President Trump's April 2026 public statements escalated pressure on Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, with the president vowing to remove him from the Board of Governors if Powell remained after his chair term expired on May 15. These remarks followed months of criticism over interest rate policy and coincided with a Department of Justice investigation into Federal Reserve building renovations, which Powell described as pretexts for seeking lower rates. Parallel efforts to oust another governor, Lisa Cook, advanced to the Supreme Court, underscoring legal constraints on removals limited to "for cause" under statute. Traders weigh these direct executive signals against institutional protections, Senate confirmation dynamics for any successor, and the board's fixed terms when assessing the probability of an attempted firing within the market's resolution window.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTrump essaiera-t-il de renvoyer Powell en tant que membre du conseil d'administration de la Fed d'ici... ?
$26,328 Vol.
31 août
37%
30 septembre
48%
31 décembre
13%
$26,328 Vol.
31 août
37%
30 septembre
48%
31 décembre
13%
Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.
If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
Attempts to remove Powell from his role as chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, which do not include removing Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, will not alone qualify.
The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Jul 31, 2026, 5:47 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.
If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
Attempts to remove Powell from his role as chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, which do not include removing Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, will not alone qualify.
The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump's April 2026 public statements escalated pressure on Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, with the president vowing to remove him from the Board of Governors if Powell remained after his chair term expired on May 15. These remarks followed months of criticism over interest rate policy and coincided with a Department of Justice investigation into Federal Reserve building renovations, which Powell described as pretexts for seeking lower rates. Parallel efforts to oust another governor, Lisa Cook, advanced to the Supreme Court, underscoring legal constraints on removals limited to "for cause" under statute. Traders weigh these direct executive signals against institutional protections, Senate confirmation dynamics for any successor, and the board's fixed terms when assessing the probability of an attempted firing within the market's resolution window.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour



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