Skip to main content
icon for Elon Musk # tweets May 12 - May 19, 2026?

Elon Musk # tweets May 12 - May 19, 2026?

icon for Elon Musk # tweets May 12 - May 19, 2026?

Elon Musk # tweets May 12 - May 19, 2026?

200-219 44.8%

220-239 33.7%

180-199 7.5%

240-259 7.2%

Polymarket

$9,950,802 Vol.

200-219 44.8%

220-239 33.7%

180-199 7.5%

240-259 7.2%

Polymarket

$9,950,802 Vol.

140-159

$725,063 Vol.

<1%

160-179

$534,587 Vol.

<1%

180-199

$413,523 Vol.

8%

200-219

$394,125 Vol.

45%

220-239

$426,471 Vol.

34%

240-259

$334,544 Vol.

7%

260-279

$312,322 Vol.

3%

280-299

$286,372 Vol.

1%

300-319

$331,947 Vol.

<1%

320-339

$406,298 Vol.

<1%

340-359

$432,852 Vol.

<1%

360-379

$416,804 Vol.

<1%

380-399

$400,329 Vol.

<1%

400-419

$561,173 Vol.

<1%

420-439

$166,557 Vol.

<1%

440-459

$82,158 Vol.

<1%

460-479

$67,054 Vol.

<1%

480-499

$29,200 Vol.

<1%

500+

$242,680 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 12 12:00 PM ET to May 19, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk's high-volume posting rhythm on X continues to anchor trader expectations for the May 12–19 window, with the 200–219 bucket holding the clearest lead at 45.6% implied probability. Daily commentary on SpaceX missions, Grok updates, Tesla developments, and quick-hit replies to trending topics has kept momentum steady through mid-week, mirroring his established pattern of 30–50 posts on active days. Recent engagement spikes around AI tool releases and space docking footage have added incremental volume without pushing into outlier territory. With only one day remaining before the period closes, any final burst of replies or announcements could still nudge the total toward the upper end of the favored range, while a quiet close would lock in the current market consensus.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 12 12:00 PM ET to May 19, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$9,950,802
Date de fin
19 mai 2026
Marché ouvert
May 9, 2026, 4:07 AM ET

Source de résolution

https://x.com/elonmusk
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 12 12:00 PM ET to May 19, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 12 12:00 PM ET to May 19, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk's high-volume posting rhythm on X continues to anchor trader expectations for the May 12–19 window, with the 200–219 bucket holding the clearest lead at 45.6% implied probability. Daily commentary on SpaceX missions, Grok updates, Tesla developments, and quick-hit replies to trending topics has kept momentum steady through mid-week, mirroring his established pattern of 30–50 posts on active days. Recent engagement spikes around AI tool releases and space docking footage have added incremental volume without pushing into outlier territory. With only one day remaining before the period closes, any final burst of replies or announcements could still nudge the total toward the upper end of the favored range, while a quiet close would lock in the current market consensus.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 12 12:00 PM ET to May 19, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$9,950,802
Date de fin
19 mai 2026
Marché ouvert
May 9, 2026, 4:07 AM ET

Source de résolution

https://x.com/elonmusk
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 12 12:00 PM ET to May 19, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Elon Musk # tweets May 12 - May 19, 2026? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 26 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « 200-219 » à 45%, suivi de « 220-239 » à 34%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 45¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 45% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Elon Musk # tweets May 12 - May 19, 2026? » a généré $10 million en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le May 9, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Elon Musk # tweets May 12 - May 19, 2026? », parcourez les 26 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Elon Musk # tweets May 12 - May 19, 2026? » est « 200-219 » à 45%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 45% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « 220-239 » à 34%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Elon Musk # tweets May 12 - May 19, 2026? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.