Recent polls for the September 20, 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtag election show the AfD leading with 35-36 percent support, ahead of the SPD at 27-29 percent, followed by Die Linke and the CDU in the low double digits. With 71 seats and 36 required for an absolute majority, traders see a closely balanced outcome because AfD strength depends heavily on whether smaller parties clear the five-percent threshold; multiple sub-five-percent results could translate the AfD’s plurality into a seat majority. The incumbent SPD-Left coalition trails in surveys, while AfD candidate positioning and turnout dynamics in eastern Germany add uncertainty. Upcoming final polls, campaign events, and any late shifts among minor parties remain the clearest near-term catalysts that could move implied probabilities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOui
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20 sept. 2026
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20 sept. 2026
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the party Alternative for Germany (AfD) wins an absolute majority of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).Recent polls for the September 20, 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtag election show the AfD leading with 35-36 percent support, ahead of the SPD at 27-29 percent, followed by Die Linke and the CDU in the low double digits. With 71 seats and 36 required for an absolute majority, traders see a closely balanced outcome because AfD strength depends heavily on whether smaller parties clear the five-percent threshold; multiple sub-five-percent results could translate the AfD’s plurality into a seat majority. The incumbent SPD-Left coalition trails in surveys, while AfD candidate positioning and turnout dynamics in eastern Germany add uncertainty. Upcoming final polls, campaign events, and any late shifts among minor parties remain the clearest near-term catalysts that could move implied probabilities.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the party Alternative for Germany (AfD) wins an absolute majority of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the party Alternative for Germany (AfD) wins an absolute majority of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
Marché ouvert : Aug 6, 2026, 8:51 PM ET
Volume
$0Date de fin
20 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 6, 2026, 8:51 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the party Alternative for Germany (AfD) wins an absolute majority of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).Recent polls for the September 20, 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtag election show the AfD leading with 35-36 percent support, ahead of the SPD at 27-29 percent, followed by Die Linke and the CDU in the low double digits. With 71 seats and 36 required for an absolute majority, traders see a closely balanced outcome because AfD strength depends heavily on whether smaller parties clear the five-percent threshold; multiple sub-five-percent results could translate the AfD’s plurality into a seat majority. The incumbent SPD-Left coalition trails in surveys, while AfD candidate positioning and turnout dynamics in eastern Germany add uncertainty. Upcoming final polls, campaign events, and any late shifts among minor parties remain the clearest near-term catalysts that could move implied probabilities.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the party Alternative for Germany (AfD) wins an absolute majority of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the party Alternative for Germany (AfD) wins an absolute majority of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
Volume
$0Date de fin
20 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 6, 2026, 8:51 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent polls for the September 20, 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtag election show the AfD leading with 35-36 percent support, ahead of the SPD at 27-29 percent, followed by Die Linke and the CDU in the low double digits. With 71 seats and 36 required for an absolute majority, traders see a closely balanced outcome because AfD strength depends heavily on whether smaller parties clear the five-percent threshold; multiple sub-five-percent results could translate the AfD’s plurality into a seat majority. The incumbent SPD-Left coalition trails in surveys, while AfD candidate positioning and turnout dynamics in eastern Germany add uncertainty. Upcoming final polls, campaign events, and any late shifts among minor parties remain the clearest near-term catalysts that could move implied probabilities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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