Russia's September 2026 State Duma election shows trader consensus clustered tightly around 50-56% turnout, reflecting historical benchmarks of 47.8% in 2016 and 51.7% in 2021 alongside stable April polling that places United Russia ahead with abstention intentions at 7-13%. Recent expansion of remote electronic voting to nearly half the regions offers easier access that could lift participation, yet this is offset by persistent war fatigue, modest declines in presidential approval to around 79%, and broader economic pressures encouraging disengagement. With no major political or policy shifts in the past 30 days, the narrow spreads persist because administrative mobilization efforts and any pre-election economic measures remain the key variables that could push outcomes higher or reinforce lower engagement seen in prior cycles.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourRussia Parliamentary Election: Turnout
Russia Parliamentary Election: Turnout
53-56% 37.6%
50-53% 35%
62%+ 29%
<47% 26%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
20 sept. 2026
<47%
24%
47-50%
25%
50-53%
35%
53-56%
38%
56-59%
24%
59-62%
27%
62%+
38%
53-56% 37.6%
50-53% 35%
62%+ 29%
<47% 26%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
20 sept. 2026
<47%
$175 Vol.
24%
47-50%
$67 Vol.
25%
50-53%
$67 Vol.
35%
53-56%
$73 Vol.
38%
56-59%
$59 Vol.
24%
59-62%
$60 Vol.
27%
62%+
$62 Vol.
38%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.Russia's September 2026 State Duma election shows trader consensus clustered tightly around 50-56% turnout, reflecting historical benchmarks of 47.8% in 2016 and 51.7% in 2021 alongside stable April polling that places United Russia ahead with abstention intentions at 7-13%. Recent expansion of remote electronic voting to nearly half the regions offers easier access that could lift participation, yet this is offset by persistent war fatigue, modest declines in presidential approval to around 79%, and broader economic pressures encouraging disengagement. With no major political or policy shifts in the past 30 days, the narrow spreads persist because administrative mobilization efforts and any pre-election economic measures remain the key variables that could push outcomes higher or reinforce lower engagement seen in prior cycles.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
Marché ouvert : Apr 21, 2026, 3:46 PM ET
Volume
$564Date de fin
20 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 21, 2026, 3:46 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.Russia's September 2026 State Duma election shows trader consensus clustered tightly around 50-56% turnout, reflecting historical benchmarks of 47.8% in 2016 and 51.7% in 2021 alongside stable April polling that places United Russia ahead with abstention intentions at 7-13%. Recent expansion of remote electronic voting to nearly half the regions offers easier access that could lift participation, yet this is offset by persistent war fatigue, modest declines in presidential approval to around 79%, and broader economic pressures encouraging disengagement. With no major political or policy shifts in the past 30 days, the narrow spreads persist because administrative mobilization efforts and any pre-election economic measures remain the key variables that could push outcomes higher or reinforce lower engagement seen in prior cycles.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
Volume
$564Date de fin
20 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 21, 2026, 3:46 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Russia's September 2026 State Duma election shows trader consensus clustered tightly around 50-56% turnout, reflecting historical benchmarks of 47.8% in 2016 and 51.7% in 2021 alongside stable April polling that places United Russia ahead with abstention intentions at 7-13%. Recent expansion of remote electronic voting to nearly half the regions offers easier access that could lift participation, yet this is offset by persistent war fatigue, modest declines in presidential approval to around 79%, and broader economic pressures encouraging disengagement. With no major political or policy shifts in the past 30 days, the narrow spreads persist because administrative mobilization efforts and any pre-election economic measures remain the key variables that could push outcomes higher or reinforce lower engagement seen in prior cycles.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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