Elon Musk’s established rhythm of daily activity on X underpins the overwhelming market consensus favoring the 65-89 tweet range for May 16-18. Traders are pricing in his typical output of roughly 20-30 posts per day, driven by routine business commentary, product updates, and public engagement rather than any sudden surge. This strong positioning aligns with verified historical patterns from comparable short windows, where his volume has rarely deviated outside that band. An upset to higher totals would require an unexpected major announcement or controversy to accelerate his pace before the period closes, though current momentum makes such a shift unlikely.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour65-89 93.5%
90-114 5.8%
115-139 <1%
140-164 <1%
$1,712,771 Vol.
$1,712,771 Vol.
18 mai 2026
65-89
94%
90-114
6%
115-139
<1%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
65-89 93.5%
90-114 5.8%
115-139 <1%
140-164 <1%
$1,712,771 Vol.
$1,712,771 Vol.
18 mai 2026
65-89
$233,944 Vol.
94%
90-114
$377,755 Vol.
6%
115-139
$247,202 Vol.
<1%
140-164
$74,760 Vol.
<1%
165-189
$54,306 Vol.
<1%
190-214
$37,384 Vol.
<1%
215-239
$15,893 Vol.
<1%
240+
$19,775 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s established rhythm of daily activity on X underpins the overwhelming market consensus favoring the 65-89 tweet range for May 16-18. Traders are pricing in his typical output of roughly 20-30 posts per day, driven by routine business commentary, product updates, and public engagement rather than any sudden surge. This strong positioning aligns with verified historical patterns from comparable short windows, where his volume has rarely deviated outside that band. An upset to higher totals would require an unexpected major announcement or controversy to accelerate his pace before the period closes, though current momentum makes such a shift unlikely.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Marché ouvert : May 14, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
Volume
$1,712,771Date de fin
18 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 14, 2026, 12:01 PM ETSource de résolution
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s established rhythm of daily activity on X underpins the overwhelming market consensus favoring the 65-89 tweet range for May 16-18. Traders are pricing in his typical output of roughly 20-30 posts per day, driven by routine business commentary, product updates, and public engagement rather than any sudden surge. This strong positioning aligns with verified historical patterns from comparable short windows, where his volume has rarely deviated outside that band. An upset to higher totals would require an unexpected major announcement or controversy to accelerate his pace before the period closes, though current momentum makes such a shift unlikely.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$1,712,771Date de fin
18 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 14, 2026, 12:01 PM ETSource de résolution
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Elon Musk’s established rhythm of daily activity on X underpins the overwhelming market consensus favoring the 65-89 tweet range for May 16-18. Traders are pricing in his typical output of roughly 20-30 posts per day, driven by routine business commentary, product updates, and public engagement rather than any sudden surge. This strong positioning aligns with verified historical patterns from comparable short windows, where his volume has rarely deviated outside that band. An upset to higher totals would require an unexpected major announcement or controversy to accelerate his pace before the period closes, though current momentum makes such a shift unlikely.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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