The just-completed September 6, 2026, Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election produced preliminary results and projections placing BSW at 5.3 percent, directly aligning with the 5-7 percent range. Late-campaign polling had shown the party hovering near or below the five-percent threshold alongside the FDP and Greens, yet final tallies reflected modest gains that secured entry while other smaller parties fell short. Trader consensus incorporates these verified outcomes and the low historical variance between projections and official counts in German state elections. Remaining uncertainty centers on any narrow adjustments during the complete official verification or seat allocation process.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour5-7 % 99.9%
<3 % <1%
3-5 % <1%
7 %+ <1%
$128,154 Vol.
$128,154 Vol.
<3 %
Non
3-5 %
Non
5-7 %
Oui
7 %+
Non
5-7 % 99.9%
<3 % <1%
3-5 % <1%
7 %+ <1%
$128,154 Vol.
$128,154 Vol.
<3 %
Non
3-5 %
Non
5-7 %
Oui
7 %+
Non
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by BSW in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Marché ouvert : Aug 20, 2026, 2:32 PM ET
Résolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by BSW in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Résolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
The just-completed September 6, 2026, Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election produced preliminary results and projections placing BSW at 5.3 percent, directly aligning with the 5-7 percent range. Late-campaign polling had shown the party hovering near or below the five-percent threshold alongside the FDP and Greens, yet final tallies reflected modest gains that secured entry while other smaller parties fell short. Trader consensus incorporates these verified outcomes and the low historical variance between projections and official counts in German state elections. Remaining uncertainty centers on any narrow adjustments during the complete official verification or seat allocation process.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour


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