The Berlin state election on September 20, 2026 delivered AfD approximately 16.3 percent of the vote and 29 seats in the 158-seat Abgeordnetenhaus, a substantial gain from its 9.1 percent and 17 seats in 2023. Late polls consistently projected 17–18 percent support for the party, driven by voter concerns over immigration, housing costs, and economic conditions that boosted its performance particularly in eastern districts. This placed AfD third behind Die Linke (25.7 percent) and the CDU (18.8 percent), with all other parties refusing cooperation under the prevailing firewall. The market's heavy weighting toward 29–31 seats reflects the close alignment between final projections and the certified vote count. Minor adjustments remain possible only through official seat allocation or verification processes.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour29-31 96.8%
35+ 1.7%
23-25 <1%
26-28 <1%
$99,856 Vol.
$99,856 Vol.
20 sept. 2026
<20
<1%
20-22
<1%
23-25
1%
26-28
1%
29-31
97%
32-34
1%
35+
2%
29-31 96.8%
35+ 1.7%
23-25 <1%
26-28 <1%
$99,856 Vol.
$99,856 Vol.
20 sept. 2026
<20
$4,678 Vol.
<1%
20-22
$8,820 Vol.
<1%
23-25
$5,579 Vol.
1%
26-28
$17,040 Vol.
1%
29-31
$9,209 Vol.
97%
32-34
$16,100 Vol.
1%
35+
$38,430 Vol.
2%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).The Berlin state election on September 20, 2026 delivered AfD approximately 16.3 percent of the vote and 29 seats in the 158-seat Abgeordnetenhaus, a substantial gain from its 9.1 percent and 17 seats in 2023. Late polls consistently projected 17–18 percent support for the party, driven by voter concerns over immigration, housing costs, and economic conditions that boosted its performance particularly in eastern districts. This placed AfD third behind Die Linke (25.7 percent) and the CDU (18.8 percent), with all other parties refusing cooperation under the prevailing firewall. The market's heavy weighting toward 29–31 seats reflects the close alignment between final projections and the certified vote count. Minor adjustments remain possible only through official seat allocation or verification processes.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
Marché ouvert : Aug 6, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$99,856Date de fin
20 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 6, 2026, 9:03 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).The Berlin state election on September 20, 2026 delivered AfD approximately 16.3 percent of the vote and 29 seats in the 158-seat Abgeordnetenhaus, a substantial gain from its 9.1 percent and 17 seats in 2023. Late polls consistently projected 17–18 percent support for the party, driven by voter concerns over immigration, housing costs, and economic conditions that boosted its performance particularly in eastern districts. This placed AfD third behind Die Linke (25.7 percent) and the CDU (18.8 percent), with all other parties refusing cooperation under the prevailing firewall. The market's heavy weighting toward 29–31 seats reflects the close alignment between final projections and the certified vote count. Minor adjustments remain possible only through official seat allocation or verification processes.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
Volume
$99,856Date de fin
20 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 6, 2026, 9:03 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...The Berlin state election on September 20, 2026 delivered AfD approximately 16.3 percent of the vote and 29 seats in the 158-seat Abgeordnetenhaus, a substantial gain from its 9.1 percent and 17 seats in 2023. Late polls consistently projected 17–18 percent support for the party, driven by voter concerns over immigration, housing costs, and economic conditions that boosted its performance particularly in eastern districts. This placed AfD third behind Die Linke (25.7 percent) and the CDU (18.8 percent), with all other parties refusing cooperation under the prevailing firewall. The market's heavy weighting toward 29–31 seats reflects the close alignment between final projections and the certified vote count. Minor adjustments remain possible only through official seat allocation or verification processes.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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