Katharina Pötter, the incumbent CDU Oberbürgermeisterin since 2021, advanced comfortably from the September 13 first round with 42.2 percent of the vote, well ahead of Volker Bajus of the Greens at 22.3 percent and other candidates including the SPD contender. This performance, combined with her prior runoff victory and record of completing stalled local projects, underpins the market's strong consensus around her re-election prospects in the September 27 runoff. Traders appear to weigh her established local profile and cross-party appeal heavily against the narrower base of remaining opposition. Late shifts in turnout among non-CDU voters or unforeseen campaign developments could still narrow margins, though historical patterns in similar German municipal runoffs favor the first-round leader when the gap exceeds 15 points.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourKatharina Pötter 93.2%
Volker Bajus 4.3%
Robert Alferink 1.0%
Oliver Hasskamp <1%
$83,745 Vol.
$83,745 Vol.
13 sept. 2026
Katharina Pötter
93%
Volker Bajus
4%
Robert Alferink
1%
Oliver Hasskamp
1%
Thomas Groß
<1%
Thorsten Wassermann
<1%
Katharina Pötter 93.2%
Volker Bajus 4.3%
Robert Alferink 1.0%
Oliver Hasskamp <1%
$83,745 Vol.
$83,745 Vol.
13 sept. 2026
Katharina Pötter
$63,343 Vol.
93%
Volker Bajus
$1,676 Vol.
4%
Robert Alferink
$15,808 Vol.
1%
Oliver Hasskamp
$1,730 Vol.
1%
Thomas Groß
$385 Vol.
<1%
Thorsten Wassermann
$803 Vol.
<1%
The next Osnabrück mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Osnabrück, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Stadt Osnabrück). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Osnabrück as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Osnabrück, including its election office and municipal election committee.Katharina Pötter, the incumbent CDU Oberbürgermeisterin since 2021, advanced comfortably from the September 13 first round with 42.2 percent of the vote, well ahead of Volker Bajus of the Greens at 22.3 percent and other candidates including the SPD contender. This performance, combined with her prior runoff victory and record of completing stalled local projects, underpins the market's strong consensus around her re-election prospects in the September 27 runoff. Traders appear to weigh her established local profile and cross-party appeal heavily against the narrower base of remaining opposition. Late shifts in turnout among non-CDU voters or unforeseen campaign developments could still narrow margins, though historical patterns in similar German municipal runoffs favor the first-round leader when the gap exceeds 15 points.
The next Osnabrück mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Osnabrück, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Stadt Osnabrück). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Osnabrück as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Osnabrück, including its election office and municipal election committee.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Osnabrück as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Osnabrück, including its election office and municipal election committee.
Marché ouvert : Jul 24, 2026, 7:09 PM ET
Volume
$83,745Date de fin
13 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 24, 2026, 7:09 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...The next Osnabrück mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Osnabrück, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Stadt Osnabrück). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Osnabrück as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Osnabrück, including its election office and municipal election committee.Katharina Pötter, the incumbent CDU Oberbürgermeisterin since 2021, advanced comfortably from the September 13 first round with 42.2 percent of the vote, well ahead of Volker Bajus of the Greens at 22.3 percent and other candidates including the SPD contender. This performance, combined with her prior runoff victory and record of completing stalled local projects, underpins the market's strong consensus around her re-election prospects in the September 27 runoff. Traders appear to weigh her established local profile and cross-party appeal heavily against the narrower base of remaining opposition. Late shifts in turnout among non-CDU voters or unforeseen campaign developments could still narrow margins, though historical patterns in similar German municipal runoffs favor the first-round leader when the gap exceeds 15 points.
The next Osnabrück mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Osnabrück, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Stadt Osnabrück). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Osnabrück as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Osnabrück, including its election office and municipal election committee.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Osnabrück as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Osnabrück, including its election office and municipal election committee.
Volume
$83,745Date de fin
13 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 24, 2026, 7:09 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Katharina Pötter, the incumbent CDU Oberbürgermeisterin since 2021, advanced comfortably from the September 13 first round with 42.2 percent of the vote, well ahead of Volker Bajus of the Greens at 22.3 percent and other candidates including the SPD contender. This performance, combined with her prior runoff victory and record of completing stalled local projects, underpins the market's strong consensus around her re-election prospects in the September 27 runoff. Traders appear to weigh her established local profile and cross-party appeal heavily against the narrower base of remaining opposition. Late shifts in turnout among non-CDU voters or unforeseen campaign developments could still narrow margins, though historical patterns in similar German municipal runoffs favor the first-round leader when the gap exceeds 15 points.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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