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icon for Vainqueur de l'élection municipale d'Oldenburg

Vainqueur de l'élection municipale d'Oldenburg

icon for Vainqueur de l'élection municipale d'Oldenburg

Vainqueur de l'élection municipale d'Oldenburg

Ulf Prange 43%

Jascha Rohr 43%

Sebastian Fröhlich 43%

Heike Boldt 43%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

Ulf Prange 43%

Jascha Rohr 43%

Sebastian Fröhlich 43%

Heike Boldt 43%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU
icon for Ulf Prange

Ulf Prange

$0 Vol.

43%

icon for Jascha Rohr

Jascha Rohr

$0 Vol.

43%

icon for Sebastian Fröhlich

Sebastian Fröhlich

$0 Vol.

43%

icon for Heike Boldt

Heike Boldt

$0 Vol.

43%

icon for Holger Martin Wilkens

Holger Martin Wilkens

$0 Vol.

43%

icon for Yakup Castur

Yakup Castur

$0 Vol.

43%

icon for Byanca Küßner

Byanca Küßner

$0 Vol.

43%

icon for Michael Stille

Michael Stille

$0 Vol.

43%

icon for Ralf Butzin

Ralf Butzin

$0 Vol.

43%

The next Oldenburg mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Oldenburg, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Stadt Oldenburg). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Oldenburg as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Oldenburg, including its election office and municipal election committee.The crowded field of nine confirmed candidates for Oldenburg’s September 13, 2026 Oberbürgermeister election—following incumbent Jürgen Krogmann’s decision not to seek a third term—has produced closely matched trader prices, with no contender exceeding 43 percent. Cross-party support for independent Jascha Rohr from the Greens and CDU contrasts with SPD nominee Ulf Prange and other party-backed or independent entrants, fragmenting early support. The two-round system raises the likelihood of a September 27 runoff, while limited polling and recent nomination announcements keep probabilities diffuse. Further endorsements, candidate debates, or shifts in local voter coalitions could consolidate backing and widen gaps ahead of the vote.

The next Oldenburg mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Oldenburg, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Stadt Oldenburg). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Oldenburg as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Oldenburg, including its election office and municipal election committee.
Volume
$0
Date de fin
13 sept. 2026
Marché ouvert
Jul 24, 2026, 7:13 PM ET
The next Oldenburg mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Oldenburg, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Stadt Oldenburg). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Oldenburg as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Oldenburg, including its election office and municipal election committee.
The next Oldenburg mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Oldenburg, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Stadt Oldenburg). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Oldenburg as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Oldenburg, including its election office and municipal election committee.The crowded field of nine confirmed candidates for Oldenburg’s September 13, 2026 Oberbürgermeister election—following incumbent Jürgen Krogmann’s decision not to seek a third term—has produced closely matched trader prices, with no contender exceeding 43 percent. Cross-party support for independent Jascha Rohr from the Greens and CDU contrasts with SPD nominee Ulf Prange and other party-backed or independent entrants, fragmenting early support. The two-round system raises the likelihood of a September 27 runoff, while limited polling and recent nomination announcements keep probabilities diffuse. Further endorsements, candidate debates, or shifts in local voter coalitions could consolidate backing and widen gaps ahead of the vote.

The next Oldenburg mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Oldenburg, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Stadt Oldenburg). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Oldenburg as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Oldenburg, including its election office and municipal election committee.
Volume
$0
Date de fin
13 sept. 2026
Marché ouvert
Jul 24, 2026, 7:13 PM ET
The next Oldenburg mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Oldenburg, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Stadt Oldenburg). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Oldenburg as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Oldenburg, including its election office and municipal election committee.

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Questions fréquentes

« Vainqueur de l'élection municipale d'Oldenburg » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 9 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Ulf Prange » à 43%, suivi de « Jascha Rohr » à 43%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 43¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 43% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Vainqueur de l'élection municipale d'Oldenburg » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Jul 24, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Vainqueur de l'élection municipale d'Oldenburg », parcourez les 9 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Vainqueur de l'élection municipale d'Oldenburg » est « Ulf Prange » à 43%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 43% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Jascha Rohr » à 43%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Vainqueur de l'élection municipale d'Oldenburg » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.