Elon Musk’s recent posting pace, averaging roughly 30-60 tweets daily amid xAI updates, SpaceX developments, and platform engagement, anchors trader sentiment for the July 16-18 window. With <40 and 40-64 both implied near 42.5%, markets reflect uncertainty over whether routine commentary will stay subdued or accelerate during the Thursday-to-Saturday stretch. Weekday work cycles and any unannounced product news or viral threads could push totals higher, while travel or focus on other ventures might suppress volume. Similar short-period markets show tight spreads driven by these same variables, underscoring how quickly sentiment shifts with fresh activity signals.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour40-64 45%
moins de 40 31%
65-89 19%
90-114 5%
NOUVEAU
$10,524 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$10,524 Vol.
18 juil. 2026
moins de 40
31%
40-64
45%
65-89
19%
90-114
5%
115-139
1%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 45%
moins de 40 31%
65-89 19%
90-114 5%
NOUVEAU
$10,524 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$10,524 Vol.
18 juil. 2026
moins de 40
$984 Vol.
31%
40-64
$789 Vol.
45%
65-89
$933 Vol.
19%
90-114
$990 Vol.
5%
115-139
$2,761 Vol.
1%
140-164
$690 Vol.
<1%
165-189
$1,087 Vol.
<1%
190-214
$2,003 Vol.
<1%
215-239
$76 Vol.
<1%
240+
$210 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 16 12:00 PM ET to July 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s recent posting pace, averaging roughly 30-60 tweets daily amid xAI updates, SpaceX developments, and platform engagement, anchors trader sentiment for the July 16-18 window. With <40 and 40-64 both implied near 42.5%, markets reflect uncertainty over whether routine commentary will stay subdued or accelerate during the Thursday-to-Saturday stretch. Weekday work cycles and any unannounced product news or viral threads could push totals higher, while travel or focus on other ventures might suppress volume. Similar short-period markets show tight spreads driven by these same variables, underscoring how quickly sentiment shifts with fresh activity signals.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 16 12:00 PM ET to July 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Marché ouvert : Jul 13, 2026, 12:07 PM ET
Volume
$10,524Date de fin
18 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 13, 2026, 12:07 PM ETSource de résolution
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 16 12:00 PM ET to July 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s recent posting pace, averaging roughly 30-60 tweets daily amid xAI updates, SpaceX developments, and platform engagement, anchors trader sentiment for the July 16-18 window. With <40 and 40-64 both implied near 42.5%, markets reflect uncertainty over whether routine commentary will stay subdued or accelerate during the Thursday-to-Saturday stretch. Weekday work cycles and any unannounced product news or viral threads could push totals higher, while travel or focus on other ventures might suppress volume. Similar short-period markets show tight spreads driven by these same variables, underscoring how quickly sentiment shifts with fresh activity signals.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 16 12:00 PM ET to July 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$10,524Date de fin
18 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 13, 2026, 12:07 PM ETSource de résolution
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk’s recent posting pace, averaging roughly 30-60 tweets daily amid xAI updates, SpaceX developments, and platform engagement, anchors trader sentiment for the July 16-18 window. With <40 and 40-64 both implied near 42.5%, markets reflect uncertainty over whether routine commentary will stay subdued or accelerate during the Thursday-to-Saturday stretch. Weekday work cycles and any unannounced product news or viral threads could push totals higher, while travel or focus on other ventures might suppress volume. Similar short-period markets show tight spreads driven by these same variables, underscoring how quickly sentiment shifts with fresh activity signals.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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