Jerome Powell's term as Federal Reserve Chair expires today, May 15, 2026, ushering in Kevin Warsh as the new leader amid trader focus on Powell's continued Board of Governors role through January 2028. On April 29, Powell affirmed he will remain as a governor "for a period of time to be determined," citing Trump administration legal pressures—including DOJ probes—as threats to Fed independence that necessitate his presence for stability. This skin-in-the-game consensus prices low near-term exit odds, reflecting statutory protections for governors and historical precedents against removal absent cause. Key watchpoints include Warsh's initial FOMC signals and any escalating political scrutiny on monetary policy amid cooling inflation data.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$320,318 Vol.
30 mai
3%
31 décembre
43%
$320,318 Vol.
30 mai
3%
31 décembre
43%
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Marché ouvert : Jan 5, 2026, 4:12 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Jerome Powell's term as Federal Reserve Chair expires today, May 15, 2026, ushering in Kevin Warsh as the new leader amid trader focus on Powell's continued Board of Governors role through January 2028. On April 29, Powell affirmed he will remain as a governor "for a period of time to be determined," citing Trump administration legal pressures—including DOJ probes—as threats to Fed independence that necessitate his presence for stability. This skin-in-the-game consensus prices low near-term exit odds, reflecting statutory protections for governors and historical precedents against removal absent cause. Key watchpoints include Warsh's initial FOMC signals and any escalating political scrutiny on monetary policy amid cooling inflation data.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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