Recent polling averages place the CDU at 22–24% in the September 6, 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election, with figures from INSA, Infratest dimap, and Pollytix clustering near the boundary between the two leading market bins. The party has lost substantial ground since its 37% result in 2021 amid AfD gains to the low 40s and limited movement among smaller parties such as the Left, SPD, and BSW that affect seat math. CDU lead candidate Sven Schulze’s campaign has emphasized continuity after Reiner Haseloff’s retirement, yet voter surveys show persistent preference for other options. With the election now two weeks away, modest late shifts in turnout or undecided voters could separate the 20–23% and 23–26% ranges in either direction.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour23-26% 36%
20-23% 32%
<20% 19%
26%+ 9%
<20%
19%
20-23%
36%
23-26%
36%
26%+
16%
23-26% 36%
20-23% 32%
<20% 19%
26%+ 9%
<20%
19%
20-23%
36%
23-26%
36%
26%+
16%
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by CDU in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Marché ouvert : Aug 20, 2026, 2:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by CDU in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages place the CDU at 22–24% in the September 6, 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election, with figures from INSA, Infratest dimap, and Pollytix clustering near the boundary between the two leading market bins. The party has lost substantial ground since its 37% result in 2021 amid AfD gains to the low 40s and limited movement among smaller parties such as the Left, SPD, and BSW that affect seat math. CDU lead candidate Sven Schulze’s campaign has emphasized continuity after Reiner Haseloff’s retirement, yet voter surveys show persistent preference for other options. With the election now two weeks away, modest late shifts in turnout or undecided voters could separate the 20–23% and 23–26% ranges in either direction.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour



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