kommun/2022/valresultat.html).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be official information published by the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten, https://www.val.se/).
Résolveur
0x69c47De9D...Sweden's September 13 parliamentary election features a tight contest between the centre-right Tidö bloc and centre-left opposition, with recent Novus polling showing the blocs separated by roughly two points. This competitiveness, alongside prominent campaign themes of crime, immigration, welfare, healthcare, and security, has driven elevated voter engagement. Advance voting has surged to record levels, exceeding 2022 figures by about 40 percent according to the Swedish Election Authority, signaling broad mobilization ahead of election day. Historical turnout reached 84.2 percent in 2022, and the current environment of high issue salience and bloc parity supports trader consensus around the 84-86 percent range as the modal outcome, with nearby bands reflecting modest upside or downside variance based on final participation.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour


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