The closely balanced 50% implied probability for higher turnout in the September 6, 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election reflects competing pressures on voter mobilization. Strong AfD polling near 41% amid widespread dissatisfaction with the economy and prior CDU-led governance has heightened polarization, potentially boosting participation through heightened stakes and party activation efforts. Offsetting this, the recent leadership transition to Minister-President Sven Schulze and uncertain post-election coalition prospects could dampen enthusiasm among some segments. Historical turnout of 60.3% in 2021 provides a baseline, while recent eastern German state elections have shown mixed shifts. Late-campaign developments such as intensified get-out-the-vote drives, major rallies, or voter sentiment surveys could tip the balance, as could external factors like weather on election day.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourEn hausse
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
6 sept. 2026
En hausse
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
6 sept. 2026
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the turnout in the specified election is higher than 60.3%.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the turnout in the specified election is lower than 60.3%.
If the reported turnout is exactly 60.3%, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the specified election, defined as the total number of voters who participated, divided by the total number of eligible voters. Qualifying figures must be final; preliminary results will not be considered.
The level of precision considered will be one decimal place; if presented otherwise, the figure will be rounded to one decimal place before comparison.
If voting in the specified election does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based solely on the finalized official results as published by the authoritative sources such as the Statistisches Landesamt Sachsen-Anhalt (https://statistik.sachsen-anhalt.de/themen/gebiet-und-wahlen/wahlen) and the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).The closely balanced 50% implied probability for higher turnout in the September 6, 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election reflects competing pressures on voter mobilization. Strong AfD polling near 41% amid widespread dissatisfaction with the economy and prior CDU-led governance has heightened polarization, potentially boosting participation through heightened stakes and party activation efforts. Offsetting this, the recent leadership transition to Minister-President Sven Schulze and uncertain post-election coalition prospects could dampen enthusiasm among some segments. Historical turnout of 60.3% in 2021 provides a baseline, while recent eastern German state elections have shown mixed shifts. Late-campaign developments such as intensified get-out-the-vote drives, major rallies, or voter sentiment surveys could tip the balance, as could external factors like weather on election day.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the turnout in the specified election is higher than 60.3%.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the turnout in the specified election is lower than 60.3%.
If the reported turnout is exactly 60.3%, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the specified election, defined as the total number of voters who participated, divided by the total number of eligible voters. Qualifying figures must be final; preliminary results will not be considered.
The level of precision considered will be one decimal place; if presented otherwise, the figure will be rounded to one decimal place before comparison.
If voting in the specified election does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based solely on the finalized official results as published by the authoritative sources such as the Statistisches Landesamt Sachsen-Anhalt (https://statistik.sachsen-anhalt.de/themen/gebiet-und-wahlen/wahlen) and the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
This market will resolve to "Up" if the turnout in the specified election is higher than 60.3%.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the turnout in the specified election is lower than 60.3%.
If the reported turnout is exactly 60.3%, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the specified election, defined as the total number of voters who participated, divided by the total number of eligible voters. Qualifying figures must be final; preliminary results will not be considered.
The level of precision considered will be one decimal place; if presented otherwise, the figure will be rounded to one decimal place before comparison.
If voting in the specified election does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based solely on the finalized official results as published by the authoritative sources such as the Statistisches Landesamt Sachsen-Anhalt (https://statistik.sachsen-anhalt.de/themen/gebiet-und-wahlen/wahlen) and the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Marché ouvert : Aug 6, 2026, 8:44 PM ET
Volume
$0Date de fin
6 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 6, 2026, 8:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the turnout in the specified election is higher than 60.3%.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the turnout in the specified election is lower than 60.3%.
If the reported turnout is exactly 60.3%, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the specified election, defined as the total number of voters who participated, divided by the total number of eligible voters. Qualifying figures must be final; preliminary results will not be considered.
The level of precision considered will be one decimal place; if presented otherwise, the figure will be rounded to one decimal place before comparison.
If voting in the specified election does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based solely on the finalized official results as published by the authoritative sources such as the Statistisches Landesamt Sachsen-Anhalt (https://statistik.sachsen-anhalt.de/themen/gebiet-und-wahlen/wahlen) and the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).The closely balanced 50% implied probability for higher turnout in the September 6, 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election reflects competing pressures on voter mobilization. Strong AfD polling near 41% amid widespread dissatisfaction with the economy and prior CDU-led governance has heightened polarization, potentially boosting participation through heightened stakes and party activation efforts. Offsetting this, the recent leadership transition to Minister-President Sven Schulze and uncertain post-election coalition prospects could dampen enthusiasm among some segments. Historical turnout of 60.3% in 2021 provides a baseline, while recent eastern German state elections have shown mixed shifts. Late-campaign developments such as intensified get-out-the-vote drives, major rallies, or voter sentiment surveys could tip the balance, as could external factors like weather on election day.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the turnout in the specified election is higher than 60.3%.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the turnout in the specified election is lower than 60.3%.
If the reported turnout is exactly 60.3%, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the specified election, defined as the total number of voters who participated, divided by the total number of eligible voters. Qualifying figures must be final; preliminary results will not be considered.
The level of precision considered will be one decimal place; if presented otherwise, the figure will be rounded to one decimal place before comparison.
If voting in the specified election does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based solely on the finalized official results as published by the authoritative sources such as the Statistisches Landesamt Sachsen-Anhalt (https://statistik.sachsen-anhalt.de/themen/gebiet-und-wahlen/wahlen) and the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
This market will resolve to "Up" if the turnout in the specified election is higher than 60.3%.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the turnout in the specified election is lower than 60.3%.
If the reported turnout is exactly 60.3%, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the specified election, defined as the total number of voters who participated, divided by the total number of eligible voters. Qualifying figures must be final; preliminary results will not be considered.
The level of precision considered will be one decimal place; if presented otherwise, the figure will be rounded to one decimal place before comparison.
If voting in the specified election does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based solely on the finalized official results as published by the authoritative sources such as the Statistisches Landesamt Sachsen-Anhalt (https://statistik.sachsen-anhalt.de/themen/gebiet-und-wahlen/wahlen) and the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Volume
$0Date de fin
6 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 6, 2026, 8:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The closely balanced 50% implied probability for higher turnout in the September 6, 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election reflects competing pressures on voter mobilization. Strong AfD polling near 41% amid widespread dissatisfaction with the economy and prior CDU-led governance has heightened polarization, potentially boosting participation through heightened stakes and party activation efforts. Offsetting this, the recent leadership transition to Minister-President Sven Schulze and uncertain post-election coalition prospects could dampen enthusiasm among some segments. Historical turnout of 60.3% in 2021 provides a baseline, while recent eastern German state elections have shown mixed shifts. Late-campaign developments such as intensified get-out-the-vote drives, major rallies, or voter sentiment surveys could tip the balance, as could external factors like weather on election day.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourConnexes
L'AfD remportera-t-elle le plus de sièges aux élections parlementaires de Saxe-Anhalt en 2026 ?
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Oui
Le CDU remportera-t-il le deuxième plus grand nombre de sièges lors des élections parlementaires de 2026 en Saxe-Anhalt ?
98%
Oui
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