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icon for Russia Parliamentary Election: Turnout

Russia Parliamentary Election: Turnout

icon for Russia Parliamentary Election: Turnout

Russia Parliamentary Election: Turnout

50-53% 30%

53-56% 28.9%

47-50% 12%

62%+ 10.5%

Polymarket

$54,328 Vol.

50-53% 30%

53-56% 28.9%

47-50% 12%

62%+ 10.5%

Polymarket

$54,328 Vol.

<47%

$2,385 Vol.

2%

47-50%

$6,452 Vol.

12%

50-53%

$5,447 Vol.

30%

53-56%

$3,394 Vol.

29%

56-59%

$6,521 Vol.

10%

59-62%

$5,458 Vol.

11%

62%+

$24,674 Vol.

11%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.**Russia’s September 18–20, 2026 State Duma election occurs amid intensified Kremlin efforts to manage participation levels in a low-competition environment.** Historical turnout in the prior cycle stood near 52 percent, providing a baseline that traders appear to reference. Recent polling shows declining approval for United Russia and broader voter fatigue linked to the ongoing conflict and economic pressures, prompting the Presidential Administration to expand “corporate mobilization” tactics. Mid-level managers now oversee groups of employees at state institutions and aligned firms, with added training to improve compliance and tracking. These measures, rolled out more broadly in August, aim to counteract apathy while authorities have quietly adjusted internal turnout benchmarks downward from earlier goals. Expanded remote electronic voting in 32 regions and multi-day balloting offer logistical support for higher participation, particularly among mobilized voters and overseas communities in select countries. At the same time, reduced candidate competition and the exclusion of certain lists limit organic interest. The narrow clustering of probabilities around the 50–56 percent bands reflects this balance: administrative tools provide upward pressure, yet underlying disengagement and adjusted expectations keep outcomes contained near historical norms. Late developments such as mobilization results, early voting patterns, or shifts in public sentiment could widen the range in either direction before resolution.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.

This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
Volume
$54,328
Date de fin
20 sept. 2026
Marché ouvert
Apr 21, 2026, 3:46 PM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.**Russia’s September 18–20, 2026 State Duma election occurs amid intensified Kremlin efforts to manage participation levels in a low-competition environment.** Historical turnout in the prior cycle stood near 52 percent, providing a baseline that traders appear to reference. Recent polling shows declining approval for United Russia and broader voter fatigue linked to the ongoing conflict and economic pressures, prompting the Presidential Administration to expand “corporate mobilization” tactics. Mid-level managers now oversee groups of employees at state institutions and aligned firms, with added training to improve compliance and tracking. These measures, rolled out more broadly in August, aim to counteract apathy while authorities have quietly adjusted internal turnout benchmarks downward from earlier goals. Expanded remote electronic voting in 32 regions and multi-day balloting offer logistical support for higher participation, particularly among mobilized voters and overseas communities in select countries. At the same time, reduced candidate competition and the exclusion of certain lists limit organic interest. The narrow clustering of probabilities around the 50–56 percent bands reflects this balance: administrative tools provide upward pressure, yet underlying disengagement and adjusted expectations keep outcomes contained near historical norms. Late developments such as mobilization results, early voting patterns, or shifts in public sentiment could widen the range in either direction before resolution.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.

This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
Volume
$54,328
Date de fin
20 sept. 2026
Marché ouvert
Apr 21, 2026, 3:46 PM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.

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Questions fréquentes

« Russia Parliamentary Election: Turnout » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 7 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « 50-53% » à 30%, suivi de « 53-56% » à 29%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 30¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 30% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Russia Parliamentary Election: Turnout » a généré $54.3K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Apr 21, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Russia Parliamentary Election: Turnout », parcourez les 7 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Russia Parliamentary Election: Turnout » est « 50-53% » à 30%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 30% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « 53-56% » à 29%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Russia Parliamentary Election: Turnout » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.