Traders see the 40-64 and 65-89 ranges as the most likely outcomes for Elon Musk’s tweet volume over the May 16–18 window because his recent activity reflects steady but not explosive engagement with Tesla FSD updates, Starship progress, and AI discussions. Recent posts on version 14.3.3 refinements and Starship V3 hardware changes have generated strong replies and views without triggering the rapid-fire threads that push counts higher during major launches or controversies. This measured pace aligns with typical mid-week patterns when no single breaking event dominates the platform conversation, keeping totals in the moderate range while leaving room for additional replies or media shares to tip the scale toward the upper band.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour40-64 50%
65-89 45%
90-114 2.2%
115-139 <1%
$995,429 Vol.
$995,429 Vol.
18 mai 2026
Moins de 40
<1%
40-64
50%
65-89
45%
90-114
2%
115-139
<1%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 50%
65-89 45%
90-114 2.2%
115-139 <1%
$995,429 Vol.
$995,429 Vol.
18 mai 2026
Moins de 40
$345,776 Vol.
<1%
40-64
$110,055 Vol.
50%
65-89
$105,111 Vol.
45%
90-114
$134,973 Vol.
2%
115-139
$109,491 Vol.
<1%
140-164
$65,192 Vol.
<1%
165-189
$53,265 Vol.
<1%
190-214
$37,343 Vol.
<1%
215-239
$15,853 Vol.
<1%
240+
$19,735 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders see the 40-64 and 65-89 ranges as the most likely outcomes for Elon Musk’s tweet volume over the May 16–18 window because his recent activity reflects steady but not explosive engagement with Tesla FSD updates, Starship progress, and AI discussions. Recent posts on version 14.3.3 refinements and Starship V3 hardware changes have generated strong replies and views without triggering the rapid-fire threads that push counts higher during major launches or controversies. This measured pace aligns with typical mid-week patterns when no single breaking event dominates the platform conversation, keeping totals in the moderate range while leaving room for additional replies or media shares to tip the scale toward the upper band.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Marché ouvert : May 14, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
Volume
$995,429Date de fin
18 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 14, 2026, 12:01 PM ETSource de résolution
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders see the 40-64 and 65-89 ranges as the most likely outcomes for Elon Musk’s tweet volume over the May 16–18 window because his recent activity reflects steady but not explosive engagement with Tesla FSD updates, Starship progress, and AI discussions. Recent posts on version 14.3.3 refinements and Starship V3 hardware changes have generated strong replies and views without triggering the rapid-fire threads that push counts higher during major launches or controversies. This measured pace aligns with typical mid-week patterns when no single breaking event dominates the platform conversation, keeping totals in the moderate range while leaving room for additional replies or media shares to tip the scale toward the upper band.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$995,429Date de fin
18 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 14, 2026, 12:01 PM ETSource de résolution
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see the 40-64 and 65-89 ranges as the most likely outcomes for Elon Musk’s tweet volume over the May 16–18 window because his recent activity reflects steady but not explosive engagement with Tesla FSD updates, Starship progress, and AI discussions. Recent posts on version 14.3.3 refinements and Starship V3 hardware changes have generated strong replies and views without triggering the rapid-fire threads that push counts higher during major launches or controversies. This measured pace aligns with typical mid-week patterns when no single breaking event dominates the platform conversation, keeping totals in the moderate range while leaving room for additional replies or media shares to tip the scale toward the upper band.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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