Recent polls show the AfD holding steady near 35-36% in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern ahead of the September 20, 2026 Landtag election, positioning it as the likely largest party but short of an outright majority. The SPD has narrowed the gap modestly to around 28-29% in the latest surveys, while the Left polls at 11-12% and the CDU near 9-10%, with smaller parties risking exclusion below the 5% threshold. This distribution, combined with proportional seat allocation rules and potential late shifts in turnout or tactical voting, keeps projected AfD seats tightly clustered in the mid-to-high 20s. Trader consensus reflects the stable but contested vote-share range and the narrow margins separating possible outcomes in a fragmented parliament.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour28-31 42%
32-35 35%
36+ 34%
<20 34%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
20 sept. 2026
<20
34%
20-23
34%
24-27
34%
28-31
42%
32-35
35%
36+
34%
28-31 42%
32-35 35%
36+ 34%
<20 34%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
20 sept. 2026
<20
$0 Vol.
34%
20-23
$0 Vol.
34%
24-27
$0 Vol.
34%
28-31
$0 Vol.
42%
32-35
$0 Vol.
35%
36+
$0 Vol.
34%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).Recent polls show the AfD holding steady near 35-36% in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern ahead of the September 20, 2026 Landtag election, positioning it as the likely largest party but short of an outright majority. The SPD has narrowed the gap modestly to around 28-29% in the latest surveys, while the Left polls at 11-12% and the CDU near 9-10%, with smaller parties risking exclusion below the 5% threshold. This distribution, combined with proportional seat allocation rules and potential late shifts in turnout or tactical voting, keeps projected AfD seats tightly clustered in the mid-to-high 20s. Trader consensus reflects the stable but contested vote-share range and the narrow margins separating possible outcomes in a fragmented parliament.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
Marché ouvert : Aug 6, 2026, 9:00 PM ET
Volume
$0Date de fin
20 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 6, 2026, 9:00 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).Recent polls show the AfD holding steady near 35-36% in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern ahead of the September 20, 2026 Landtag election, positioning it as the likely largest party but short of an outright majority. The SPD has narrowed the gap modestly to around 28-29% in the latest surveys, while the Left polls at 11-12% and the CDU near 9-10%, with smaller parties risking exclusion below the 5% threshold. This distribution, combined with proportional seat allocation rules and potential late shifts in turnout or tactical voting, keeps projected AfD seats tightly clustered in the mid-to-high 20s. Trader consensus reflects the stable but contested vote-share range and the narrow margins separating possible outcomes in a fragmented parliament.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
Volume
$0Date de fin
20 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 6, 2026, 9:00 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls show the AfD holding steady near 35-36% in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern ahead of the September 20, 2026 Landtag election, positioning it as the likely largest party but short of an outright majority. The SPD has narrowed the gap modestly to around 28-29% in the latest surveys, while the Left polls at 11-12% and the CDU near 9-10%, with smaller parties risking exclusion below the 5% threshold. This distribution, combined with proportional seat allocation rules and potential late shifts in turnout or tactical voting, keeps projected AfD seats tightly clustered in the mid-to-high 20s. Trader consensus reflects the stable but contested vote-share range and the narrow margins separating possible outcomes in a fragmented parliament.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourConnexes
Will SPD win fewer than 18 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?
34%
Le parti AfD va-t-il remporter le plus de sièges lors des élections parlementaires de 2026 en Mecklembourg-Poméranie-Occidentale ?
86%
Oui
La CDU remportera-t-elle le troisième plus grand nombre de sièges lors des élections parlementaires de 2026 en Mecklembourg-Poméranie-Occidentale ?
34%
Oui
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