The DOJ closed its criminal probe into Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell on April 24, 2026, after launching it in January over his congressional testimony on headquarters renovation costs. U.S. Attorney Jeanine Pirro referred the matter to the Fed inspector general while noting the office could restart the inquiry if warranted, removing a key Senate hurdle for Kevin Warsh’s confirmation as successor. Powell’s chair term ended May 15 but he remains a governor through 2028. With no subsequent announcements or actions as of mid-June, traders assign over 98% probability against reopening by late June, reflecting the probe’s recent termination, institutional handoff, and absence of new catalysts that could revive it before scheduled resolution windows.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourDOJ reopens Powell investigation by...?
$51,717 Vol.
June 30
<1%
$51,717 Vol.
June 30
<1%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States Department of Justice reopens this criminal investigation of Powell, or opens a new criminal investigation of Powell, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Jerome Powell, this will also suffice for a “Yes” resolution.
An official announcement from the United States Department of Justice that the investigation has been reopened, or that a new investigation against Powell has been opened, will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”.
Statements or reports that the Department of Justice is considering allegations or potential investigative action against Powell will not qualify, unless they explicitly indicate that a criminal investigation into Powell has been reopened or opened.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States Department of Justice, including any relevant United States Attorney’s Office; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : May 3, 2026, 9:55 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States Department of Justice reopens this criminal investigation of Powell, or opens a new criminal investigation of Powell, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Jerome Powell, this will also suffice for a “Yes” resolution.
An official announcement from the United States Department of Justice that the investigation has been reopened, or that a new investigation against Powell has been opened, will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”.
Statements or reports that the Department of Justice is considering allegations or potential investigative action against Powell will not qualify, unless they explicitly indicate that a criminal investigation into Powell has been reopened or opened.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States Department of Justice, including any relevant United States Attorney’s Office; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The DOJ closed its criminal probe into Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell on April 24, 2026, after launching it in January over his congressional testimony on headquarters renovation costs. U.S. Attorney Jeanine Pirro referred the matter to the Fed inspector general while noting the office could restart the inquiry if warranted, removing a key Senate hurdle for Kevin Warsh’s confirmation as successor. Powell’s chair term ended May 15 but he remains a governor through 2028. With no subsequent announcements or actions as of mid-June, traders assign over 98% probability against reopening by late June, reflecting the probe’s recent termination, institutional handoff, and absence of new catalysts that could revive it before scheduled resolution windows.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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