Recent hawkish momentum at the FOMC, including the unanimous 25-basis-point hike to the 3.75-4.00% target range on September 16, has narrowed expectations for December dissents amid sticky inflation near 3.7% PCE and resilient growth. Prior meetings featured fractured votes—three hawkish dissents in July favoring tightening and four in April—reflecting divides over policy restrictiveness versus labor-market risks at 4.1% unemployment. With voting rotations and incoming data on CPI, employment, and energy prices likely to shape the December statement, trader-implied probabilities remain tightly clustered because outcomes hinge on whether inflation trends moderate enough for broad consensus or prompt renewed hawkish or dovish pushback.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHow many dissent at the December Fed meeting?
2 23.9%
3 22%
4+ 21%
0 19%
0
19%
1
16%
2
24%
3
22%
4+
21%
2 23.9%
3 22%
4+ 21%
0 19%
0
19%
1
16%
2
24%
3
22%
4+
21%
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the December Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Marché ouvert : Jul 29, 2026, 8:43 PM ET
Résolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the December Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Résolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent hawkish momentum at the FOMC, including the unanimous 25-basis-point hike to the 3.75-4.00% target range on September 16, has narrowed expectations for December dissents amid sticky inflation near 3.7% PCE and resilient growth. Prior meetings featured fractured votes—three hawkish dissents in July favoring tightening and four in April—reflecting divides over policy restrictiveness versus labor-market risks at 4.1% unemployment. With voting rotations and incoming data on CPI, employment, and energy prices likely to shape the December statement, trader-implied probabilities remain tightly clustered because outcomes hinge on whether inflation trends moderate enough for broad consensus or prompt renewed hawkish or dovish pushback.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour


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