Jerome Powell's continued service on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors hinges on political pressures from the Trump administration and resolution of an ongoing investigation into the Fed's headquarters construction project. His 14-year governor term runs until January 31, 2028, following the end of his chairmanship in May 2026, when Kevin Warsh assumed the role. Powell has publicly committed to remaining until the probe concludes with transparency, creating uncertainty around potential early departure amid tensions over central bank independence. Market-implied odds reflect these dynamics, with trader sentiment sensitive to any FOMC communications, regulatory updates, or administration actions that could accelerate or delay his exit. No major developments have shifted the outlook in recent weeks.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$435,015 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
31 décembre
20%
$435,015 Vol.
31 décembre
$148,423 Vol.
20%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Jerome Powell's continued service on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors hinges on political pressures from the Trump administration and resolution of an ongoing investigation into the Fed's headquarters construction project. His 14-year governor term runs until January 31, 2028, following the end of his chairmanship in May 2026, when Kevin Warsh assumed the role. Powell has publicly committed to remaining until the probe concludes with transparency, creating uncertainty around potential early departure amid tensions over central bank independence. Market-implied odds reflect these dynamics, with trader sentiment sensitive to any FOMC communications, regulatory updates, or administration actions that could accelerate or delay his exit. No major developments have shifted the outlook in recent weeks.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Marché ouvert : Jan 5, 2026, 4:12 PM ET
Volume
$435,015Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 5, 2026, 4:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Jerome Powell's continued service on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors hinges on political pressures from the Trump administration and resolution of an ongoing investigation into the Fed's headquarters construction project. His 14-year governor term runs until January 31, 2028, following the end of his chairmanship in May 2026, when Kevin Warsh assumed the role. Powell has publicly committed to remaining until the probe concludes with transparency, creating uncertainty around potential early departure amid tensions over central bank independence. Market-implied odds reflect these dynamics, with trader sentiment sensitive to any FOMC communications, regulatory updates, or administration actions that could accelerate or delay his exit. No major developments have shifted the outlook in recent weeks.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Volume
$435,015Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 5, 2026, 4:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Jerome Powell's continued service on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors hinges on political pressures from the Trump administration and resolution of an ongoing investigation into the Fed's headquarters construction project. His 14-year governor term runs until January 31, 2028, following the end of his chairmanship in May 2026, when Kevin Warsh assumed the role. Powell has publicly committed to remaining until the probe concludes with transparency, creating uncertainty around potential early departure amid tensions over central bank independence. Market-implied odds reflect these dynamics, with trader sentiment sensitive to any FOMC communications, regulatory updates, or administration actions that could accelerate or delay his exit. No major developments have shifted the outlook in recent weeks.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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