Recent forecast model consensus from agencies monitoring East Asian summer patterns points to a Beijing high temperature near 31–32°C on June 18, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds for those outcomes. Daytime maximums depend on solar insolation under partly cloudy skies, regional moisture advection from the East Asian monsoon, and Beijing’s urban heat island effect, which can add 1–2°C to readings at official stations. Minor shifts in cloud cover or timing of any convective activity could cap the peak at 30°C or allow brief clearing to reach 32°C, introducing the observed uncertainty between these leading probabilities. Updated model runs and local observations tomorrow morning will likely refine the final maximum before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Pékin le 18 juin ?
La température la plus élevée à Pékin le 18 juin ?
31°C 33%
32°C 32%
30°C 21%
29°C 10%
NOUVEAU
$35,532 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$35,532 Vol.
18 juin 2026
26°C or below
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
10%
30°C
21%
31°C
33%
32°C
32%
33°C
8%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 33%
32°C 32%
30°C 21%
29°C 10%
NOUVEAU
$35,532 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$35,532 Vol.
18 juin 2026
26°C or below
$3,810 Vol.
1%
27°C
$1,605 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$2,181 Vol.
1%
29°C
$2,002 Vol.
10%
30°C
$2,320 Vol.
21%
31°C
$2,474 Vol.
33%
32°C
$7,941 Vol.
32%
33°C
$5,188 Vol.
8%
34°C
$3,458 Vol.
1%
35°C
$2,042 Vol.
<1%
36°C or higher
$2,529 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from agencies monitoring East Asian summer patterns points to a Beijing high temperature near 31–32°C on June 18, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds for those outcomes. Daytime maximums depend on solar insolation under partly cloudy skies, regional moisture advection from the East Asian monsoon, and Beijing’s urban heat island effect, which can add 1–2°C to readings at official stations. Minor shifts in cloud cover or timing of any convective activity could cap the peak at 30°C or allow brief clearing to reach 32°C, introducing the observed uncertainty between these leading probabilities. Updated model runs and local observations tomorrow morning will likely refine the final maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$35,532Date de fin
18 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from agencies monitoring East Asian summer patterns points to a Beijing high temperature near 31–32°C on June 18, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds for those outcomes. Daytime maximums depend on solar insolation under partly cloudy skies, regional moisture advection from the East Asian monsoon, and Beijing’s urban heat island effect, which can add 1–2°C to readings at official stations. Minor shifts in cloud cover or timing of any convective activity could cap the peak at 30°C or allow brief clearing to reach 32°C, introducing the observed uncertainty between these leading probabilities. Updated model runs and local observations tomorrow morning will likely refine the final maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$35,532Date de fin
18 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model consensus from agencies monitoring East Asian summer patterns points to a Beijing high temperature near 31–32°C on June 18, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds for those outcomes. Daytime maximums depend on solar insolation under partly cloudy skies, regional moisture advection from the East Asian monsoon, and Beijing’s urban heat island effect, which can add 1–2°C to readings at official stations. Minor shifts in cloud cover or timing of any convective activity could cap the peak at 30°C or allow brief clearing to reach 32°C, introducing the observed uncertainty between these leading probabilities. Updated model runs and local observations tomorrow morning will likely refine the final maximum before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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