Recent polls ahead of Berlin’s September 20 Abgeordnetenhaus election show The Left leading or near the top, followed closely by the CDU and AfD, with the Greens typically fourth. This clustering around 16–20 percent among the CDU, AfD, and Greens keeps third-place probabilities tight, as modest shifts in support or turnout could reorder them. The CDU’s candidate change from Kai Wegner to Stefan Evers after the January blackout has coincided with stable but competitive CDU numbers, while the AfD and Greens have shown limited movement in August surveys. Minor parties remain well below the threshold, leaving the contest for third place concentrated among these three. Upcoming final polls and campaign events in the next month could widen or narrow the gaps reflected in current trader pricing.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourAfD 34%
Les Verts 29%
CDU 24%
Linke 11%
$22,608 Vol.
$22,608 Vol.
20 sept. 2026
AfD
34%
Les Verts
29%
CDU
24%
Linke
11%
SPD
9%
FDP
<1%
FW
<1%
BSW
<1%
AfD 34%
Les Verts 29%
CDU 24%
Linke 11%
$22,608 Vol.
$22,608 Vol.
20 sept. 2026
AfD
$5,435 Vol.
34%
Les Verts
$3,681 Vol.
29%
CDU
$5,639 Vol.
24%
Linke
$4,578 Vol.
11%
SPD
$1,268 Vol.
9%
FDP
$674 Vol.
<1%
FW
$582 Vol.
<1%
BSW
$750 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Recent polls ahead of Berlin’s September 20 Abgeordnetenhaus election show The Left leading or near the top, followed closely by the CDU and AfD, with the Greens typically fourth. This clustering around 16–20 percent among the CDU, AfD, and Greens keeps third-place probabilities tight, as modest shifts in support or turnout could reorder them. The CDU’s candidate change from Kai Wegner to Stefan Evers after the January blackout has coincided with stable but competitive CDU numbers, while the AfD and Greens have shown limited movement in August surveys. Minor parties remain well below the threshold, leaving the contest for third place concentrated among these three. Upcoming final polls and campaign events in the next month could widen or narrow the gaps reflected in current trader pricing.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Marché ouvert : Jul 7, 2026, 9:10 PM ET
Volume
$22,608Date de fin
20 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 7, 2026, 9:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Recent polls ahead of Berlin’s September 20 Abgeordnetenhaus election show The Left leading or near the top, followed closely by the CDU and AfD, with the Greens typically fourth. This clustering around 16–20 percent among the CDU, AfD, and Greens keeps third-place probabilities tight, as modest shifts in support or turnout could reorder them. The CDU’s candidate change from Kai Wegner to Stefan Evers after the January blackout has coincided with stable but competitive CDU numbers, while the AfD and Greens have shown limited movement in August surveys. Minor parties remain well below the threshold, leaving the contest for third place concentrated among these three. Upcoming final polls and campaign events in the next month could widen or narrow the gaps reflected in current trader pricing.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Volume
$22,608Date de fin
20 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 7, 2026, 9:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls ahead of Berlin’s September 20 Abgeordnetenhaus election show The Left leading or near the top, followed closely by the CDU and AfD, with the Greens typically fourth. This clustering around 16–20 percent among the CDU, AfD, and Greens keeps third-place probabilities tight, as modest shifts in support or turnout could reorder them. The CDU’s candidate change from Kai Wegner to Stefan Evers after the January blackout has coincided with stable but competitive CDU numbers, while the AfD and Greens have shown limited movement in August surveys. Minor parties remain well below the threshold, leaving the contest for third place concentrated among these three. Upcoming final polls and campaign events in the next month could widen or narrow the gaps reflected in current trader pricing.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourConnexes
Les Verts remporteront-ils le quatrième plus grand nombre de sièges aux élections régionales de Berlin en 2026 ?
39%
Oui
Le CDU gagnera-t-il le deuxième plus grand nombre de sièges lors des élections régionales de Berlin en 2026 ?
35%
Oui
Le Linke remportera-t-il le plus de sièges aux élections régionales de Berlin en 2026 ?
55%
Oui
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